Vanarama National League prediction and preview: Eastleigh modest favorites to beat Aldershot Town

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Competition: England Vanarama National League
Date: Tue 28.January
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Silverlake Stadium (3000 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the Vanarama National League, with both Eastleigh and Aldershot Town experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic “six-pointer” with the home team placed 19th and the visitors in 17th place.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

L L W L L

Eastleigh form and stats

Eastleigh have collected 21 points from their Vanarama National League home games so far after 5-6-3. Regardless of arena the trend is looking very unhealthy for Eastleigh with their four defeats in a row. Not since the Boreham Wood game, 31 days ago, have they avoided a loss.

Eastleigh are anxiously hoping for a goal as it's been 218 minutes since the last one in league fixtures. (Scored by S. Smart).

In their previous game, the manager B. Strevens led his Eastleigh to a defeat in the Vanarama National League match away at Maidenhead United. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Silverlake Stadium. Ahead of that match, Eastleigh lost 0-2 at home to Chesterfield.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Eastleigh have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won 5 times, drawn 3 and lost 2.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Eastleigh as they have a new game in only four days, a Vanarama National League match thankfully also at home. Woking are visiting.

The Eastleigh fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 18 in 14 matches. Eastleigh have conceded 16 in these home matches.

L D W W D

Aldershot Town form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Aldershot Town so far with only 15 points returning home. The records show 4-3-8 (win-draw-lose).

Aldershot Town play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 0-2 to Dover Athletic (placed 12th). A 3-3 draw was the result before that, hosting Chorley.

We have checked recent matches where Aldershot Town have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 17 games were W2-D3-L12.

A new game in only four days for Aldershot Town, the Vanarama National League home match versus Harrogate Town. Busy days.

The attacking power of Aldershot Town when travelling is not overwhelming with 12 goals scored from 15 league matches away. In the opposite end, Aldershot Town have conceded 23 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Aldershot Town - Eastleigh 3-1. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Eastleigh 5 wins, 3 draws and Aldershot Town 2 victories. As for goals, 4 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 6 games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

EastleighD. Hollands
D. Hollands
9 goals
Aldershot TownE. Chislett
E. Chislett
9 goals
EastleighT. Barnett
T. Barnett
8 goals

Eastleigh missing players

Aldershot Town missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Eastleigh Aldershot Town
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
30 14 5 Played P 4 15 31
9 5 1 Won W 1 4 10
10 6 3 Drew D 1 3 8
11 3 1 Lost L 2 8 13
37 18 4 Scored S 4 12 36
45 16 5 Conceded C 9 23 44
97% 93% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 87% 90%
90% 86% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 67% 74%
43% 29% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 47% 55%
27% 14% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 13% 23%
13% 14% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 7% 6%
70% 64% 60% BTTS BTTS 75% 47% 55%
10% 21% 20% Clean Sheets C S 25% 20% 23%
23% 21% 40% Failed to Score F T 25% 47% 32%
 
7.1 7.8 7 Corners For (avg) C F 4 4 5.1
4.9 4.4 3.6 Corners Against (avg) C A 4.2 4.5 4.7
1.6 1.7 1.4 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.2 2.1 1.5
2 2 1 Red Cards R C 0 1 2
 
319 174 77 Total Shots T S 51 130 281
122 67 32 Shots on Target S O 13 56 111
30% 27% 12% Goal Efficiency G E 31% 21% 32%
Key stats in Vanarama National League this season:
  • Aldershot Town has the fewest points from losing position (2)
  • Aldershot Town have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Eastleigh has the most points from losing position (20)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Barrow 30 18 5 7 60 31 15 10 2 3 28 11 15 8 3 4 32 20 29 59
2 Harrogate Town 32 16 7 9 49 39 16 10 3 3 25 15 16 6 4 6 24 24 10 55
3 Yeovil Town 32 15 8 9 56 39 16 8 5 3 30 18 16 7 3 6 26 21 17 53
4 Bromley 32 14 8 10 53 43 16 8 5 3 35 21 16 6 3 7 18 22 10 50
5 Boreham Wood 31 13 10 8 46 33 16 6 6 4 22 17 15 7 4 4 24 16 13 49
6 Halifax Town 31 14 7 10 43 42 15 7 3 5 24 20 16 7 4 5 19 22 1 49
7 Notts County 31 12 11 8 46 33 16 7 7 2 25 14 15 5 4 6 21 19 13 47
8 Woking 31 13 8 10 42 46 16 7 5 4 18 18 15 6 3 6 24 28 -4 47
9 Solihull Moors 30 13 7 10 42 30 14 10 0 4 25 12 16 3 7 6 17 18 12 46
10 Stockport County 32 13 7 12 44 48 16 8 2 6 26 25 16 5 5 6 18 23 -4 46
11 Hartlepool United 32 11 11 10 48 45 16 6 5 5 24 22 16 5 6 5 24 23 3 44
12 Dover Athletic 30 12 8 10 37 37 16 4 5 7 22 23 14 8 3 3 15 14 0 44
13 Barnet 29 11 10 8 43 36 14 6 5 3 22 16 15 5 5 5 21 20 7 43
14 Torquay United 32 12 6 14 52 57 16 7 2 7 24 26 16 5 4 7 28 31 -5 42
15 Sutton United 32 10 11 11 40 37 16 5 5 6 26 23 16 5 6 5 14 14 3 41
16 Wrexham 32 10 8 14 42 43 16 7 5 4 23 16 16 3 3 10 19 27 -1 38
17 Aldershot Town 31 10 8 13 36 44 16 6 5 5 24 21 15 4 3 8 12 23 -8 38
18 Maidenhead United 32 11 5 16 39 48 16 4 4 8 17 22 16 7 1 8 22 26 -9 38
19 Eastleigh 30 9 10 11 37 45 14 5 6 3 18 16 16 4 4 8 19 29 -8 37
20 Dagenham & Redbridge 31 9 9 13 34 39 16 6 5 5 25 21 15 3 4 8 9 18 -5 36
21 Chesterfield 32 8 10 14 42 54 16 4 4 8 21 28 16 4 6 6 21 26 -12 34
22 Fylde 30 7 10 13 36 48 15 4 5 6 17 22 15 3 5 7 19 26 -12 31
23 Ebbsfleet United 31 5 11 15 38 60 15 2 5 8 19 30 16 3 6 7 19 30 -22 26
24 Chorley 32 4 13 15 28 56 16 3 5 8 11 25 16 1 8 7 17 31 -28 25

