Non League Premier: Southern preview: Can Nuneaton Town edge out victory against AFC Rushden & Diamonds?

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Competition: England Non League Premier: Southern
Date: Sat 25.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: The A1 Gasforce Stadium (6250 seats)

This could be an interesting match as Nuneaton Town have their presumed home advantage while AFC Rushden & Diamonds are ahead 3 points in the Non League Premier: Southern table.

The visiting AFC Rushden & Diamonds played their last game only four days ago, a Non League Premier: Southern match.

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Nuneaton Town form and stats

27 points is a decent return from 13 Non League Premier: Southern games here at The A1 Gasforce Stadium for Nuneaton Town, who have the most clean sheets (6) at home in Non League Premier: Southern,. The data says 8 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. Two draws in a row at home now for Nuneaton Town.

Happy days for Nuneaton Town in their previous game, a Non League Premier: Southern match away at Needham Market (placed 15th) that ended with a 3-1 victory. Preceding that game was the home draw versus Banbury United that ended 2-2.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Nuneaton Town have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found three games) they have won 0 times, drawn 1 and lost 2.

Goals decide football matches and Nuneaton Town are scoring many of them at home; 29 on target from 13 league matches. Nuneaton Town have conceded 14 in these home matches.

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AFC Rushden & Diamonds form and stats

Playing away, AFC Rushden & Diamonds have won 4 games, drawn 5 and suffered 4 defeats in the Non League Premier: Southern this season. Momentum is building for AFC Rushden & Diamonds in their away games, having won their two previous outings.

AFC Rushden & Diamonds delivered a 1-1 draw playing at home against Hednesford Town (placed 9th) in their previous match; a Non League Premier: Southern game. That result followed a home victory 4-2 versus Stratford Town.

We have checked recent matches where AFC Rushden & Diamonds have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those seven games were W1-D3-L3.

AFC Rushden & Diamonds are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 17 away goals from 13 games (in the league). In the opposite end, AFC Rushden & Diamonds have conceded 20 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the AFC Rushden & Diamonds - Nuneaton Town 2-0 earlier this season.

Nuneaton Town missing players

AFC Rushden & Diamonds missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Nuneaton Town AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
26 13 3 Played P 4 13 26
11 8 0 Won W 1 4 12
7 3 2 Drew D 1 5 7
8 2 1 Lost L 2 4 7
46 29 3 Scored S 4 17 45
37 14 5 Conceded C 5 20 42
96% 92% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 96%
88% 85% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 85% 88%
58% 77% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 46% 58%
46% 62% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 31% 35%
15% 15% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 15% 23%
54% 46% 67% BTTS BTTS 50% 69% 69%
27% 46% 33% Clean Sheets C S 25% 15% 19%
23% 15% 33% Failed to Score F T 25% 23% 15%
 
6 6.5 4.7 Corners For (avg) C F 6 5.6 4.6
3.6 4.2 4.3 Corners Against (avg) C A 6.5 3.4 3.4
1.4 1.2 2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.2 1.4
3 1 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 3
 
292 162 34 Total Shots T S 14 39 122
129 71 15 Shots on Target S O 5 16 55
30% 37% 20% Goal Efficiency G E 60% 44% 51%
Key stats in Non League Premier: Southern this season:
  • AFC Rushden & Diamonds has the most points from losing position (18)
  • AFC Rushden & Diamonds have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • Nuneaton Town has the most clean sheets (6) at home
  • Nuneaton Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Nuneaton Town have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bromsgrove Sporting 27 15 6 6 71 34 13 6 4 3 27 14 14 9 2 3 44 20 37 51
2 Tamworth 23 15 2 6 46 22 13 8 1 4 28 14 10 7 1 2 18 8 24 47
3 Peterborough Sports 25 13 6 6 64 40 13 7 4 2 41 22 12 6 2 4 23 18 24 45
4 Royston Town 23 13 6 4 46 24 11 7 3 1 24 10 12 6 3 3 22 14 22 45
5 Coalville Town 25 12 9 4 45 27 12 6 4 2 25 16 13 6 5 2 20 11 18 45
6 Rushall Olympic 27 13 6 8 49 35 14 9 2 3 33 17 13 4 4 5 16 18 14 45
7 AFC Rushden & Diamonds 26 12 7 7 45 42 13 8 2 3 28 22 13 4 5 4 17 20 3 43
8 Banbury United 26 11 9 6 40 26 13 7 3 3 22 13 13 4 6 3 18 13 14 42
9 Hednesford Town 24 13 3 8 40 27 11 7 1 3 21 10 13 6 2 5 19 17 13 42
10 Nuneaton Town 26 11 7 8 46 37 13 8 3 2 29 14 13 3 4 6 17 23 9 40
11 Stourbridge 22 12 4 6 43 35 11 6 2 3 20 15 11 6 2 3 23 20 8 40
12 Barwell 25 12 2 11 50 46 13 8 1 4 27 17 12 4 1 7 23 29 4 38
13 Kings Langley 25 11 4 10 41 39 12 6 2 4 21 16 13 5 2 6 20 23 2 37
14 Biggleswade Town 23 11 3 9 36 34 11 7 0 4 18 17 12 4 3 5 18 17 2 36
15 Needham Market 25 8 8 9 30 31 14 3 6 5 18 21 11 5 2 4 12 10 -1 32
16 Lowestoft Town 24 9 2 13 39 47 13 6 2 5 19 13 11 3 0 8 20 34 -8 29
17 Hitchin Town 25 7 7 11 33 40 12 3 4 5 14 16 13 4 3 6 19 24 -7 28
18 Leiston 26 6 5 15 36 78 13 2 3 8 18 39 13 4 2 7 18 39 -42 23
19 Stratford Town 27 6 3 18 35 64 14 5 1 8 24 30 13 1 2 10 11 34 -29 21
20 Alvechurch 23 4 4 15 23 45 11 2 3 6 13 18 12 2 1 9 10 27 -22 16
21 St Ives Town 26 4 4 18 27 57 12 3 2 7 15 28 14 1 2 11 12 29 -30 16
22 Redditch United 27 2 3 22 21 76 13 1 2 10 10 29 14 1 1 12 11 47 -55 9

