Erovnuli Liga 2 prediction: Norchi Dinamo should edge out Guria on their own turf

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Competition: Georgia Erovnuli Liga 2
Date: Sat 24.August
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Sport-kompleksi Shatili (2000 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The home fans are optimistic that the difference between 1st and 9th place in the table will show on the pitch.

Both teams have had enough rest since their last competitive action. Let's hope for an energetic game!

Guria play their home games on grass, while this game is played on artificial turf. Recent stats for Guria when playing on artificial turf are 0 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats from twelve matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 30 times in these games.

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Norchi Dinamo form and stats

Home games in the Erovnuli Liga 2 have been a walk in the park for Norchi Dinamo so far, with 25 points won from 10 matches; 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. The Norchi Dinamo fans aren't used to losing here at Sport-kompleksi Shatili and will expect new points from this game. Norchi Dinamo has played ten games in a row here without a defeat.

Norchi Dinamo are returning here after visiting Zugdidi in a Erovnuli Liga 2 game and winning with a 2-1 scoreline. Previous to that game, a home match hosting Shukura in a game that was won 5-1.

Everyone expects Norchi Dinamo to win this match. We have checked our database for matches where they have been as big a favourite and found 43 games: 25 home wins, 8 draws and 10 defeats. Norchi Dinamo have won with at least two goals margin 16 times in similar situations.

Goals are plentiful at Sport-kompleksi Shatili in the league this season as Norchi Dinamo has scored 27 goals here in 10 attempts. On the other hand, Norchi Dinamo have conceded 10 goals.

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Guria form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Guria, who have the most conceded goals (24) away in Erovnuli Liga 2, so far with only {7 Erovnuli Liga 2 points} returning home. The records show 2-1-8 (win-draw-lose).

Guria are travelling after their nice 2-0 home win in the Erovnuli Liga 2 against Gagra. Preceding that game was the away victory against Kolkheti Poti with the score of 2-0.

Nobody expects Guria to collect points from a game like this. The team has been David versus Goliath 41 times before, with the overall statistics of won 13, draw 7 and lost 21. When defeated, 14 matches have been lost by two or more goals.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Guria as they have only managed to score 7 times from 11 away games in the league. The Guria manager G. Sanaia has some worries about the defense as 24 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

Guria - Norchi Dinamo 2-4 was the story when these teams last met, earlier this season. Head-2-head stats last eight meetings: 3 - 0 - 5 (Norchi Dinamo wins - draws - Guria wins). As for goals, 7 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 1 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

G. Nikabadze
13 goals
I. Deisadze
11 goals

Norchi Dinamo missing players

Guria missing players

Norchi Dinamo Guria
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs top Away Total
22 10 3 Played 2 11 22
16 8 3 Won 0 2 5
4 1 0 Drew 1 1 2
2 1 0 Lost 1 8 15
53 27 8 Scored 2 7 19
22 10 2 Conceded 3 24 44
91% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
86% 90% 67% Over 1.5 100% 91% 86%
77% 80% 67% Over 2.5 50% 55% 50%
41% 50% 33% Over 3.5 0% 27% 27%
32% 30% 33% Over 4.5 0% 9% 14%
64% 70% 33% BTTS 100% 36% 41%
32% 30% 67% Clean Sheets 0% 18% 23%
14% 0% 0% Failed To Score 0% 45% 36%
 
4.9 4.6 3.7 Corners For (avg) 1.5 2.8 3.4
3.5 3.7 0.7 Corners Against (avg) 8 5.4 5.1
1.5 0.7 1.3 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.5 1.6 2.2
2 1 0 Red Cards 0 1 3
Key stats this season:
  • Guria have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Guria have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Guria haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Norchi Dinamo have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Norchi Dinamo have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Norchi Dinamo have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Norchi Dinamo have scored more than double the goals of Guria.
  • Norchi Dinamo haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

Norchi Dinamo
07-07-19 EL2 Kolkheti Poti 1 - 4 Norchi Dinamo
05-08-19 EL2 Gagra 0 - 0 Norchi Dinamo
09-08-19 EL2 Tskhinvali 1 - 4 Norchi Dinamo
13-08-19 EL2 Norchi Dinamo 5 - 1 Shukura
18-08-19 EL2 Zugdidi 1 - 2 Norchi Dinamo
24-08-19 EL2 Norchi Dinamo 13:00 Guria
30-08-19 EL2 Shevardeni 1906 13:00 Norchi Dinamo
12-09-19 EL2 Norchi Dinamo 12:00 Telavi
17-09-19 EL2 Samtredia 12:00 Norchi Dinamo
22-09-19 EL2 Norchi Dinamo 12:00 Kolkheti Poti
Guria
06-07-19 EL2 Shevardeni 1906 2 - 1 Guria
04-08-19 EL2 Telavi 2 - 0 Guria
08-08-19 EL2 Guria 2 - 4 Samtredia
14-08-19 EL2 Kolkheti Poti 0 - 2 Guria
19-08-19 EL2 Guria 2 - 0 Gagra
24-08-19 EL2 Norchi Dinamo 13:00 Guria
29-08-19 EL2 Guria 13:00 Shukura
12-09-19 EL2 Zugdidi 12:00 Guria
17-09-19 EL2 Tskhinvali 12:00 Guria
22-09-19 EL2 Guria 12:00 Shevardeni 1906

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Norchi Dinamo 22 16 4 2 53 22 10 8 1 1 27 10 12 8 3 1 26 12 31 52
2 Samtredia 22 13 5 4 38 21 11 8 3 0 22 9 11 5 2 4 16 12 17 44
3 Shevardeni 1906 22 11 9 2 33 11 12 7 4 1 19 7 10 4 5 1 14 4 22 42
4 Telavi 22 10 6 6 39 21 12 7 3 2 22 7 10 3 3 4 17 14 18 36
5 Shukura 23 9 5 9 22 29 11 5 4 2 11 8 12 4 1 7 11 21 -7 32
6 Tskhinvali 22 7 5 10 27 29 11 4 2 5 17 16 11 3 3 5 10 13 -2 26
7 Gagra 22 6 7 9 22 26 11 3 4 4 9 8 11 3 3 5 13 18 -4 25
8 Kolkheti Poti 22 6 2 14 19 44 11 2 1 8 7 22 11 4 1 6 12 22 -25 20
9 Guria 22 5 2 15 19 44 11 3 1 7 12 20 11 2 1 8 7 24 -25 17
10 Zugdidi 23 5 1 17 13 38 11 3 0 8 9 23 12 2 1 9 4 15 -25 16