Super League match prediction: Little separates Larissa and Atromitos in quality

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Competition: Greece Super League
Date: Sun 15.December
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: AEL FC Arena (16118 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Larissa are in the 6th position while the guests worry at 10th.

Larissa and Atromitos should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Larissa form and stats

Larissa have played 6 Super League games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-1-2 (wins-draws-losses).

Larissa drew their last game, 1-1 away at Asteras Tripolis (placed 12th). Before that game, the 1-0 home victory against Kalamata.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Larissa have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found nine matches with the results: Won 6 Drawn 3 Lost 0.

There will be little rest for Larissa after this match as they are travelling to Olympiakos Piraeus for a Super League game in only three days.

Larissa are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 8 goals in 6 games. Larissa have conceded 7 in these home matches.

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Atromitos form and stats

Atromitos have only collected 4 points from their away games in the Super League, after 1-1-4 (6 played). Three might be a magic number, but there's been little wizardry in Atromitos's last three away games as they have all been lost.

There were no winners in Atromitos's previous match, a Super League home game that ended 2-2 vs Aris (placed 8th). Prior to that match, the Atromitos manager S. Pantelidis faced defeat when travelling to Xanthi and losing 0-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Atromitos playing away and similar expectations, we found three relevant matches. Results were 2 Atromitos wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Atromitos are hosting Lamia in the Super League only three days away.

Atromitos have scored 8 goals on their travels this season, from 6 away games in the league. For Atromitos, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Larissa - Atromitos 1-2, played this season. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Larissa won 1 game, 3 matches ended with a draw and Atromitos has 6 wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 3 / 7

Top Goalscorers

AtromitosG. Manousos
G. Manousos
7 goals
AtromitosA. Vellios
A. Vellios
5 goals
LarissaR. Milosavljević
R. Milosavljević
4 goals

Larissa missing players

Atromitos missing players

Larissa Atromitos
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
13 6 1 Played P 2 6 13
5 3 1 Won W 0 1 4
4 1 0 Drew D 1 1 3
4 2 0 Lost L 1 4 6
17 8 2 Scored S 2 8 21
16 7 1 Conceded C 3 12 20
92% 83% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
69% 67% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 83% 85%
54% 67% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 67% 62%
23% 17% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 50% 46%
15% 17% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 33% 23%
54% 33% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 67% 62%
15% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 15%
38% 50% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 33% 23%
 
4.2 5.3 5 Corners For (avg) C F 6.5 5.2 4.8
5.2 3.3 2 Corners Against (avg) C A 4 6 5.2
3.5 2.7 4 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2 3.2 2.7
2 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
 
113 60 21 Total Shots T S 24 50 127
43 23 9 Shots on Target S O 7 17 48
40% 35% 22% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 47% 44%
Key stats in Super League this season:
  • Atromitos have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Atromitos have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Atromitos haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Larissa has the most points from losing position (12)
  • Larissa have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Larissa have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Olympiakos Piraeus 13 9 4 0 23 5 7 6 1 0 15 2 6 3 3 0 8 3 18 31
2 PAOK 13 9 4 0 25 12 7 5 2 0 14 6 6 4 2 0 11 6 13 31
3 AEK Athens 14 7 3 4 24 17 7 4 2 1 17 9 7 3 1 3 7 8 7 24
4 OFI 14 7 1 6 25 17 7 6 0 1 16 5 7 1 1 5 9 12 8 22
5 Panathinaikos 14 5 5 4 15 17 7 3 1 3 9 9 7 2 4 1 6 8 -2 20
6 Larissa 13 5 4 4 17 16 6 3 1 2 8 7 7 2 3 2 9 9 1 19
7 Xanthi 14 6 1 7 12 16 7 3 1 3 7 6 7 3 0 4 5 10 -4 19
8 Aris 14 4 6 4 21 18 7 3 2 2 13 8 7 1 4 2 8 10 3 18
9 Lamia 14 4 5 5 13 19 7 3 4 0 8 5 7 1 1 5 5 14 -6 17
10 Atromitos 13 4 3 6 21 20 7 3 2 2 13 8 6 1 1 4 8 12 1 15
11 Volos NFC 13 4 2 7 14 23 6 3 1 2 8 8 7 1 1 5 6 15 -9 14
12 Asteras Tripolis 13 3 3 7 15 18 6 2 2 2 10 8 7 1 1 5 5 10 -3 12
13 Panionios 13 3 3 7 12 23 7 2 2 3 7 6 6 1 1 4 5 17 -11 6
14 Panaitolikos 13 0 4 9 8 24 6 0 3 3 4 9 7 0 1 6 4 15 -16 4

Read more about Super League

The Super League is the highest level of football in Greece. The league has 16 teams playing two fixtures against each other, for a total of 30 games each. The season runs from August to May to decide a final league table. The “big three” (Olympiacos, Panathinaikos and AEK Athens; all from Athens) dominate this league.