Football tips: Notts County vs Grimsby Town - predictions and betting guide

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Competition: England League Two
Date: Sat 27.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Meadow Lane Stadium (19588 seats)

This match features two teams living in the basement of the League Two, Notts County holding 24th place and Grimsby Town lying 17th. A good chance for both teams to improve their position.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Notts County form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories so far this season. Notts County, who have the most conceded goals (80) in League Two, have only managed 4 wins, 9 draws and 9 losses so far from their games here at Meadow Lane Stadium.

Notts County manager N. Ardley and his team return home after a 1-1 draw away versus Crawley Town in the League Two. Ahead of that match, Notts County lost 1-2 at home to Milton Keynes Dons.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Notts County have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won 4 times, drawn 3 and lost 1.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Notts County here at Meadow Lane Stadium, with less than one goal per game on average (21 from 22 games). Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 33 goals have been conceded.

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Grimsby Town form and stats

Grimsby Town have only collected 19 points from their away games after 5-4-13 (22 played).

The supporters enjoyed Grimsby Town's previous game versus Carlisle United, a League Two 1-0 win played at home. It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Colchester United wasn't a success with a 0-1 loss.

Grimsby Town are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats. From a total of 15 matches.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Grimsby Town as they have only managed to score 18 times from 22 away games. Grimsby Town have conceded 33 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Grimsby Town - Notts County 4-0, played this season. Last ten meetings between the teams: Notts County won 2, Grimsby Town won 5 and 3 draws.

Top Goalscorers

K. Hemmings
13 goals
W. Thomas
11 goals
J. Stead
8 goals / 2 assists

Notts County missing players

Grimsby Town missing players

Notts County Grimsby Town
Total Home Statistic Away Total
44 22 Played 22 44
45 21 Scored 18 42
80 33 Conceded 33 54
86% 77% Over 0.5 100% 93%
75% 64% Over 1.5 68% 61%
59% 55% Over 2.5 41% 36%
39% 32% Over 3.5 18% 16%
18% 14% Over 4.5 5% 7%
55% 55% Both teams to score 45% 34%
20% 27% Clean Sheet 14% 32%
39% 41% Failed To Score 41% 41%
 
5.1 5.9 Corners For (avg) 4.1 4.1
5.5 5.4 Corners Against (avg) 5.9 5
1.7 1.8 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.7 1.3
7 4 Red Cards (total) 8 9
Key stats this season:
  • Grimsby Town hasn't played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Grimsby Town is involved in more matches over 2.5 away, than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Lincoln City 44 23 16 5 73 39 22 11 10 1 35 20 22 12 6 4 38 19 34 85
2 Bury 44 22 11 11 80 54 22 14 5 3 51 25 22 8 6 8 29 29 26 77
3 Mansfield Town 44 20 16 8 68 38 22 14 5 3 37 13 22 6 11 5 31 25 30 76
4 Milton Keynes Dons 44 22 10 12 70 47 22 13 5 4 34 14 22 9 5 8 36 33 23 76
5 Forest Green Rovers 44 20 13 11 65 43 22 8 8 6 28 20 22 12 5 5 37 23 22 73
6 Tranmere Rovers 44 20 12 12 61 46 22 14 4 4 32 12 22 6 8 8 29 34 15 72
7 Exeter City 44 18 12 14 59 49 22 11 3 8 33 25 22 7 9 6 26 24 10 66
8 Colchester United 44 18 10 16 60 53 22 11 4 7 37 23 22 7 6 9 23 30 7 64
9 Carlisle United 44 19 7 18 63 60 22 11 3 8 38 29 22 8 4 10 25 31 3 64
10 Stevenage 44 18 10 16 55 54 22 11 3 8 26 23 22 7 7 8 29 31 1 64
11 Newport County 43 18 10 15 55 58 21 12 6 3 29 22 22 6 4 12 26 36 -3 64
12 Oldham Athletic 43 16 14 13 65 52 22 10 6 6 40 28 21 6 8 7 25 24 13 62
13 Crewe Alexandra 44 18 8 18 56 54 22 14 2 6 41 22 22 4 6 12 15 32 2 62
14 Swindon Town 44 15 16 13 54 52 22 7 9 6 28 26 22 8 7 7 26 26 2 61
15 Northampton Town 44 13 18 13 57 59 22 7 11 4 28 25 22 6 7 9 29 34 -2 57
16 Cheltenham Town 44 14 12 18 54 64 22 9 7 6 31 27 22 5 5 12 23 37 -10 54
17 Grimsby Town 44 15 8 21 42 54 22 10 4 8 24 21 22 5 4 13 18 33 -12 53
18 Morecambe 44 13 11 20 51 68 22 8 4 10 32 30 22 5 7 10 19 38 -17 50
19 Crawley Town 44 14 8 22 46 63 22 9 5 8 31 30 22 5 3 14 15 33 -17 50
20 Port Vale 44 12 12 20 38 53 22 7 3 12 24 35 22 5 9 8 14 18 -15 48
21 Cambridge United 44 12 10 22 38 63 22 7 7 8 20 24 22 5 3 14 18 39 -25 46
22 Macclesfield Town 44 9 13 22 46 73 22 5 10 7 25 34 22 4 3 15 21 39 -27 40
23 Yeovil Town 44 9 11 24 39 64 22 4 8 10 20 34 22 5 3 14 19 30 -25 38
24 Notts County 44 8 14 22 45 80 22 4 9 9 21 33 22 4 5 13 24 47 -35 38