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Barrow 30 18 5 7 60 31 15 10 2 3 28 11 15 8 3 4 32 20 29 59
2 Harrogate Town 32 16 7 9 49 39 16 10 3 3 25 15 16 6 4 6 24 24 10 55
3 Yeovil Town 32 15 8 9 56 39 16 8 5 3 30 18 16 7 3 6 26 21 17 53
4 Bromley 32 14 8 10 53 43 16 8 5 3 35 21 16 6 3 7 18 22 10 50
5 Boreham Wood 31 13 10 8 46 33 16 6 6 4 22 17 15 7 4 4 24 16 13 49
6 Halifax Town 31 14 7 10 43 42 15 7 3 5 24 20 16 7 4 5 19 22 1 49
7 Notts County 31 12 11 8 46 33 16 7 7 2 25 14 15 5 4 6 21 19 13 47
8 Woking 31 13 8 10 42 46 16 7 5 4 18 18 15 6 3 6 24 28 -4 47
9 Solihull Moors 30 13 7 10 42 30 14 10 0 4 25 12 16 3 7 6 17 18 12 46
10 Stockport County 32 13 7 12 44 48 16 8 2 6 26 25 16 5 5 6 18 23 -4 46
11 Hartlepool United 32 11 11 10 48 45 16 6 5 5 24 22 16 5 6 5 24 23 3 44
12 Dover Athletic 30 12 8 10 37 37 16 4 5 7 22 23 14 8 3 3 15 14 0 44
13 Barnet 29 11 10 8 43 36 14 6 5 3 22 16 15 5 5 5 21 20 7 43
14 Torquay United 32 12 6 14 52 57 16 7 2 7 24 26 16 5 4 7 28 31 -5 42
15 Sutton United 32 10 11 11 40 37 16 5 5 6 26 23 16 5 6 5 14 14 3 41
16 Wrexham 32 10 8 14 42 43 16 7 5 4 23 16 16 3 3 10 19 27 -1 38
17 Aldershot Town 31 10 8 13 36 44 16 6 5 5 24 21 15 4 3 8 12 23 -8 38
18 Maidenhead United 32 11 5 16 39 48 16 4 4 8 17 22 16 7 1 8 22 26 -9 38
19 Eastleigh 30 9 10 11 37 45 14 5 6 3 18 16 16 4 4 8 19 29 -8 37
20 Dagenham & Redbridge 31 9 9 13 34 39 16 6 5 5 25 21 15 3 4 8 9 18 -5 36
21 Chesterfield 32 8 10 14 42 54 16 4 4 8 21 28 16 4 6 6 21 26 -12 34
22 Fylde 30 7 10 13 36 48 15 4 5 6 17 22 15 3 5 7 19 26 -12 31
23 Ebbsfleet United 31 5 11 15 38 60 15 2 5 8 19 30 16 3 6 7 19 30 -22 26
24 Chorley 32 4 13 15 28 56 16 3 5 8 11 25 16 1 8 7 17 31 -28 25

More from England - Vanarama National League

Read more about Vanarama National League

The National League is the fifth highest level of the English football league system. 24 professional and semi-professional teams play a total of 552 fixtures to top the league table. The National League is the top division of the National League System which contains division levels five to eleven.