Non League Premier: Isthmian match prediction: Little separates Lewes and AFC Hornchurch in quality

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Competition: England Non League Premier: Isthmian
Competition: Wed 12.February
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: The Dripping Pan (2000 seats)

Struggling Lewes will be hoping to pull off an upset when they welcome high-flying AFC Hornchurch in the upcoming league round. It’s 17th vs 4th and the home crowd will have moderate expectations.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Lewes form and stats

Lewes's results here at The Dripping Pan in the Non League Premier: Isthmian have been very modest with 1 victory, 3 draws and 8 defeats. It's been an uphill battle for Lewes in their home games for quite some time now, as four matches in a row are lost here. Not since the Folkestone Invicta game have they avoided the disappointment of defeat. Regardless of arena the trend is looking very unhealthy for Lewes with their five defeats in a row. Not since the Haringey Borough game, 39 days ago, have they avoided a loss.

The Lewes crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 1-6 to Cheshunt here at The Dripping Pan in a Non League Premier: Isthmian match. Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Corinthian-Casuals (0-1).

As you see from the result above, Lewes suffered greatly in their last game. Thankfully the team has a new chance to prove themselves in this one.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Lewes have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 14 matches with the results: Won two, drawn four and lost eight.

There will be little rest for Lewes after this match as they are travelling to Enfield Town for a Non League Premier: Isthmian game in only three days.

Lewes have scored 9 league goals here from 12 matches, not a lot. Goals are flowing in at the wrong end for Lewes with 24 goals conceded in these matches.

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AFC Hornchurch form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team, who have the the best goal difference (+31) in Non League Premier: Isthmian, on their Non League Premier: Isthmian travels is 5 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as AFC Hornchurch have lost on their last two travels.

Two away games in a row for AFC Hornchurch, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 1-2 versus Potters Bar Town in the Non League Premier: Isthmian. Before that, AFC Hornchurch secured a home win against Cheshunt with the score 3-0.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with AFC Hornchurch playing away and similar expectations, we found six relevant matches. Results were two AFC Hornchurch wins, three draws and one defeat.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Merstham in just three days.

The travelling fans enjoy AFC Hornchurch's attacking play in away games, having scored 22 goals in 13 league matches away. As opposed to that, AFC Hornchurch have seen the ball go into their own net 15 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Last eight meetings between the teams: Lewes won three, AFC Hornchurch won three and two draws. four games with over 2,5 goals, four matches with two goals or less.

Lewes missing players

AFC Hornchurch missing players

Lewes AFC Hornchurch
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
26 12 5 Played P 4 13 27
7 1 0 Won W 3 5 15
4 3 2 Drew D 0 3 7
15 8 3 Lost L 1 5 5
29 9 3 Scored S 6 22 53
45 24 7 Conceded C 4 15 22
96% 92% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
73% 67% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 77% 81%
46% 42% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 54% 59%
31% 25% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 23% 26%
23% 25% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 23% 11%
46% 42% 40% BTTS BTTS 50% 69% 56%
19% 17% 20% Clean Sheets C S 25% 15% 37%
38% 50% 60% Failed to Score F T 25% 15% 11%
 
3.6 4.3 5 Corners for (avg) C F 4 3.1 3.5
4.6 5.7 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6 2.6 1.8
1.1 1.3 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.6 1.1
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
177 107 45 Total Shots T S 11 40 79
63 34 13 Shots on Target S O 5 19 39
30% 21% 15% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 47% 77%
Key stats in Non League Premier: Isthmian this season:
  • AFC Hornchurch has the fewest conceded goals (22)
  • AFC Hornchurch has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (6)
  • AFC Hornchurch has the the best goal difference (+31)
  • AFC Hornchurch have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • AFC Hornchurch have scored at least twice as many goals away as Lewes have scored home.
  • AFC Hornchurch haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Lewes has the fewest points (6) at home
  • Lewes has the fewest scored goals (9) at home
  • Lewes have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Worthing 29 19 6 4 64 36 15 10 2 3 38 23 14 9 4 1 26 13 28 63
2 Folkestone Invicta 29 17 7 5 58 32 15 10 3 2 33 17 14 7 4 3 25 15 26 58
3 Cray Wanderers 29 15 9 5 58 44 15 6 6 3 30 20 14 9 3 2 28 24 14 54
4 AFC Hornchurch 27 15 7 5 53 22 14 10 4 0 31 7 13 5 3 5 22 15 31 52
5 Carshalton Athletic 29 15 7 7 47 34 15 8 4 3 26 17 14 7 3 4 21 17 13 52
6 Horsham 29 15 6 8 47 29 14 8 4 2 25 12 15 7 2 6 22 17 18 51
7 Enfield Town 28 14 6 8 54 48 15 7 4 4 32 27 13 7 2 4 22 21 6 48
8 Bognor Regis Town 28 14 4 10 52 42 14 7 2 5 31 25 14 7 2 5 21 17 10 46
9 Leatherhead 27 13 6 8 40 38 12 7 1 4 19 15 15 6 5 4 21 23 2 45
10 East Thurrock United 26 13 4 9 44 34 13 8 2 3 29 17 13 5 2 6 15 17 10 43
11 Kingstonian 25 9 11 5 34 29 12 4 6 2 16 11 13 5 5 3 18 18 5 38
12 Potters Bar Town 27 10 7 10 42 43 13 5 2 6 16 19 14 5 5 4 26 24 -1 37
13 Margate 28 9 7 12 41 50 13 3 4 6 19 27 15 6 3 6 22 23 -9 34
14 Haringey Borough 25 9 6 10 36 38 14 7 4 3 23 15 11 2 2 7 13 23 -2 33
15 Bowers & Pitsea 28 8 6 14 34 37 13 2 2 9 11 17 15 6 4 5 23 20 -3 30
16 Bishop's Stortford 29 8 4 17 36 58 14 4 2 8 17 26 15 4 2 9 19 32 -22 28
17 Lewes 26 7 4 15 29 45 12 1 3 8 9 24 14 6 1 7 20 21 -16 25
18 Cheshunt 28 7 3 18 35 53 15 4 2 9 16 19 13 3 1 9 19 34 -18 24
19 Merstham 29 6 5 18 28 59 14 4 1 9 16 29 15 2 4 9 12 30 -31 23
20 Corinthian-Casuals 27 5 7 15 28 36 13 3 3 7 15 16 14 2 4 8 13 20 -8 22
21 Wingate & Finchley 28 4 8 16 28 50 15 2 3 10 13 29 13 2 5 6 15 21 -22 20
22 Brightlingsea Regent 29 4 8 17 22 53 15 3 5 7 10 23 14 1 3 10 12 30 -31 20

Read more about Non League Premier: Isthmian

The Isthmian League has four divisions. The Premier Division is at the seventh highest division level in England while the North, South Central and South East Division are at the eight level. The Isthmian League covers London, East and South East England and holds mostly semi-professional teams.