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bromsgrove Sporting 27 15 6 6 71 34 13 6 4 3 27 14 14 9 2 3 44 20 37 51
2 Tamworth 23 15 2 6 46 22 13 8 1 4 28 14 10 7 1 2 18 8 24 47
3 Peterborough Sports 25 13 6 6 64 40 13 7 4 2 41 22 12 6 2 4 23 18 24 45
4 Royston Town 23 13 6 4 46 24 11 7 3 1 24 10 12 6 3 3 22 14 22 45
5 Coalville Town 25 12 9 4 45 27 12 6 4 2 25 16 13 6 5 2 20 11 18 45
6 Rushall Olympic 27 13 6 8 49 35 14 9 2 3 33 17 13 4 4 5 16 18 14 45
7 AFC Rushden & Diamonds 26 12 7 7 45 42 13 8 2 3 28 22 13 4 5 4 17 20 3 43
8 Banbury United 26 11 9 6 40 26 13 7 3 3 22 13 13 4 6 3 18 13 14 42
9 Hednesford Town 24 13 3 8 40 27 11 7 1 3 21 10 13 6 2 5 19 17 13 42
10 Nuneaton Town 26 11 7 8 46 37 13 8 3 2 29 14 13 3 4 6 17 23 9 40
11 Stourbridge 22 12 4 6 43 35 11 6 2 3 20 15 11 6 2 3 23 20 8 40
12 Barwell 25 12 2 11 50 46 13 8 1 4 27 17 12 4 1 7 23 29 4 38
13 Kings Langley 25 11 4 10 41 39 12 6 2 4 21 16 13 5 2 6 20 23 2 37
14 Biggleswade Town 23 11 3 9 36 34 11 7 0 4 18 17 12 4 3 5 18 17 2 36
15 Needham Market 25 8 8 9 30 31 14 3 6 5 18 21 11 5 2 4 12 10 -1 32
16 Lowestoft Town 24 9 2 13 39 47 13 6 2 5 19 13 11 3 0 8 20 34 -8 29
17 Hitchin Town 25 7 7 11 33 40 12 3 4 5 14 16 13 4 3 6 19 24 -7 28
18 Leiston 26 6 5 15 36 78 13 2 3 8 18 39 13 4 2 7 18 39 -42 23
19 Stratford Town 27 6 3 18 35 64 14 5 1 8 24 30 13 1 2 10 11 34 -29 21
20 Alvechurch 23 4 4 15 23 45 11 2 3 6 13 18 12 2 1 9 10 27 -22 16
21 St Ives Town 26 4 4 18 27 57 12 3 2 7 15 28 14 1 2 11 12 29 -30 16
22 Redditch United 27 2 3 22 21 76 13 1 2 10 10 29 14 1 1 12 11 47 -55 9

More from England - Non League Premier: Southern

Read more about Non League Premier: Southern

The Southern Football League consists of four divisions: Central Division and South Division (at the seventh highest division level of English football) and Division One Central / Division One South (eight highest level). Teams come from the South West of England, southern Midlands and South Wales.