Vanarama National League North match prediction: Little separates Leamington and Southport in quality

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Competition: England Vanarama National League North
Competition: Sat 22.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: The Phillips 66 Community Stadium (2300 seats)

Season ticket holders at The Phillips 66 Community Stadium haven’t seen too many victories this season, with Leamington languishing in the 16th position so far. The guesting Southport will be hopeful to defend their higher league position in this one.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Leamington and Southport.

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Leamington form and stats

Leamington have played 14 Vanarama National League North games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 5-5-4 (wins-draws-losses). With three straight defeats the pressure is piling up on Leamington to get some points in this home game. Two draws in a row at home now for Leamington.

In their previous game, the manager P. Holleran led his Leamington to a defeat in the Vanarama National League North match away at Alfreton Town. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at The Phillips 66 Community Stadium. Before that, Leamington played out a Fa Trophy draw 2-2 when visiting Concord Rangers (after extra-time).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Leamington have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eleven matches with the results: Won three, drawn three and lost five.

The Leamington fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 18 in 14 matches. Leamington have only conceded 13 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Southport form and stats

Playing away, Southport have won 5 games, drawn 4 and suffered 6 defeats in the Vanarama National League North this season. With three draws in a row for Southport the feeling in the team is perhaps one of both relief and disappointment. Two points from the last two away games for Southport, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

Southport has to pack their bags again for the second away game in a row. Last time they traveled to Brackley Town for a Vanarama National League North game that ended a draw (1-1). Preceding that game, the 2-2 draw paying a visit to Hereford.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found twelve similar matches played by Southport in our archives, and the results are: four wins for Southport, three draws and five defeats.

Southport are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 16 away goals from 15 games (in the league). 19 goals have been conceded by Southport in these games.

Head 2 Head

Leamington and Southport have met before this season: Southport - Leamington 4-1. Numbers for the last five meetings between these two teams are: one win for Leamington, zero draws and four wins for Southport. Over 2,5 goals: two times; under 2,5 goals: three games.

Top Goalscorers

SouthportD. Morgan
D. Morgan
10 goals
LeamingtonJ. Edwards
J. Edwards
7 goals
LeamingtonK. Anderson
K. Anderson
4 goals

Leamington missing players

Southport missing players

Leamington Southport
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
29 14 5 Played P 5 15 30
8 5 1 Won W 4 5 12
7 5 2 Drew D 1 4 7
14 4 2 Lost L 0 6 11
38 18 7 Scored S 11 16 39
48 13 8 Conceded C 3 19 38
93% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 93%
79% 71% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 73% 73%
59% 43% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 40% 47%
34% 21% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 20% 27%
17% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 7% 13%
45% 29% 40% BTTS BTTS 40% 27% 40%
24% 43% 20% Clean Sheets C S 60% 33% 33%
38% 43% 40% Failed to Score F T 0% 47% 33%
 
4.1 4.8 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 5.4 4.1 5
4.7 4.3 3.8 Corners against (avg) C A 4.6 5.5 5.4
1.6 1.6 1.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.6 1.7 1.6
6 2 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
232 96 26 Total Shots T S 51 140 323
89 36 8 Shots on Target S O 29 65 144
36% 42% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 25% 25%
Key stats in Vanarama National League North this season:
  • Southport has the fewest points from losing position (2)
  • Southport have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 King's Lynn Town 28 18 6 4 61 36 15 11 3 1 34 15 13 7 3 3 27 21 25 60
2 York City 30 17 8 5 46 22 15 9 4 2 22 10 15 8 4 3 24 12 24 59
3 Chester 30 15 9 6 55 33 15 10 3 2 34 13 15 5 6 4 21 20 22 54
4 Boston United 28 16 5 7 44 28 13 9 3 1 22 8 15 7 2 6 22 20 16 53
5 Altrincham 31 14 9 8 56 39 15 10 4 1 39 15 16 4 5 7 17 24 17 51
6 Brackley Town 29 13 10 6 48 18 15 7 7 1 28 7 14 6 3 5 20 11 30 49
7 Gateshead 28 13 9 6 41 27 16 10 3 3 28 13 12 3 6 3 13 14 14 48
8 Spennymoor Town 30 13 9 8 50 38 15 10 2 3 33 18 15 3 7 5 17 20 12 48
9 Guiseley 30 12 7 11 46 39 15 6 2 7 21 18 15 6 5 4 25 21 7 43
10 Southport 30 12 7 11 39 38 15 7 3 5 23 19 15 5 4 6 16 19 1 43
11 Darlington 29 13 4 12 36 42 15 9 2 4 22 14 14 4 2 8 14 28 -6 43
12 Farsley Celtic 30 12 6 12 42 39 15 6 4 5 23 20 15 6 2 7 19 19 3 42
13 Alfreton Town 29 12 4 13 45 43 14 7 3 4 28 17 15 5 1 9 17 26 2 40
14 AFC Telford United 30 10 8 12 44 49 15 5 4 6 26 26 15 5 4 6 18 23 -5 38
15 Kidderminster Harriers 31 9 8 14 37 41 15 3 4 8 18 23 16 6 4 6 19 18 -4 35
16 Leamington 29 8 7 14 38 48 14 5 5 4 18 13 15 3 2 10 20 35 -10 31
17 Hereford 29 7 10 12 31 46 15 4 9 2 18 16 14 3 1 10 13 30 -15 31
18 Kettering Town 28 7 9 12 34 42 13 4 4 5 18 20 15 3 5 7 16 22 -8 30
19 Curzon Ashton 30 7 8 15 30 40 15 6 2 7 19 16 15 1 6 8 11 24 -10 29
20 Gloucester City 28 8 5 15 36 55 13 5 3 5 19 17 15 3 2 10 17 38 -19 29
21 Blyth Spartans 31 6 5 20 30 71 16 3 3 10 16 37 15 3 2 10 14 34 -41 23
22 Bradford Park Avenue 30 3 5 22 22 77 15 2 2 11 13 34 15 1 3 11 9 43 -55 14

Read more about Vanarama National League North

The National League North, formerly known as Conference North, is the sixth highest division in English football. It contains teams located in Northern England, Norfolk, the English Midlands and North Wales. The league table has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other (home and away).