League Two preview: Can Newport County edge out victory against Carlisle United?

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Competition: England League Two
Date: Sat 05.October
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Rodney Parade (11676 seats)

It's advantage Newport County so far with their 6th position in the League Two table, welcoming Carlisle United who are placed 16th.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Newport County form and stats

Newport County have played 5 League Two games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-2-0 (wins-draws-losses).

Happy days for Newport County in their previous game, a League Two match away at Swindon Town (placed 5th) that ended with a 2-0 victory. In the match before that, Newport County hosted Exeter City and drew the game 1-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Newport County have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won 3 times, drawn 3 and lost 0.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Newport County as they have a new game in only three days, a EFL Trophy match thankfully also at home. Exeter City are visiting.

The Newport County fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 6 in 5 matches. From these home matches, Newport County have conceded only 3 goals.

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Carlisle United form and stats

The visitors are W2-D0-L3 on the road this term. That's in the League Two.

Carlisle United won their last game, 1-0 versus Oldham Athletic played at home. A 2-4 loss hosting Wolves U21 before that.

Carlisle United are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 2 draws and 4 defeats. From a total of seven matches.

Carlisle United find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 7 goals from 5 away fixtures in the league. For Carlisle United, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 6 wins for Newport County, 2 draws and 2 wins for Carlisle United. Over 2,5 goals: 5 times; under 2,5 goals: 5 games.

Top Goalscorers

O. Olomola
5 goals
P. Amond
4 goals / 1 assists
H. McKirdy
3 goals / 4 assists

Newport County missing players

Carlisle United missing players

Newport County Carlisle United
Total Home Home vs mid Statistics Stat Away vs top Away Total
11 5 2 Played P 3 5 11
5 3 2 Won W 0 2 4
5 2 0 Drew D 0 0 2
1 0 0 Lost L 3 3 5
11 6 2 Scored S 3 7 13
6 3 0 Conceded C 8 10 18
82% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 91%
55% 40% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 73%
9% 20% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 60% 55%
9% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 60% 45%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 40% 18%
27% 40% 0% BTTS BTTS 67% 60% 55%
64% 60% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 27%
27% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 20% 27%
 
5 4.4 3 Corners For (avg) C F 4 3.2 4.2
5.3 6.8 5.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 7 8.2 6.8
1.9 1.2 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2.7 3.4 2.4
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 2 2 2
Key stats This season:
  • Carlisle United have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Carlisle United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Carlisle United have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Carlisle United haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Newport County have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Newport County have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Newport County have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Newport County haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

Newport County
All EFL Trophy League Two Club Friendlies Carabao Cup FA Cup
All Home Away
07-09-19 LT Newport County 1 - 0 Port Vale
14-09-19 LT Northampton Town 2 - 0 Newport County
17-09-19 LT Macclesfield Town 1 - 1 Newport County
21-09-19 LT Newport County 1 - 1 Exeter City
28-09-19 LT Swindon Town 0 - 2 Newport County
05-10-19 LT Newport County 14:00 Carlisle United
08-10-19 EFL Newport County 18:45 Exeter City
12-10-19 LT Cheltenham Town 14:00 Newport County
19-10-19 LT Newport County 14:00 Scunthorpe United
22-10-19 LT Newport County 18:45 Crawley Town
Carlisle United
All EFL Trophy League Two Club Friendlies Carabao Cup FA Cup
All Home Away
14-09-19 LT Stevenage 2 - 3 Carlisle United
17-09-19 LT Carlisle United 0 - 0 Forest Green Rovers
21-09-19 LT Bradford City 3 - 1 Carlisle United
24-09-19 EFL Carlisle United 2 - 4 Wolves U21
28-09-19 LT Carlisle United 1 - 0 Oldham Athletic
05-10-19 LT Newport County 14:00 Carlisle United
12-10-19 LT Carlisle United 14:00 Crewe Alexandra
15-10-19 EFL Carlisle United 18:45 Blackpool
19-10-19 LT Plymouth Argyle 14:00 Carlisle United
22-10-19 LT Carlisle United 18:45 Northampton Town

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Exeter City 11 6 4 1 16 10 6 3 2 1 8 6 5 3 2 0 8 4 6 22
2 Crewe Alexandra 11 7 1 3 18 13 5 3 0 2 9 8 6 4 1 1 9 5 5 22
3 Cheltenham Town 11 6 3 2 20 10 6 4 2 0 16 8 5 2 1 2 4 2 10 21
4 Forest Green Rovers 11 6 3 2 11 5 5 3 1 1 3 2 6 3 2 1 8 3 6 21
5 Swindon Town 11 6 2 3 18 13 6 3 0 3 9 9 5 3 2 0 9 4 5 20
6 Newport County 11 5 5 1 11 6 5 3 2 0 6 3 6 2 3 1 5 3 5 20
7 Grimsby Town 11 5 3 3 19 13 5 2 2 1 9 7 6 3 1 2 10 6 6 18
8 Bradford City 11 5 3 3 15 10 5 3 1 1 8 3 6 2 2 2 7 7 5 18
9 Colchester United 11 4 4 3 12 9 5 2 2 1 5 4 6 2 2 2 7 5 3 16
10 Crawley Town 11 4 4 3 18 16 6 3 1 2 9 7 5 1 3 1 9 9 2 16
11 Cambridge United 11 4 3 4 14 11 5 1 1 3 4 6 6 3 2 1 10 5 3 15
12 Plymouth Argyle 11 4 3 4 15 13 5 2 2 1 8 6 6 2 1 3 7 7 2 15
13 Northampton Town 11 4 3 4 14 12 5 2 1 2 8 6 6 2 2 2 6 6 2 15
14 Walsall 11 4 3 4 8 11 5 1 2 2 3 5 6 3 1 2 5 6 -3 15
15 Port Vale 11 3 5 3 14 17 5 3 2 0 7 4 6 0 3 3 7 13 -3 14
16 Carlisle United 11 4 2 5 13 18 6 2 2 2 6 8 5 2 0 3 7 10 -5 14
17 Macclesfield Town 11 3 4 4 11 12 6 2 3 1 7 4 5 1 1 3 4 8 -1 13
18 Salford City 11 2 5 4 12 20 6 2 2 2 5 8 5 0 3 2 7 12 -8 11
19 Mansfield Town 11 2 4 5 12 16 6 1 2 3 6 10 5 1 2 2 6 6 -4 10
20 Oldham Athletic 11 2 4 5 12 16 5 1 2 2 6 6 6 1 2 3 6 10 -4 10
21 Leyton Orient 11 2 4 5 15 21 6 1 2 3 8 11 5 1 2 2 7 10 -6 10
22 Morecambe 11 1 4 6 11 21 6 0 3 3 6 10 5 1 1 3 5 11 -10 7
23 Scunthorpe United 11 1 3 7 11 19 6 1 3 2 8 8 5 0 0 5 3 11 -8 6
24 Stevenage 11 0 5 6 7 15 6 0 2 4 5 9 5 0 3 2 2 6 -8 5

Bookmaker Home Draw Away
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