Serie A prediction: Inter should edge out Chievo on their own turf

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Date: Mon 13.May
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (80018 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The home fans are optimistic that the difference between 4th and 20th place in the table will show on the pitch.

Inter and Chievo should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Inter form and stats

Inter, who have the fewest conceded goals (9) at home in Serie A, have played 17 games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 9-5-3 (wins-draws-losses). Three draws in a row here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza for Inter, who might be willing to risk more at some point in hope of a win. The last three games played by Inter, regardless of arena, have all ended draws.

The home team returns to Stadio Giuseppe Meazza after sharing the points with Udinese on their last time out; the Serie A game ended 0-0. Preceding that game was the home draw versus Juventus that ended 1-1.

Everyone expects Inter to win this match. We have checked our database for matches where they have been as big a favourite and found eleven games: 10 home wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Inter have won with at least two goals margin 6 times in similar situations.

The Inter fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium, the tally being 23 in 17 matches. Inter are not conceding a lot of goals here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, averaging less than one per game. The total is 9 from 17 matches.

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Chievo form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Chievo, who have the most conceded goals (73) in Serie A, so far with only 9 points returning home. The records show 1-6-10 (win-draw-lose).

The manager D. Di Carlo was unhappy after their last game, a Serie A match played at their home ground Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Chievo suffered a 0-4 loss to SPAL. Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Parma.

Nobody expects Chievo to collect points from a game like this. The team has been David versus Goliath eleven times before, with the overall statistics of won 2, draw 1 and lost 8. When defeated, 7 matches have been lost by two or more goals.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Chievo as they have only managed to score 11 times from 17 away games. The Chievo manager D. Di Carlo has some worries about the defense as 36 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Chievo - Inter 1-1, played this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Inter 6 wins, 2 draws and Chievo 2 victories. As for goals, 4 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 6 games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Inter missing players

Chievo missing players

Inter Chievo
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs top Away Total
35 17 5 Played 5 17 35
18 9 3 Won 0 1 2
9 5 0 Drew 2 6 12
8 3 2 Lost 3 10 21
52 23 9 Scored 2 11 25
28 9 2 Conceded 10 36 73
91% 88% 100% Over 0.5 80% 88% 89%
57% 53% 40% Over 1.5 80% 82% 80%
43% 29% 40% Over 2.5 60% 59% 54%
23% 12% 20% Over 3.5 20% 29% 31%
11% 6% 20% Over 4.5 0% 6% 11%
37% 29% 0% BTTS 40% 47% 49%
46% 53% 60% Clean Sheets 20% 12% 14%
26% 29% 40% Failed To Score 60% 53% 49%
 
7.5 8.4 9.6 Corners For (avg) 3.8 3.3 3.6
4.1 3.3 2.8 Corners Against (avg) 12.2 8.5 6.7
1.9 1.6 1.8 Yellow Cards (avg) 3.2 3.4 3.1
2 0 0 Red Cards 0 2 5
Key stats this season:
  • Chievo have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Chievo have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Chievo have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Inter have created more than twice as many corners as Chievo.
  • Inter have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Inter have scored more than double the goals of Chievo.
  • Inter have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.

Inter
07-04-19 SA Inter 0 - 0 Atalanta
14-04-19 SA Frosinone 1 - 3 Inter
20-04-19 SA Inter 1 - 1 Roma
27-04-19 SA Inter 1 - 1 Juventus
04-05-19 SA Udinese 0 - 0 Inter
13-05-19 SA Inter 19:00 Chievo
19-05-19 SA Napoli 18:30 Inter
26-05-19 SA Inter - Empoli
19-07-19 ICC Manchester United 23:30 Inter
23-07-19 ICC Juventus 23:30 Inter
Chievo
29-03-19 SA Chievo 0 - 3 Cagliari
04-04-19 SA Sassuolo 4 - 0 Chievo
08-04-19 SA Bologna 3 - 0 Chievo
14-04-19 SA Chievo 1 - 3 Napoli
20-04-19 SA Lazio 1 - 2 Chievo
28-04-19 SA Chievo 1 - 1 Parma
04-05-19 SA Chievo 0 - 4 SPAL
13-05-19 SA Inter 19:00 Chievo
19-05-19 SA Chievo 10:30 Sampdoria
26-05-19 SA Frosinone - Chievo

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Juventus 35 28 5 2 69 26 18 15 3 0 38 12 17 13 2 2 31 13 43 89
2 Napoli 36 23 7 6 68 32 18 12 4 2 37 15 18 11 3 4 31 17 36 76
3 Atalanta 36 19 8 9 73 44 18 9 5 4 33 18 18 10 3 5 40 26 29 65
4 Inter 35 18 9 8 52 28 17 9 5 3 23 9 18 9 4 5 29 19 24 63
5 Milan 36 17 11 8 50 34 18 11 4 3 29 17 18 6 7 5 21 17 16 62
6 Torino 36 15 15 6 48 32 18 11 2 5 29 18 18 4 13 1 19 14 16 60
7 Roma 35 16 11 8 63 47 17 10 5 2 39 25 18 6 6 6 23 22 16 59
8 Lazio 36 17 7 12 52 40 18 9 4 5 33 22 18 8 3 7 19 18 12 58
9 Sampdoria 36 14 7 15 58 51 18 9 2 7 26 16 18 5 5 8 32 35 7 49
10 Sassuolo 36 9 15 12 52 57 18 5 9 4 33 33 18 4 6 8 19 24 -5 42
11 SPAL 36 11 9 16 40 50 18 5 7 6 18 23 18 6 2 10 22 27 -10 42
12 Cagliari 36 10 10 16 34 51 18 8 6 4 22 18 18 2 4 12 12 33 -17 40
13 Fiorentina 36 8 16 12 47 44 18 5 8 5 25 19 18 3 8 7 22 25 3 40
14 Parma 35 9 11 15 38 55 18 4 7 7 17 25 17 5 4 8 21 30 -17 38
15 Bologna 35 9 10 16 38 50 17 7 4 6 21 19 18 2 6 10 17 31 -12 37
16 Udinese 36 9 10 17 34 50 18 7 5 6 19 20 18 2 5 11 15 30 -16 37
17 Genoa 36 8 12 16 38 56 18 6 7 5 20 21 18 2 5 11 18 35 -18 36
18 Empoli 36 9 8 19 46 67 18 8 3 7 29 29 18 1 5 12 17 38 -21 35
19 Frosinone 36 5 9 22 29 67 18 1 5 12 14 38 18 4 4 10 15 29 -38 24
20 Chievo 35 2 12 21 25 73 18 1 6 11 14 37 17 1 6 10 11 36 -48 15