Cheltenham Town welcomes Morecambe as clear favourites: Big betting preview

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Competition: England League Two
Date: Sat 01.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Jonny-Rocks Stadium (7066 seats)

Only a win will satisfy the Cheltenham Town supporters in this Jonny-Rocks Stadium clash with Morecambe, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the League Two table.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Cheltenham Town and Morecambe.

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Cheltenham Town form and stats

Overall League Two stats at home this season for Cheltenham Town are 7-4-2 (wins-draw-losses). The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Jonny-Rocks Stadium.

An away draw last time out for Cheltenham Town, facing Bradford City in a game that ended 1-1. Prior to that, an away loss at Crewe Alexandra.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Cheltenham Town matches with similar probabilities have ended with 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats (from two games).

Goals decide football matches and Cheltenham Town are scoring many of them at home; 28 on target from 13 league matches. Cheltenham Town have conceded 14 in these home matches.

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Morecambe form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Morecambe, who have the most conceded goals (51) in League Two, so far with only 11 points returning home. The records show 3-2-10 (win-draw-lose).

It's the second away game in a row for Morecambe, but there's smiles all around after the 2-0 victory versus Walsall (placed 14th) in the League Two last time out. A 1-1 draw was the result before that, hosting Cambridge United.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Morecambe playing away, we found six games. Results were 1 away win, 1 draw and 4 home wins.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Morecambe as they have only managed to score 11 times from 15 away games in the league. Morecambe have conceded 30 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Morecambe - Cheltenham Town 0-0 played earlier this season. Cheltenham Town-Morecambe H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Cheltenham Town 4 wins, Morecambe 2 wins, 4 draws. 6 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Cheltenham TownR. Broom
R. Broom
7 goals
Cheltenham TownL. Varney
L. Varney
6 goals
Cheltenham TownC. Thomas
C. Thomas
5 goals

Cheltenham Town missing players

Morecambe missing players

Cheltenham Town Morecambe
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
28 13 5 Played P 6 15 30
11 7 4 Won W 1 3 6
12 4 1 Drew D 0 2 8
5 2 0 Lost L 5 10 16
42 28 13 Scored S 3 11 27
23 14 3 Conceded C 16 30 51
89% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 97%
75% 92% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 67% 73%
36% 62% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 53% 50%
18% 38% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 40% 30%
11% 23% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 13% 10%
54% 69% 40% BTTS BTTS 33% 40% 53%
32% 23% 60% Clean Sheets C S 17% 20% 17%
25% 8% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 40% 33%
 
4.9 5.1 4.8 Corners For (avg) C F 3.3 3.5 3.9
4.1 3.1 2.8 Corners Against (avg) C A 8.2 7.7 6.9
1.5 1.1 0.2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 0.7 1.3 1.4
3 0 0 Red Cards R C 2 3 5
 
289 168 62 Total Shots T S 69 150 332
101 61 26 Shots on Target S O 17 43 88
42% 46% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 18% 26% 31%
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Cheltenham Town has the fewest conceded goals (23)
  • Cheltenham Town has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (11)
  • Cheltenham Town has the fewest dropped points from leading position (6)
  • Cheltenham Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Cheltenham Town have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Morecambe have scored away.
  • Cheltenham Town haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Morecambe has the most conceded goals (30) away
  • Morecambe has the most conceded goals (51)
  • Morecambe has the the worst goal difference (-19) away
  • Morecambe has the the worst goal difference (-24)
  • Morecambe have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Morecambe have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Morecambe have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Morecambe haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Swindon Town 30 17 5 8 53 34 15 10 2 3 27 13 15 7 3 5 26 21 19 56
2 Exeter City 29 15 9 5 39 30 14 8 5 1 22 11 15 7 4 4 17 19 9 54
3 Crewe Alexandra 29 15 7 7 53 35 15 9 3 3 29 14 14 6 4 4 24 21 18 52
4 Plymouth Argyle 28 15 6 7 47 30 14 8 4 2 29 15 14 7 2 5 18 15 17 51
5 Colchester United 30 12 13 5 41 26 15 8 5 2 23 12 15 4 8 3 18 14 15 49
6 Northampton Town 29 14 7 8 44 31 15 10 2 3 28 10 14 4 5 5 16 21 13 49
7 Bradford City 30 12 11 7 36 28 15 9 4 2 23 11 15 3 7 5 13 17 8 47
8 Cheltenham Town 28 11 12 5 42 23 13 7 4 2 28 14 15 4 8 3 14 9 19 45
9 Forest Green Rovers 30 12 8 10 35 31 15 5 4 6 13 17 15 7 4 4 22 14 4 44
10 Port Vale 30 11 11 8 38 37 15 8 6 1 22 12 15 3 5 7 16 25 1 44
11 Newport County 27 10 9 8 27 24 15 7 6 2 17 11 12 3 3 6 10 13 3 39
12 Salford City 30 10 9 11 40 40 15 4 5 6 15 19 15 6 4 5 25 21 0 39
13 Crawley Town 30 8 12 10 41 43 15 7 4 4 22 18 15 1 8 6 19 25 -2 36
14 Walsall 30 10 6 14 29 41 15 4 4 7 12 19 15 6 2 7 17 22 -12 36
15 Grimsby Town 28 8 9 11 30 34 14 4 4 6 14 19 14 4 5 5 16 15 -4 33
16 Scunthorpe United 30 8 9 13 39 45 15 4 6 5 22 21 15 4 3 8 17 24 -6 33
17 Oldham Athletic 30 7 12 11 31 44 15 4 6 5 19 20 15 3 6 6 12 24 -13 33
18 Cambridge United 30 8 8 14 31 42 15 5 3 7 18 23 15 3 5 7 13 19 -11 32
19 Carlisle United 29 8 8 13 30 46 14 4 5 5 12 19 15 4 3 8 18 27 -16 32
20 Leyton Orient 30 7 10 13 36 48 15 3 6 6 19 25 15 4 4 7 17 23 -12 31
21 Mansfield Town 30 7 9 14 41 48 15 3 4 8 24 27 15 4 5 6 17 21 -7 30
22 Macclesfield Town 29 7 13 9 28 32 14 5 8 1 16 10 15 2 5 8 12 22 -4 28
23 Morecambe 30 6 8 16 27 51 15 3 6 6 16 21 15 3 2 10 11 30 -24 26
24 Stevenage 30 3 13 14 21 36 15 2 6 7 10 18 15 1 7 7 11 18 -15 22

Read more about League Two

The English Football League Two (usually referred to as League Two) is the fourth highest division in English football. The League Two league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Four teams are promoted and four relegated.