Premier League: Chelsea expected to win home game against Newcastle United

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Competition: England Premier League
Date: Sat 19.October
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stamford Bridge (41841 seats)

There should be a significant difference in quality between these teams based on table positions so far, with Chelsea leading Newcastle United by 6 points.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

W W W W L

Chelsea form and stats

The story so far in the Premier League for Chelsea at their home stadium (Stamford Bridge) is 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat.

Chelsea are returning here after visiting Southampton in a Premier League game and winning with a 4-1 scoreline. In the game before, an away victory in the Champions League match versus Lille with a 2-1 scoreline.

The home team are expected to win this game about three out of four times, according to the bookmaker odds. When checking the database for Chelsea home games with this odds we find 14 games with a similar winning chance. Resulting in 8 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat. Looking at the victories, 4 matches were won by at least two goals.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Chelsea as they are travelling to their away game against Ajax in the Champions League. That match is four days after this one.

A decent goal production from Chelsea in their home games so far, with 6 goals from 4 league matches. 5 goals have been conceded.

W L D L D

Newcastle United form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Premier League travels is 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Newcastle United has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

The supporters enjoyed Newcastle United's previous game versus Manchester United (placed 12th), a Premier League 1-0 win played at home. Prior to that match, the Newcastle United manager S. Bruce faced defeat when travelling to Leicester City and losing 0-5.

We have done a similar check as we did with the hometeam, looking up recent matches where Newcastle United played away with similar odds. This revealed two games. The visitors overcame the odds to win 0 times, 0 were draws and the home team won as expected 2 times.

The visitors have scored 3 goals from 4 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Newcastle United are struggling defensively in their away games, having conceded 3 goals in these matches.

Head 2 Head

Last ten meetings between the teams: Chelsea won 7, Newcastle United won 2 and 1 draw. 9 games with over 2,5 goals, 1 match with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

T. Abraham
8 goals
M. Mount
4 goals
N. Kanté
2 goals

Chelsea missing players

Newcastle United missing players

Chelsea Newcastle United
Total Home Home vs low Statistics Stat Away vs top Away Total
8 4 1 Played P 2 4 8
4 1 1 Won W 0 1 2
2 2 0 Drew D 0 0 2
2 1 0 Lost L 2 3 4
18 6 2 Scored S 1 3 5
14 5 0 Conceded C 8 11 13
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 88%
100% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 50%
75% 50% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 75% 38%
62% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 75% 38%
38% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 25% 12%
75% 75% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 38%
12% 25% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 38%
12% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 25% 38%
 
5 4.5 5 Corners For (avg) C F 0.5 3 4
3.6 3.8 2 Corners Against (avg) C A 9.5 8 6.1
1.8 1.5 2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 0.5 1.5 1.8
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 1 1 1
Key stats This season:
  • All of Chelsea's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Chelsea have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Chelsea have scored more than double the goals of Newcastle United.
  • Chelsea haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Newcastle United have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Newcastle United have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Newcastle United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Newcastle United have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Newcastle United haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Chelsea
All Champions League Uefa Super Cup Community Shield International Champions Cup Europa League Premier League Club Friendlies Carabao Cup FA Cup
All Home Away
22-09-19 PL Chelsea 1 - 2 Liverpool
25-09-19 CC Chelsea 7 - 1 Grimsby Town
28-09-19 PL Chelsea 2 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion
02-10-19 CL Lille 1 - 2 Chelsea
06-10-19 PL Southampton 1 - 4 Chelsea
19-10-19 PL Chelsea 14:00 Newcastle United
23-10-19 CL Ajax 16:55 Chelsea
26-10-19 PL Burnley 16:30 Chelsea
30-10-19 CC Chelsea 20:05 Manchester United
02-11-19 PL Watford 17:30 Chelsea
Newcastle United
All Premier League Club Friendlies Premier League Asia Trophy Carabao Cup FA Cup
All Home Away
31-08-19 PL Newcastle United 1 - 1 Watford
14-09-19 PL Liverpool 3 - 1 Newcastle United
21-09-19 PL Newcastle United 0 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion
29-09-19 PL Leicester City 5 - 0 Newcastle United
06-10-19 PL Newcastle United 1 - 0 Manchester United
19-10-19 PL Chelsea 14:00 Newcastle United
27-10-19 PL Newcastle United 14:00 Wolverhampton Wanderers
02-11-19 PL West Ham United 15:00 Newcastle United
09-11-19 PL Newcastle United 15:00 AFC Bournemouth
25-11-19 PL Aston Villa 20:00 Newcastle United

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Liverpool 8 8 0 0 20 6 4 4 0 0 12 4 4 4 0 0 8 2 14 24
2 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 27 9 4 2 1 1 14 4 4 3 0 1 13 5 18 16
3 Arsenal 8 4 3 1 13 11 4 3 1 0 8 5 4 1 2 1 5 6 2 15
4 Leicester City 8 4 2 2 14 7 4 3 1 0 10 2 4 1 1 2 4 5 7 14
5 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 18 14 4 1 2 1 6 5 4 3 0 1 12 9 4 14
6 Crystal Palace 8 4 2 2 8 8 4 2 2 0 4 1 4 2 0 2 4 7 0 14
7 Burnley 8 3 3 2 11 9 4 3 0 1 6 3 4 0 3 1 5 6 2 12
8 West Ham United 8 3 3 2 11 11 4 2 0 2 5 7 4 1 3 0 6 4 0 12
9 Tottenham Hotspur 8 3 2 3 14 12 4 3 0 1 9 3 4 0 2 2 5 9 2 11
10 AFC Bournemouth 8 3 2 3 13 13 4 1 2 1 7 7 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 11
11 Wolverhampton Wanderers 8 2 4 2 11 11 4 1 2 1 6 7 4 1 2 1 5 4 0 10
12 Manchester United 8 2 3 3 9 8 4 2 1 1 7 3 4 0 2 2 2 5 1 9
13 Sheffield United 8 2 3 3 7 7 4 1 0 3 2 4 4 1 3 0 5 3 0 9
14 Brighton & Hove Albion 8 2 3 3 8 10 4 1 2 1 5 4 4 1 1 2 3 6 -2 9
15 Aston Villa 8 2 2 4 13 12 4 1 2 1 5 4 4 1 0 3 8 8 1 8
16 Newcastle United 8 2 2 4 5 13 4 1 2 1 2 2 4 1 0 3 3 11 -8 8
17 Southampton 8 2 1 5 8 15 4 0 1 3 4 10 4 2 0 2 4 5 -7 7
18 Everton 8 2 1 5 6 13 4 2 0 2 5 7 4 0 1 3 1 6 -7 7
19 Norwich City 8 2 0 6 10 21 4 2 0 2 9 11 4 0 0 4 1 10 -11 6
20 Watford 8 0 3 5 4 20 4 0 2 2 3 8 4 0 1 3 1 12 -16 3

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