First League prediction and preview: Mladost Ljeskopolje modest favorites to beat Petrovac

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Competition: Montenegro First League
Date: Sat 28.September
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: DG Arena (1200 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the league table, with both teams experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic “six-pointer” with the home team placed 7th and the visitors in 10th place.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on artificial turf and that the visiting Petrovac have a different surface at their stadium (grass). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on artificial turf is 1-0-0 (win-draw-loss) from one match.

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Mladost Ljeskopolje form and stats

The story so far in the First League for Mladost Ljeskopolje at their home stadium (DG Arena) is 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat.

The Mladost Ljeskopolje supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Kom in First League and win 4-2. Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Zeta (0-1).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Mladost Ljeskopolje have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found three games) they have won 0 times, drawn 2 and lost 1.

Mladost Ljeskopolje are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 5 goals in 4 attempts. 5 goals have been conceded.

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Petrovac form and stats

1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses. That’s the product of Petrovac, who have the fewest scored goals (5) in First League, playing as the away team in the First League this season. It's looking increasingly bleak for Petrovac who now has to deal with a four game losing streak. Grbalj was the last time a defeat was avoided. Petrovac has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

Two away games in a row for Petrovac, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-4 versus Rudar in the First League. Preceding that, the 0-1 home loss versus Iskra.

We have checked recent matches where Petrovac have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those one game were W0-D0-L1.

Petrovac find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 4 goals from 4 away fixtures in the league. Petrovac are struggling defensively in their away games, having conceded 4 goals in these matches.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Petrovac - Mladost Ljeskopolje 1-1. Head-to-head totals (for the last three meetings): Mladost Ljeskopolje won 0 games, 2 matches ended with a draw and Petrovac has 1 win. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 2 / 1

Top Goalscorers

J. Vujović
3 goals
Š. Kordić
3 goals
M. Kalezić
2 goals

Mladost Ljeskopolje missing players

Petrovac missing players

Mladost Ljeskopolje Petrovac
Total Home Home vs low Statistics Stat Away vs low Away Total
9 4 0 Played P 2 4 9
2 1 0 Won W 1 1 1
4 2 0 Drew D 0 0 1
3 1 0 Lost L 1 3 7
10 5 0 Scored S 2 4 5
11 5 0 Conceded C 5 11 21
78% 50% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
67% 50% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 89%
44% 50% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 100% 67%
22% 50% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 50% 22%
11% 25% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 25% 11%
67% 50% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 33%
22% 50% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 0%
33% 50% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 50% 67%
 
2.8 2.5 0 Corners For (avg) C F 3.5 4.2 4.5
5.2 5.8 0 Corners Against (avg) C A 5 5 4.4
1.5 0.8 0 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.5 2.5 2.9
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats This season:
  • All of Petrovac's away matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Mladost Ljeskopolje have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won at home.
  • Mladost Ljeskopolje have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Petrovac have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Petrovac have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Petrovac have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Petrovac haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Mladost Ljeskopolje
24-08-19 FL Sutjeska 1 - 2 Mladost Ljeskopolje
31-08-19 FL Mladost Ljeskopolje 0 - 0 Iskra
14-09-19 FL Rudar 2 - 1 Mladost Ljeskopolje
18-09-19 FL Zeta 1 - 0 Mladost Ljeskopolje
22-09-19 FL Mladost Ljeskopolje 4 - 2 Kom
28-09-19 FL Mladost Ljeskopolje 13:00 Petrovac
05-10-19 FL Budućnost 12:30 Mladost Ljeskopolje
19-10-19 FL Mladost Ljeskopolje 11:30 Grbalj
26-10-19 FL Mladost 11:30 Mladost Ljeskopolje
02-11-19 FL Mladost Ljeskopolje 12:30 Sutjeska
Petrovac
24-08-19 FL Grbalj 1 - 2 Petrovac
31-08-19 FL Petrovac 0 - 3 Mladost
14-09-19 FL Sutjeska 3 - 0 Petrovac
18-09-19 FL Petrovac 0 - 1 Iskra
22-09-19 FL Rudar 4 - 0 Petrovac
28-09-19 FL Mladost Ljeskopolje 13:00 Petrovac
05-10-19 FL Petrovac 12:30 Kom
19-10-19 FL Zeta 11:30 Petrovac
26-10-19 FL Budućnost 11:30 Petrovac
02-11-19 FL Petrovac 12:30 Grbalj

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sutjeska 9 6 2 1 23 6 4 3 0 1 13 4 5 3 2 0 10 2 17 20
2 Budućnost 9 5 2 2 19 13 5 3 1 1 10 8 4 2 1 1 9 5 6 17
3 Zeta 9 4 4 1 7 3 4 2 1 1 3 2 5 2 3 0 4 1 4 16
4 Iskra 9 4 3 2 11 10 4 1 2 1 4 4 5 3 1 1 7 6 1 15
5 Mladost 9 4 2 3 10 5 5 2 0 3 5 5 4 2 2 0 5 0 5 14
6 Kom 9 3 3 3 16 14 5 2 3 0 10 4 4 1 0 3 6 10 2 12
7 Mladost Ljeskopolje 9 2 4 3 10 11 4 1 2 1 5 5 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 10
8 Rudar 9 3 0 6 9 19 4 2 0 2 7 8 5 1 0 4 2 11 -10 9
9 Grbalj 9 1 3 5 10 18 5 0 2 3 4 8 4 1 1 2 6 10 -8 6
10 Petrovac 9 1 1 7 5 21 5 0 1 4 1 10 4 1 0 3 4 11 -16 4

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