A Lyga prediction: Home win expected when Sūduva takes on Palanga

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Competition: Lithuania A Lyga
Date: Wed 02.October
Match begins: 15:30 (UTC)
Venue: Marijampolės sporto centro stadione (6250 seats)

Only a win will satisfy the home supporters in this Marijampolės sporto centro stadione clash with Palanga, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the A Lyga table.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

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Sūduva form and stats

Sūduva, who have the fewest conceded goals (12) in A Lyga, have been very solid at home in the A Lyga so far, with 30 points collected from 11 matches (10-0-1). This has contributed greatly to their 2nd position in the table. The team is able to perform also as the away side, as they are nurturing a very healthy winning streak of six straight victories regardless of arena. It’s been three wins in a row for Sūduva here at Marijampolės sporto centro stadione, hoping to make this one the fourth consecutive victory.

A good away victory last time out for Sūduva, who won 7-2 against Panevėžys (placed 5th). A strong away win before that one, visiting Kauno Žalgiris and winning 2-0.

The Sūduva manager V. Cheburin has got the team scoring with 26 from 11 home games in the league. As for guarding their own goal, Sūduva have only let in 5 goals at home.

L L L L D

Palanga form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Palanga, who have the most conceded goals (61) in A Lyga, so far with only 3 A Lyga points returning home. The records show 1-0-10 (win-draw-lose). It's looking increasingly bleak for Palanga who now has to deal with a five game losing streak. Stumbras was the last time a defeat was avoided. four defeats in a row for Palanga in their away games. Unhappy days, as the last time they avoided a loss on the road was versus Stumbras.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a A Lyga home defeat versus Trakai with 1-3 on the scoreboard. It was a Lithuanian Cup defeat before that one as the away game against Banga wasn't a success with a 0-2 loss.

As mentioned above, the bookmakers do not believe the away team will get anything from this match. Checking Palanga's match history for similar games we find two matches. The home team won 2 of these as expected, 2 of them by at least two goals. Palanga managed 0 draws and 0 surprise wins.

Palanga are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 11 away goals from 11 games (in the league). Palanga are struggling defensively in their away games, having conceded 11 goals in these matches.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Palanga - Sūduva 0-2 played earlier this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last seven matches): Sūduva 7 wins, 0 draws and Palanga 0 victories. As for goals, 3 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 4 games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

M. Topcagić
10 goals
E. Jankauskas
6 goals
P. Golubickas
6 goals

Sūduva missing players

Palanga missing players

Sūduva Palanga
Total Home Home vs low Statistics Stat Away vs top Away Total
21 11 4 Played P 2 11 24
18 10 4 Won W 0 1 4
0 0 0 Drew D 0 0 1
3 1 0 Lost L 2 10 19
53 26 13 Scored S 3 11 25
12 5 1 Conceded C 8 32 61
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
86% 82% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 91% 96%
67% 73% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 91% 83%
24% 18% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 55% 46%
14% 9% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 100% 27% 21%
33% 36% 25% BTTS BTTS 100% 64% 62%
57% 64% 75% Clean Sheets C S 0% 9% 8%
10% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 27% 29%
 
6.3 6.2 7 Corners For (avg) C F 1.5 2.7 3.4
3.5 3.3 2.7 Corners Against (avg) C A 5 5.7 6.4
1.8 1.2 1 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2.5 1.7 1.7
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 1 1 1
Key stats This season:
  • Palanga have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Palanga have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Palanga have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Palanga have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Palanga haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Sūduva have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Sūduva have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Sūduva have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Sūduva have scored more than double the goals of Palanga.
  • Sūduva haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Sūduva
08-09-19 LC Sūduva 1 - 0 Panevėžys
13-09-19 AL Atlantas 0 - 4 Sūduva
17-09-19 LC Sūduva 2 - 2 Zalgiris
21-09-19 AL Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 2 Sūduva
24-09-19 AL Panevėžys 2 - 7 Sūduva
29-09-19 LC Banga 13:00 Sūduva
02-10-19 AL Sūduva 15:30 Palanga
05-10-19 AL Sūduva 16:00 Panevėžys
12-10-19 AL Palanga 12:00 Sūduva
15-10-19 AL Trakai 16:30 Sūduva
Palanga
12-08-19 AL Panevėžys 3 - 1 Palanga
25-08-19 AL Palanga 0 - 2 Atlantas
28-08-19 LC Dziugas Telsiai 1 - 1 Palanga
31-08-19 AL Palanga 0 - 4 Zalgiris
14-09-19 AL Palanga 2 - 3 Kauno Žalgiris
18-09-19 LC Banga 2 - 0 Palanga
25-09-19 AL Palanga 1 - 3 Trakai
02-10-19 AL Sūduva 15:30 Palanga
12-10-19 AL Palanga 12:00 Sūduva
26-10-19 AL Atlantas 10:00 Palanga

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Žalgiris 24 19 2 3 61 17 12 11 1 0 34 8 12 8 1 3 27 9 44 59
2 Sūduva 21 18 0 3 53 12 11 10 0 1 26 5 10 8 0 2 27 7 41 54
3 Trakai 24 12 6 6 38 25 11 5 5 1 13 6 13 7 1 5 25 19 13 42
4 Kauno Žalgiris 24 12 3 9 41 34 12 8 1 3 28 17 12 4 2 6 13 17 7 39
5 Panevėžys 24 8 5 11 36 42 12 5 2 5 22 23 12 3 3 6 14 19 -6 29
6 Atlantas 25 6 4 15 23 50 12 4 2 6 13 23 13 2 2 9 10 27 -27 22
7 Stumbras 24 4 3 17 12 48 12 4 0 8 6 22 12 0 3 9 6 26 -36 15
8 Palanga 24 4 1 19 25 61 13 3 1 9 14 29 11 1 0 10 11 32 -36 13

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