A Lyga match prediction: Little separates Kauno Žalgiris and Trakai in quality

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Competition: Lithuania A Lyga
Date: Sat 17.August
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Nacionalinės futbolo akademijos stadionas (1500 seats)

There's been ups and downs for these two teams so far this season, occupying positions near the middle of the A Lyga table so far. Here's the Kauno Žalgiris - Trakai latest:

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on artificial turf and that the visiting Trakai have a different surface at their stadium (grass). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on artificial turf is 6-4-2 (win-draw-loss) from twelve matches.

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Kauno Žalgiris form and stats

Kauno Žalgiris are steadily winning games and points here at Nacionalinės futbolo akademijos stadionas. 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats is the summary from 9 games.

In their previous game, the manager M. Čepas led his Kauno Žalgiris to a defeat in the A Lyga match away at Zalgiris. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Nacionalinės futbolo akademijos stadionas. The points were shared before that, a home game that ended 2-2 versus Panevezys.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Kauno Žalgiris have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found four matches with the results: Won 2 Drawn 1 Lost 1.

Kauno Žalgiris are showing their attacking force in their home games this season, scoring more than 2,5 goals per game on average (26 goals in 9 games). Kauno Žalgiris have conceded 15 from these games.

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Trakai form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their travels is 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats.

There were no winners in Trakai's previous match, a A Lyga home game that ended 1-1 vs Atlantas. That result followed a home victory 1-0 versus Palanga.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Trakai playing away and similar expectations, we found three relevant matches. Results were 0 Trakai wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.

The travelling fans enjoy Trakai's attacking play in away games, having scored 17 goals in 9 away matches. Trakai have conceded 13 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Trakai - Kauno Žalgiris 1-0, played this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: 1 - 2 - 7 (Kauno Žalgiris wins - draws - Trakai wins). As for goals, 4 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 6 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

T. Moffi
9 goals
D. Kazlauskas
5 goals

Kauno Žalgiris missing players

Trakai missing players

Kauno Žalgiris Trakai
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
19 9 2 Played 1 9 19
8 6 1 Won 1 5 10
3 1 1 Drew 0 1 5
8 2 0 Lost 0 3 4
33 26 4 Scored 2 17 29
30 15 2 Conceded 1 13 18
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 89%
84% 100% 100% Over 1.5 100% 100% 74%
63% 89% 50% Over 2.5 100% 89% 58%
37% 67% 50% Over 3.5 0% 33% 21%
16% 33% 0% Over 4.5 0% 11% 5%
47% 67% 50% BTTS 100% 89% 63%
21% 22% 50% Clean Sheets 0% 11% 37%
32% 11% 0% Failed To Score 0% 0% 11%
 
4.8 5.6 9.5 Corners For (avg) 0 5.2 5.4
4.4 5 6.5 Corners Against (avg) 3 5.4 4.8
3 3 2 Yellow Cards (avg) 1 1 1.2
2 1 0 Red Cards 0 1 2
Key stats this season:
  • All of Kauno Žalgiris's home matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • All of Trakai's away matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Kauno Žalgiris have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Kauno Žalgiris haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Trakai have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Trakai have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Trakai haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Kauno Žalgiris
03-07-19 AL Suduva 3 - 0 Kauno Žalgiris
11-07-19 EL Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 2 Apollon
18-07-19 EL Apollon 4 - 0 Kauno Žalgiris
03-08-19 AL Kauno Žalgiris 2 - 2 Panevezys
11-08-19 AL Zalgiris 3 - 0 Kauno Žalgiris
17-08-19 AL Kauno Žalgiris 16:00 Trakai
27-08-19 LC Banga 15:30 Kauno Žalgiris
31-08-19 AL Kauno Žalgiris 14:00 Atlantas
14-09-19 AL Palanga 12:00 Kauno Žalgiris
21-09-19 AL Kauno Žalgiris 12:00 Suduva
Trakai
05-07-19 AL Zalgiris 2 - 1 Trakai
11-07-19 EL Trakai 1 - 1
16-07-19 EL 0 - 0 Trakai
03-08-19 AL Trakai 1 - 0 Palanga
10-08-19 AL Trakai 1 - 1 Atlantas
17-08-19 AL Kauno Žalgiris 16:00 Trakai
23-08-19 AL Panevezys 15:00 Trakai
31-08-19 AL Trakai 16:00 Suduva
21-09-19 AL Trakai 10:00 Zalgiris
25-09-19 AL Palanga 14:00 Trakai

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Žalgiris 19 15 1 3 44 16 10 9 1 0 25 8 9 6 0 3 19 8 28 46
2 Sūduva 18 15 0 3 40 10 11 10 0 1 26 5 7 5 0 2 14 5 30 45
3 Trakai 19 10 5 4 29 18 10 5 4 1 12 5 9 5 1 3 17 13 11 35
4 Kauno Žalgiris 19 8 3 8 33 30 9 6 1 2 26 15 10 2 2 6 7 15 3 27
5 Panevėžys 18 4 5 9 22 27 8 2 2 4 10 13 10 2 3 5 12 14 -5 17
6 Atlantas 19 4 4 11 18 39 9 3 2 4 10 17 10 1 2 7 8 22 -21 16
7 Stumbras 18 4 3 11 12 30 9 4 0 5 6 13 9 0 3 6 6 17 -18 15
8 Palanga 18 3 1 14 18 46 8 2 1 5 8 17 10 1 0 9 10 29 -28 10