Vanarama National League North prediction and preview: AFC Telford United modest favorites to beat Curzon Ashton

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Competition: England Vanarama National League North
Competition: Tue 25.February
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: New Bucks Head Ground (6300 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. AFC Telford United are in the 14th position while the guesting Curzon Ashton worry at 19th.

There haven't been much time to rest for the hosts, as they played a Vanarama National League North match only three days ago. That game was an away game at Boston United, so at least AFC Telford United are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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AFC Telford United form and stats

AFC Telford United have collected 19 points from their Vanarama National League North home games so far after 5-4-6.

No payout for AFC Telford United in their previous match, an away game at Boston United that ended in defeat 0-1. Before that match, a win away at Guiseley.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how AFC Telford United have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won five times, drawn two and lost three.

There will be little rest for AFC Telford United after this match as they are travelling to Spennymoor Town for a Vanarama National League North game in only four days.

The AFC Telford United fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 26 goals in 15 league matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 26 goals have been conceded.

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Curzon Ashton form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Curzon Ashton so far with only 9 points returning home. The records show 1-6-8 (win-draw-lose). Curzon Ashton has drawn their two previous away games.

Curzon Ashton are looking to quickly end their 255 minutes long goal drought in the Vanarama National League North.

Curzon Ashton failed to get anything from their last game, a Vanarama National League North home match vs Gateshead (placed 8th) that ended with defeat 0-1. Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Kettering Town that ended 0-0.

Curzon Ashton are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is four wins, three draws and four defeats. From a total of eleven matches.

The schedule is very tough for Curzon Ashton now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Vanarama National League North game at York City is waiting in only four days.

The visitors have scored 11 goals from 15 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Curzon Ashton have conceded 24 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

AFC Telford United and Curzon Ashton have met before this season: Curzon Ashton - AFC Telford United 2-1. Head-2-head stats last nine meetings: two - two - five (AFC Telford United wins - draws - Curzon Ashton wins). As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

AFC Telford UnitedM. Dinanga
M. Dinanga
9 goals
AFC Telford UnitedA. Williams
A. Williams
8 goals
AFC Telford UnitedB. Daniels
B. Daniels
8 goals

AFC Telford United missing players

Curzon Ashton missing players

AFC Telford United Curzon Ashton
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
31 15 4 Played P 5 15 30
10 5 3 Won W 0 1 7
8 4 0 Drew D 1 6 8
13 6 1 Lost L 4 8 15
44 26 11 Scored S 3 11 30
50 26 8 Conceded C 9 24 40
94% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 80% 87%
77% 87% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 67% 63%
55% 67% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 53% 47%
42% 60% 75% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 20% 27%
19% 20% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 13% 10%
65% 67% 75% BTTS BTTS 40% 53% 40%
19% 20% 25% Clean Sheets C S 20% 27% 30%
23% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 60% 40% 43%
 
4.7 4.9 3.8 Corners for (avg) C F 4.8 4.3 4.6
6.3 5.7 5.8 Corners against (avg) C A 4 5 4.6
1.8 2.1 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.6 2.3 2
1 0 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
328 162 56 Total Shots T S 23 112 252
127 66 20 Shots on Target S O 8 40 93
35% 39% 55% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 28% 32%
Key stats in Vanarama National League North this season:
  • AFC Telford United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • AFC Telford United have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Curzon Ashton have scored away.
  • Curzon Ashton have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Curzon Ashton have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 York City 31 18 8 5 47 22 15 9 4 2 22 10 16 9 4 3 25 12 25 62
2 King's Lynn Town 28 18 6 4 61 36 15 11 3 1 34 15 13 7 3 3 27 21 25 60
3 Boston United 29 17 5 7 45 28 14 10 3 1 23 8 15 7 2 6 22 20 17 56
4 Chester 31 15 9 7 57 36 16 10 3 3 36 16 15 5 6 4 21 20 21 54
5 Brackley Town 30 14 10 6 51 20 15 7 7 1 28 7 15 7 3 5 23 13 31 52
6 Altrincham 31 14 9 8 56 39 15 10 4 1 39 15 16 4 5 7 17 24 17 51
7 Spennymoor Town 31 14 9 8 55 38 16 11 2 3 38 18 15 3 7 5 17 20 17 51
8 Gateshead 29 13 10 6 43 29 16 10 3 3 28 13 13 3 7 3 15 16 14 49
9 Farsley Celtic 31 13 6 12 44 39 16 7 4 5 25 20 15 6 2 7 19 19 5 45
10 Guiseley 31 12 8 11 48 41 16 6 3 7 23 20 15 6 5 4 25 21 7 44
11 Darlington 30 13 5 12 38 44 15 9 2 4 22 14 15 4 3 8 16 30 -6 44
12 Southport 31 12 7 12 39 39 15 7 3 5 23 19 16 5 4 7 16 20 0 43
13 Alfreton Town 30 12 4 14 45 48 14 7 3 4 28 17 16 5 1 10 17 31 -3 40
14 AFC Telford United 31 10 8 13 44 50 15 5 4 6 26 26 16 5 4 7 18 24 -6 38
15 Kidderminster Harriers 32 9 8 15 37 42 16 3 4 9 18 24 16 6 4 6 19 18 -5 35
16 Leamington 30 9 7 14 39 48 15 6 5 4 19 13 15 3 2 10 20 35 -9 34
17 Hereford 30 7 11 12 33 48 16 4 10 2 20 18 14 3 1 10 13 30 -15 32
18 Kettering Town 28 7 9 12 34 42 13 4 4 5 18 20 15 3 5 7 16 22 -8 30
19 Curzon Ashton 30 7 8 15 30 40 15 6 2 7 19 16 15 1 6 8 11 24 -10 29
20 Gloucester City 28 8 5 15 36 55 13 5 3 5 19 17 15 3 2 10 17 38 -19 29
21 Blyth Spartans 32 6 5 21 30 73 16 3 3 10 16 37 16 3 2 11 14 36 -43 23
22 Bradford Park Avenue 30 3 5 22 22 77 15 2 2 11 13 34 15 1 3 11 9 43 -55 14

Read more about Vanarama National League North

The National League North, formerly known as Conference North, is the sixth highest division in English football. It contains teams located in Northern England, Norfolk, the English Midlands and North Wales. The league table has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other (home and away).