Serie A prediction and preview: Bologna modest favorites to beat Genoa

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sat 15.February
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (36532 seats)

With their 14 point advantage in the league table, Bologna fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Genoa.

Both teams have had enough rest since their last competitive action. Let's hope for an energetic game!

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Bologna form and stats

The story so far in the Serie A for Bologna at their home stadium (Stadio Renato Dall'Ara) is 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats.

Bologna enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Roma's place. The match ended 3-2 with Riccardo Orsolini and Musa Barrow (2) scoring. Previous to that game, a home match hosting Brescia in a game that was won 2-1.

Bologna goalkeeper Łukasz Skorupski did an outstanding job against Roma with seven saves, so vital to securing the victory.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Bologna matches with similar probabilities have ended with four wins, one draw and one defeat (from six games).

The Bologna fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 17 goals in 11 league matches. 16 goals have been conceded.

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Genoa form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Genoa, who have the most conceded goals (28) away in Serie A, so far with only 6 points returning home. The records show 0-6-6 (win-draw-lose). Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in twelve away games in a row.

Genoa won their last game, 1-0 versus Cagliari played at home. Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Atalanta that ended 2-2.

Goran Pandev came off the bench to score the winning goal in the match against Cagliari last time out, making the manager D. Nicola feel like a tactical genius.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Genoa playing away, we found three games. Results were zero away wins, three draws and zero home wins.

Genoa have scored 12 goals on their travels this season, from 12 away games in the league. The Genoa manager D. Nicola has some worries about the defense as 28 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Genoa - Bologna 0-0. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's four Bologna victories, four draws and two Genoa wins. zero of these games ended with three goals or more, ten matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

BolognaR. Orsolini
R. Orsolini
7 goals
GenoaG. Pandev
G. Pandev
6 goals
BolognaR. Palacio
R. Palacio
5 goals

Bologna missing players

Genoa missing players

Bologna Genoa
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
23 11 4 Played P 3 12 23
9 4 3 Won W 0 0 4
6 4 1 Drew D 1 6 7
8 3 0 Lost L 2 6 12
37 17 6 Scored S 2 12 24
36 16 3 Conceded C 8 28 43
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 83% 87%
83% 91% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 83% 74%
70% 73% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 75% 70%
39% 27% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 58% 43%
22% 9% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 17% 9%
83% 91% 75% BTTS BTTS 67% 67% 65%
9% 9% 25% Clean Sheets C S 33% 17% 17%
13% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 33% 30%
 
6.1 7.2 10.5 Corners for (avg) C F 4 3.4 4.6
4.2 3.8 3 Corners against (avg) C A 4 6 5.1
3.5 3.3 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 3.2 3.3
4 3 0 Red cards R C 0 5 7
 
317 132 50 Total Shots T S 45 133 282
112 51 21 Shots on Target S O 9 47 97
33% 33% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 22% 26% 25%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Bologna have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Bologna have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Bologna haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Genoa has the fewest points (6) away
  • Genoa has the most conceded goals (28) away
  • Genoa has the the worst goal difference (-16) away
  • Genoa have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Genoa have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Genoa have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Genoa have yet to win a game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Inter 23 16 6 1 48 20 12 7 4 1 23 10 11 9 2 0 25 10 28 54
2 Juventus 23 17 3 3 44 23 11 10 1 0 27 10 12 7 2 3 17 13 21 54
3 Lazio 23 16 5 2 53 20 12 9 3 0 35 9 11 7 2 2 18 11 33 53
4 Atalanta 23 12 6 5 61 31 11 5 2 4 31 18 12 7 4 1 30 13 30 42
5 Roma 23 11 6 6 42 30 12 5 3 4 22 19 11 6 3 2 20 11 12 39
6 Hellas Verona 23 9 7 7 28 24 12 6 3 3 17 12 11 3 4 4 11 12 4 34
7 Bologna 23 9 6 8 37 36 11 4 4 3 17 16 12 5 2 5 20 20 1 33
8 Cagliari 23 8 8 7 38 35 11 5 2 4 22 18 12 3 6 3 16 17 3 32
9 Parma 23 9 5 9 31 30 12 6 1 5 17 11 11 3 4 4 14 19 1 32
10 Milan 23 9 5 9 25 31 11 3 5 3 11 13 12 6 0 6 14 18 -6 32
11 Napoli 23 8 6 9 36 34 12 4 2 6 15 17 11 4 4 3 21 17 2 30
12 Sassuolo 23 8 5 10 38 38 11 5 1 5 25 21 12 3 4 5 13 17 0 29
13 Torino 23 8 3 12 27 42 12 4 2 6 11 22 11 4 1 6 16 20 -15 27
14 Fiorentina 23 6 7 10 26 34 12 3 4 5 12 16 11 3 3 5 14 18 -8 25
15 Udinese 23 7 4 12 20 36 11 5 2 4 10 12 12 2 2 8 10 24 -16 25
16 Sampdoria 23 6 5 12 25 38 12 3 4 5 13 16 11 3 1 7 12 22 -13 23
17 Lecce 23 5 7 11 30 44 11 1 5 5 15 18 12 4 2 6 15 26 -14 22
18 Genoa 23 4 7 12 24 43 11 4 1 6 12 15 12 0 6 6 12 28 -19 19
19 Brescia 23 4 4 15 21 42 12 1 3 8 12 23 11 3 1 7 9 19 -21 16
20 SPAL 23 4 3 16 17 40 11 2 2 7 10 18 12 2 1 9 7 22 -23 15

Bologna:
Genoa:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.