Ykkonen: TPS expected to win home game against MuSa

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Competition: Finland Ykkonen
Date: Fri 14.June
Match begins: 15:30 (UTC)

There should be a significant difference in quality between these teams based on table positions so far, with TPS leading MuSa by 11 points.

The hosts TPS saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Ykkonen.

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TPS form and stats

TPS have played 4 games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-0-1 (wins-draws-losses).

A good away victory last time out for TPS, who won 3-0 against KTP. Before that game, the 3-2 home victory against Jaro.

A decent goal production from TPS in their home games so far, with 6 goals from 4 matches. TPS have conceded 4 in these home matches.

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MuSa form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their travels is 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats. MuSa seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Ykkonen home defeat versus EIF with 1-3 on the scoreboard. Preceding that game, the 1-3 loss visiting KTP's place.

With the home team given a winning probability of about 80% by the bookmakers, any point(s) for the visitors would be a surprise. Checking earlier matches with similar odds with MuSa as the away team, we found one results. Statistics from these were 0 away wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. The outsiders lost 1 of these games by at least two goals.

MuSa find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 4 goals from 4 away fixtures. MuSa are struggling defensively in their away games, having conceded 4 goals in these matches.

Head 2 Head

Top Goalscorers

E. Espinosa
4 goals
S. Rähmönen
2 goals
A. Moundi
2 goals

TPS missing players

MuSa missing players

TPS MuSa
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs top Away Total
8 4 2 Played 1 4 8
6 3 2 Won 0 1 2
1 0 0 Drew 0 1 2
1 1 0 Lost 1 2 4
12 6 3 Scored 1 4 8
5 4 1 Conceded 6 10 16
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 75% 88%
50% 50% 50% Over 1.5 100% 75% 75%
38% 50% 50% Over 2.5 100% 75% 62%
12% 25% 0% Over 3.5 100% 50% 38%
12% 25% 0% Over 4.5 100% 25% 12%
38% 50% 50% BTTS 100% 75% 75%
50% 25% 50% Clean Sheets 0% 25% 25%
12% 25% 0% Failed To Score 0% 25% 12%
 
5 3.5 2.5 Corners For (avg) 2 4.7 5.7
4.9 5.8 4.5 Corners Against (avg) 2 2 3.2
1.2 1.5 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 1 1 1.5
1 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 1
Key stats this season:
  • MuSa have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • MuSa have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • MuSa have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded away.
  • MuSa have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • TPS have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • TPS have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • TPS have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • TPS haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

TPS
15-05-19 YK TPS 1 - 0 Kajaani
25-05-19 YK Oulu 0 - 1 TPS
29-05-19 YK TPS 0 - 1 Haka
02-06-19 YK TPS 3 - 2 Jaro
10-06-19 YK KTP 0 - 3 TPS
14-06-19 YK TPS 15:30 MuSa
19-06-19 YK MYPA 15:30 TPS
28-06-19 YK TPS 15:30 EIF
02-07-19 YK TPV 15:30 TPS
06-07-19 YK Kajaani 14:00 TPS
MuSa
16-05-19 YK Haka 6 - 1 MuSa
25-05-19 YK MuSa 1 - 2 MYPA
29-05-19 YK MuSa 1 - 0 Oulu
03-06-19 YK KTP 3 - 1 MuSa
09-06-19 YK MuSa 1 - 3 EIF
14-06-19 YK TPS 15:30 MuSa
19-06-19 YK Kajaani 15:30 MuSa
25-06-19 YK MuSa 15:30 TPV
29-06-19 YK Jaro 14:00 MuSa
06-07-19 YK MuSa 14:00 Haka

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Haka 9 7 2 0 21 5 5 5 0 0 17 4 4 2 2 0 4 1 16 23
2 TPS 8 6 1 1 12 5 4 3 0 1 6 4 4 3 1 0 6 1 7 19
3 Oulu 8 3 3 2 6 2 4 0 3 1 0 1 4 3 0 1 6 1 4 12
4 KTP 8 3 2 3 14 16 5 2 1 2 8 8 3 1 1 1 6 8 -2 11
5 EIF 8 3 1 4 15 13 4 2 1 1 11 6 4 1 0 3 4 7 2 10
6 Jaro 8 2 4 2 12 11 3 1 1 1 5 4 5 1 3 1 7 7 1 10
7 MuSa 8 2 2 4 8 16 4 1 1 2 4 6 4 1 1 2 4 10 -8 8
8 TPV 8 1 4 3 5 9 4 1 2 1 2 4 4 0 2 2 3 5 -4 7
9 MYPA 9 1 3 5 7 18 4 0 2 2 3 5 5 1 1 3 4 13 -11 6
10 Kajaani 8 1 2 5 6 11 4 0 1 3 2 6 4 1 1 2 4 5 -5 5