Bundesliga prediction and preview: Wolfsburg modest favorites to beat Hoffenheim

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Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Date: Mon 23.September
Match begins: 18:30 (UTC)
Venue: VOLKSWAGEN ARENA (30000 seats)

Only a few games have been played in the Bundesliga so far, with Wolfsburg placed 7th and Hoffenheim sitting in the 13th position.

There haven't been much time to rest for the hosts, as they played a Europa League match only four days ago. This match was also played here at VOLKSWAGEN ARENA. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Hoffenheim have had more rest.

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Wolfsburg form and stats

OK but not perfect. That could be the conclusion for Wolfsburg's two home games in the Bundesliga so far this season, having collected 4 points here at VOLKSWAGEN ARENA.

The Wolfsburg supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Oleksandria in Europa League and win 3-1. 1-1 away at Fortuna Dusseldorf before that.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Wolfsburg have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won 4 times, drawn 3 and lost 1.

It's still early days, but we have some goal stats for the Wolfsburg at home in the league. 3 on target and 2 scored by the opposition; from 2 matches.

L D W L D

Hoffenheim form and stats

The Bundesliga season is young and Hoffenheim, who have the fewest scored goals (3) in Bundesliga, have only just started going through their travel schedule, with 2 away games done and still no victory. 1 draw and 1 defeat so far.

The manager A. Schreuder was unhappy after their last game, a Bundesliga match played at their home ground VOLKSWAGEN ARENA. Hoffenheim suffered a 0-3 loss to Freiburg (placed 3rd). Preceding that game, the 0-0 draw paying a visit to Bayer Leverkusen.

We have checked recent matches where Hoffenheim have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those six games were W0-D3-L3.

As for goals scored and conceded in the league games away so far, Hoffenheim has managed 0 goals and let in 1 from 2 matches.

Head 2 Head

Wolfsburg-Hoffenheim H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Wolfsburg 4 wins, Hoffenheim 2 wins, 4 draws. 6 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

W. Weghorst
3 goals / 1 assists
J. Brekalo
2 goals / 2 assists
J. Roussillon
1 goals

Wolfsburg missing players

Hoffenheim missing players

Wolfsburg Hoffenheim
Total Home Home vs low Statistics Stat Away vs mid Away Total
4 2 2 Played P 1 2 4
2 1 1 Won W 0 0 1
2 1 1 Drew D 0 1 1
0 0 0 Lost L 1 1 2
7 3 3 Scored S 0 0 3
3 2 2 Conceded C 1 1 6
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 50% 75%
100% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 0% 50%
50% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 0% 50%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 25%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 25%
75% 100% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 0% 25%
25% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 50% 25%
0% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 100% 75%
 
5.8 5 5 Corners For (avg) C F 5 2.5 5
3.5 4.5 4.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 10 14.5 9.8
0.8 0.5 0.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1 1.5 1.2
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Wolfsburg Last season Hoffenheim
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
34 17   Played P   17 34
16 8   Won W   6 13
7 5   Drew D   7 12
11 4   Lost L   4 9
62 36   Scored S   42 70
50 23   Conceded C   32 52
97% 100%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   100% 97%
88% 88%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   100% 94%
65% 65%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   82% 71%
38% 47%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   76% 53%
18% 12%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   41% 26%
53% 65%   BTTS BTTS   94% 82%
26% 24%   Clean Sheets C S   6% 15%
24% 12%   Failed to Score F T   0% 6%
 
5.1 5.9   Corners For (avg) C F   4.9 5.4
5.9 5.8   Corners Against (avg) C A   5.2 4.9
1.8 1.4   Yellow Cards (avg) Y C   2.4 2
0 0   Red Cards R C   2 2
Key stats last season:
  • All of Hoffenheim's away matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Hoffenheim have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Hoffenheim have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Hoffenheim haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Wolfsburg haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

Wolfsburg
All DFB Pokal Play-offs 1/2 Bundesliga Europa League Club Friendlies
All Home Away
17-08-19 BU Wolfsburg 2 - 1 Köln
25-08-19 BU Hertha BSC 0 - 3 Wolfsburg
31-08-19 BU Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Paderborn
13-09-19 BU Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 - 1 Wolfsburg
19-09-19 EL Wolfsburg 3 - 1 Oleksandria
23-09-19 BU Wolfsburg 18:30 Hoffenheim
28-09-19 BU Mainz 05 13:30 Wolfsburg
03-10-19 EL Saint-Etienne 16:55 Wolfsburg
06-10-19 BU Wolfsburg 13:30 Union Berlin
19-10-19 BU RB Leipzig 13:30 Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim
All Champions League DFB Pokal Bundesliga Europa League Club Friendlies
All Home Away
10-08-19 DFB Wurzburger Kickers 2 - 2 Hoffenheim
18-08-19 BU Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 0 Hoffenheim
24-08-19 BU Hoffenheim 3 - 2 Werder Bremen
31-08-19 BU Bayer Leverkusen 0 - 0 Hoffenheim
15-09-19 BU Hoffenheim 0 - 3 Freiburg
23-09-19 BU Wolfsburg 18:30 Hoffenheim
28-09-19 BU Hoffenheim 13:30 Borussia M'gladbach
05-10-19 BU Bayern München 13:30 Hoffenheim
20-10-19 BU Hoffenheim 16:00 Schalke 04
26-10-19 BU Hertha BSC 13:30 Hoffenheim

