League Two prediction and preview: Colchester United modest favorites to beat Grimsby Town

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Competition: England League Two
Competition: Tue 11.February
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: JobServe Community Stadium (10105 seats)

Only a win will satisfy the Colchester United supporters in this JobServe Community Stadium clash with Grimsby Town, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the League Two table.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Colchester United form and stats

32 points is a decent return from 16 League Two games here at JobServe Community Stadium for Colchester United. The data says 9 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. Two home wins in a row for Colchester United bring valid hopes of a third.

Colchester United's last game was hosting Plymouth Argyle (placed 4th) and winning 3-0. Heartbreak before that as Colchester United lost 1-2 at Cambridge United's place.

Colchester United decided the match against Plymouth Argyle in the first half, and held firmly on to their lead (3-0) without using too much effort. The team showed great control while saving some energy.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Colchester United have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 13 games) they have won six times, drawn five and lost two.

The manager J. McGreal will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Port Vale in only four days.

The Colchester United fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 26 goals in 16 league matches. Colchester United are not conceding a lot of goals here at JobServe Community Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 12 from 16 matches.

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Grimsby Town form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their League Two travels is 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats.

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Bradford City (placed 8th) in their previous outing. The League Two match ended in a draw 1-1. Preceding that match was the 2-2 draw at home vs Forest Green Rovers.

Grimsby Town are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, one draw and seven defeats. From a total of ten matches.

After this away game Grimsby Town return home for a League Two game against Morecambe. That game is only four sleeps after this.

Grimsby Town are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 17 away goals from 15 games (in the league). As opposed to that, Grimsby Town have seen the ball go into their own net 16 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Colchester United and Grimsby Town have met before this season: Grimsby Town - Colchester United 2-2. Head-to-head totals (for the last seven meetings): Colchester United won two games, three matches ended with a draw and Grimsby Town has two wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: three / four

Top Goalscorers

Colchester UnitedT. Robinson
T. Robinson
10 goals
Colchester UnitedL. Norris 'Hacker'
L. Norris 'Hacker'
8 goals
Grimsby TownJ. Hanson
J. Hanson
6 goals

Colchester United missing players

Grimsby Town missing players

Colchester United Grimsby Town
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
32 16 5 Played P 3 15 30
13 9 4 Won W 1 4 8
13 5 0 Drew D 1 6 11
6 2 1 Lost L 1 5 11
45 26 10 Scored S 4 17 33
28 12 4 Conceded C 4 16 37
84% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 87% 90%
66% 69% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 67% 63%
50% 56% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 33% 37%
25% 25% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 27% 30%
3% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 7%
56% 56% 60% BTTS BTTS 67% 53% 47%
34% 38% 20% Clean Sheets C S 0% 27% 23%
25% 19% 20% Failed to Score F T 33% 33% 40%
 
5.5 5.8 6.4 Corners for (avg) C F 1.7 4 4.8
3.9 3.4 3.6 Corners against (avg) C A 7.7 5.9 5
1.5 1.1 1.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2 1.8
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
424 229 69 Total Shots T S 29 178 344
144 76 24 Shots on Target S O 9 51 108
31% 34% 42% Goal Efficiency G E 44% 33% 31%
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Colchester United has the fewest conceded goals in the first half (9)
  • Colchester United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Colchester United have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Swindon Town 32 18 6 8 56 36 16 11 2 3 29 14 16 7 4 5 27 22 20 60
2 Crewe Alexandra 31 17 7 7 57 37 16 10 3 3 31 15 15 7 4 4 26 22 20 58
3 Exeter City 31 16 9 6 42 33 15 9 5 1 24 12 16 7 4 5 18 21 9 57
4 Plymouth Argyle 30 16 6 8 48 33 15 9 4 2 30 15 15 7 2 6 18 18 15 54
5 Colchester United 32 13 13 6 45 28 16 9 5 2 26 12 16 4 8 4 19 16 17 52
6 Northampton Town 31 15 7 9 45 32 16 10 2 4 28 11 15 5 5 5 17 21 13 52
7 Cheltenham Town 30 12 12 6 44 25 14 8 4 2 30 15 16 4 8 4 14 10 19 48
8 Bradford City 32 12 12 8 37 32 16 9 5 2 24 12 16 3 7 6 13 20 5 48
9 Port Vale 32 12 12 8 40 38 16 8 7 1 23 13 16 4 5 7 17 25 2 48
10 Forest Green Rovers 32 12 9 11 38 35 16 5 4 7 14 19 16 7 5 4 24 16 3 45
11 Salford City 32 10 11 11 41 41 16 4 6 6 15 19 16 6 5 5 26 22 0 41
12 Crawley Town 32 9 13 10 44 44 16 8 4 4 25 19 16 1 9 6 19 25 0 40
13 Newport County 29 10 9 10 27 26 16 7 6 3 17 12 13 3 3 7 10 14 1 39
14 Walsall 32 11 6 15 32 44 16 4 4 8 13 21 16 7 2 7 19 23 -12 39
15 Cambridge United 32 10 8 14 34 43 16 6 3 7 20 24 16 4 5 7 14 19 -9 38
16 Scunthorpe United 32 9 9 14 41 48 16 5 6 5 23 21 16 4 3 9 18 27 -7 36
17 Oldham Athletic 32 8 12 12 35 46 16 5 6 5 22 20 16 3 6 7 13 26 -11 36
18 Grimsby Town 30 8 11 11 33 37 15 4 5 6 16 21 15 4 6 5 17 16 -4 35
19 Leyton Orient 32 8 11 13 40 49 16 3 7 6 20 26 16 5 4 7 20 23 -9 35
20 Carlisle United 31 8 10 13 33 49 15 4 6 5 13 20 16 4 4 8 20 29 -16 34
21 Mansfield Town 32 7 11 14 44 51 16 3 5 8 26 29 16 4 6 6 18 22 -7 32
22 Macclesfield Town 31 7 14 10 29 34 15 5 8 2 16 11 16 2 6 8 13 23 -5 29
23 Morecambe 32 6 9 17 29 54 16 3 7 6 17 22 16 3 2 11 12 32 -25 27
24 Stevenage 32 3 13 16 22 41 16 2 6 8 10 21 16 1 7 8 12 20 -19 22

Grimsby Town:
England:

Read more about League Two

The English Football League Two (usually referred to as League Two) is the fourth highest division in English football. The League Two league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Four teams are promoted and four relegated.