Non League Premier: Northern prediction and preview: Gainsborough Trinity modest favorites to beat Buxton

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Competition: England Non League Premier: Northern
Date: Tue 15.October
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)

An important duel in the bottom section of the league table, with both teams experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic “six-pointer” with the home team placed 20th and the visitors in 22nd place.

It's no vacation for neither Gainsborough Trinity nor Buxton as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Gainsborough Trinity form and stats

The story so far in the Non League Premier: Northern for Gainsborough Trinity at their home stadium is 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats.

The Gainsborough Trinity crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 0-2 to Atherton Collieries here in a Non League Premier: Northern match. A defeat was the result before that one, 3-4 away at Basford United.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Gainsborough Trinity handle that role? We have found four games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W2-D0-L2.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Gainsborough Trinity as they are travelling to their away game against Ashton United in the Non League Premier: Northern. That match is four days after this one.

The Gainsborough Trinity fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 10 goals in 6 league matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Gainsborough Trinity defense is not exactly impregnable. 9 goals conceded from 6 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Buxton form and stats

0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses. That’s the product of Buxton playing as the away team in the Non League Premier: Northern this season. Bitter travels for Buxton as they have lost four games in a row away from home. The last time they avoided an away-from-home loss was the Scarborough Athletic match.

Buxton play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 0-7 to United of Manchester (placed 9th). Before that, Buxton secured a home win against Grantham Town with the score 7-0.

Buxton are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. From a total of five matches.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Witton Albion in just four days.

Buxton find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 5 goals from 5 away fixtures in the league. There are big problems for the Buxton defense as they have conceded 17 goals in 5 away games.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last two matches): Gainsborough Trinity 0 wins, 0 draws and Buxton 2 victories. As for goals, 1 match ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 1 game had two or less.

Gainsborough Trinity missing players

Buxton missing players

Gainsborough Trinity Buxton
Total Home Home vs low Statistics Stat Away vs low Away Total
11 6 2 Played P 1 5 11
2 2 1 Won W 0 0 1
2 2 0 Drew D 1 1 3
7 2 1 Lost L 0 4 7
15 10 4 Scored S 1 5 18
20 9 3 Conceded C 1 17 26
91% 83% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 91%
82% 83% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 91%
55% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 80% 73%
36% 50% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 60% 45%
27% 33% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 40% 36%
55% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 80% 73%
18% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 18%
36% 33% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 20% 18%
 
5.5 6.2 4 Corners For (avg) C F 0 4 4.3
3.8 3.3 3.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 0 5.8 5.4
1.8 1.8 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 0 2 1.3
2 1 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 1
Key stats This season:
  • All of Buxton's away matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Buxton have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Buxton have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Buxton have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Buxton have yet to win a game away.
  • Buxton haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Gainsborough Trinity
All Fa Trophy Club Friendlies Vanarama National League North Non League Premier: Northern FA Cup
All Home Away
24-09-19 No South Shields 2 - 0 Gainsborough Trinity
28-09-19 No Gainsborough Trinity 2 - 2 Mickleover Sports
01-10-19 No Gainsborough Trinity 4 - 1 Bamber Bridge
05-10-19 No Basford United 4 - 3 Gainsborough Trinity
12-10-19 No Gainsborough Trinity 0 - 2 Atherton Collieries
15-10-19 No Gainsborough Trinity 18:45 Buxton
19-10-19 No Ashton United 14:00 Gainsborough Trinity
02-11-19 No United of Manchester 15:00 Gainsborough Trinity
16-11-19 No Gainsborough Trinity 15:00 Morpeth Town
23-11-19 No Lancaster City 15:00 Gainsborough Trinity
Buxton
All Fa Trophy Club Friendlies Non League Premier: Northern FA Cup
All Home Away
21-09-19 FAC Buxton 5 - 0 Corby Town
28-09-19 No Buxton 1 - 2 South Shields
05-10-19 FAC Buxton 1 - 2 York City
08-10-19 No Buxton 7 - 0 Grantham Town
12-10-19 No United of Manchester 7 - 0 Buxton
15-10-19 No Gainsborough Trinity 18:45 Buxton
19-10-19 No Buxton 14:00 Witton Albion
02-11-19 No Buxton 15:00 Ashton United
16-11-19 No Atherton Collieries 15:00 Buxton
23-11-19 No Stalybridge Celtic 15:00 Buxton

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 South Shields 13 10 1 2 24 8 7 6 0 1 16 3 6 4 1 1 8 5 16 31
2 Lancaster City 13 7 3 3 25 19 7 5 2 0 11 4 6 2 1 3 14 15 6 24
3 Basford United 12 6 3 3 20 13 5 4 0 1 12 5 7 2 3 2 8 8 7 21
4 Matlock Town 13 6 3 4 18 14 7 3 2 2 11 9 6 3 1 2 7 5 4 21
5 Mickleover Sports 13 6 3 4 18 15 6 4 1 1 8 4 7 2 2 3 10 11 3 21
6 Warrington Town 11 5 4 2 17 12 5 2 1 2 7 7 6 3 3 0 10 5 5 19
7 Whitby Town 11 6 1 4 16 12 6 3 1 2 7 6 5 3 0 2 9 6 4 19
8 Nantwich Town 11 6 1 4 20 18 7 5 0 2 15 10 4 1 1 2 5 8 2 19
9 United of Manchester 12 5 3 4 20 13 6 3 0 3 13 7 6 2 3 1 7 6 7 18
10 Hyde United 12 5 2 5 21 20 6 3 1 2 16 10 6 2 1 3 5 10 1 17
11 Grantham Town 13 4 5 4 20 29 8 4 2 2 12 13 5 0 3 2 8 16 -9 17
12 Stalybridge Celtic 12 5 1 6 19 19 6 3 0 3 15 13 6 2 1 3 4 6 0 16
13 Witton Albion 11 4 4 3 11 11 6 4 0 2 8 5 5 0 4 1 3 6 0 16
14 Morpeth Town 8 3 3 2 14 13 4 2 2 0 7 5 4 1 1 2 7 8 1 12
15 Scarborough Athletic 12 2 6 4 10 16 6 0 6 0 4 4 6 2 0 4 6 12 -6 12
16 Radcliffe Borough 8 3 2 3 9 9 4 1 2 1 5 3 4 2 0 2 4 6 0 11
17 Atherton Collieries 10 3 2 5 13 19 3 1 0 2 6 8 7 2 2 3 7 11 -6 11
18 Ashton United 10 2 3 5 13 18 4 0 2 2 3 6 6 2 1 3 10 12 -5 9
19 Bamber Bridge 13 2 3 8 16 26 5 2 2 1 10 8 8 0 1 7 6 18 -10 9
20 Gainsborough Trinity 11 2 2 7 15 20 6 2 2 2 10 9 5 0 0 5 5 11 -5 8
21 Stafford Rangers 10 0 6 4 5 12 5 0 4 1 2 3 5 0 2 3 3 9 -7 6
22 Buxton 11 1 3 7 18 26 6 1 2 3 13 9 5 0 1 4 5 17 -8 6

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