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 RB Leipzig 5 4 1 0 13 3 2 1 1 0 3 2 3 3 0 0 10 1 10 13
2 Bayern München 5 3 2 0 16 4 3 2 1 0 12 3 2 1 1 0 4 1 12 11
3 Freiburg 5 3 1 1 11 4 3 1 1 1 5 3 2 2 0 0 6 1 7 10
4 Schalke 04 5 3 1 1 10 5 3 2 0 1 5 4 2 1 1 0 5 1 5 10
5 Bayer Leverkusen 5 3 1 1 8 7 3 2 1 0 5 2 2 1 0 1 3 5 1 10
6 Borussia Dortmund 4 3 0 1 13 5 2 2 0 0 9 1 2 1 0 1 4 4 8 9
7 Wolfsburg 4 2 2 0 7 3 2 1 1 0 3 2 2 1 1 0 4 1 4 8
8 Borussia M'gladbach 4 2 1 1 5 4 2 0 1 1 1 3 2 2 0 0 4 1 1 7
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 2 0 2 5 5 2 2 0 0 3 1 2 0 0 2 2 4 0 6
10 Werder Bremen 5 2 0 3 8 12 3 1 0 2 4 8 2 1 0 1 4 4 -4 6
11 Augsburg 5 1 2 2 7 11 2 1 1 0 3 2 3 0 1 2 4 9 -4 5
12 Fortuna Düsseldorf 4 1 1 2 6 7 2 0 1 1 2 4 2 1 0 1 4 3 -1 4
13 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 3 6 2 1 0 1 3 5 2 0 1 1 0 1 -3 4
14 Union Berlin 5 1 1 3 5 10 3 1 0 2 4 7 2 0 1 1 1 3 -5 4
15 Hertha BSC 5 1 1 3 5 11 2 1 0 1 2 4 3 0 1 2 3 7 -6 4
16 Köln 5 1 0 4 4 11 2 0 0 2 1 4 3 1 0 2 3 7 -7 3
17 Mainz 05 5 1 0 4 5 15 2 1 0 1 3 4 3 0 0 3 2 11 -10 3
18 Paderborn 5 0 1 4 6 14 2 0 0 2 2 8 3 0 1 2 4 6 -8 1
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bayern München 34 24 6 4 88 32 17 13 3 1 49 14 17 11 3 3 39 18 56 78
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 23 7 4 81 44 17 14 2 1 52 25 17 9 5 3 29 19 37 76
3 RB Leipzig 34 19 9 6 63 29 17 10 6 1 34 9 17 9 3 5 29 20 34 66
4 Bayer Leverkusen 34 18 4 12 69 52 17 9 2 6 32 25 17 9 2 6 37 27 17 58
5 Borussia M'gladbach 34 16 7 11 55 42 17 9 3 5 31 22 17 7 4 6 24 20 13 55
6 Wolfsburg 34 16 7 11 62 50 17 8 5 4 36 23 17 8 2 7 26 27 12 55
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 15 9 10 60 48 17 8 4 5 32 21 17 7 5 5 28 27 12 54
8 Werder Bremen 34 14 11 9 58 49 17 8 6 3 35 26 17 6 5 6 23 23 9 53
9 Hoffenheim 34 13 12 9 70 52 17 7 5 5 28 20 17 6 7 4 42 32 18 51
10 Fortuna Düsseldorf 34 13 5 16 49 65 17 9 0 8 27 28 17 4 5 8 22 37 -16 44
11 Hertha BSC 34 11 10 13 49 57 17 6 6 5 26 27 17 5 4 8 23 30 -8 43
12 Mainz 05 34 12 7 15 46 57 17 8 5 4 31 22 17 4 2 11 15 35 -11 43
13 Freiburg 34 8 12 14 46 61 17 6 7 4 32 27 17 2 5 10 14 34 -15 36
14 Schalke 04 34 8 9 17 37 55 17 4 3 10 16 28 17 4 6 7 21 27 -18 33
15 Augsburg 34 8 8 18 51 71 17 5 4 8 34 33 17 3 4 10 17 38 -20 32
16 Stuttgart 34 7 7 20 32 70 17 6 4 7 22 27 17 1 3 13 10 43 -38 28
17 Hannover 96 34 5 6 23 31 71 17 5 1 11 15 26 17 0 5 12 16 45 -40 21
18 Nürnberg 34 3 10 21 26 68 17 3 7 7 16 22 17 0 3 14 10 46 -42 19

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