League One match prediction: Little separates Rochdale and Accrington Stanley in quality

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Competition: England League One
Date: Sat 12.October
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Crown Oil Arena (10249 seats)

Rochdale are welcoming Accrington Stanley for another important game after their 2-3 result against 21st-placed AFC Wimbledon.

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only four days ago in the EFL Trophy. That game was also an away game, at Oldham Athletic. It will be interesting to see if they are fully ready and rested for this match, and/or if some changes in the lineup is necessary.

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Rochdale form and stats

0 victories, 3 draws and 2 defeats. That’s what Rochdale have to build on here at Crown Oil Arena in the League One. With three straight defeats the pressure is piling up on Rochdale to get some points in this home game.

In their previous game, the manager B. Barry-Murphy led his Rochdale to a defeat in the League One match away at AFC Wimbledon. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Crown Oil Arena. Preceding that game was the home draw versus Bolton Wanderers that ended 1-1.

This is expected to be a close game, with Rochdale perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Rochdale as a small favourite), we find ten games. Rochdale has won 4 of these, drawn 3 and lost 3.

Rochdale have scored 3 league goals here from 5 matches, not a lot. Rochdale have conceded 7 in these home matches.

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Accrington Stanley form and stats

Accrington Stanley have only collected 6 points from their away games in the League One, after 1-3-2 (6 played).

It's the second away game in a row for Accrington Stanley, but there's smiles all around after the 3-0 victory versus Oldham Athletic in the EFL Trophy last time out. A draw for Accrington Stanley before that, at their own venue hosting Oxford United (2-2).

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Accrington Stanley playing away and similar expectations, we found ten relevant matches. Results were 4 Accrington Stanley wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats.

Accrington Stanley have scored 6 goals on their travels this season, from 6 away games in the league. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Accrington Stanley have conceded 9 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Rochdale 8 wins, 0 draws and Accrington Stanley 2 victories. As for goals, 8 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 2 games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

I. Henderson
4 goals
C. Bishop
4 goals
J. Clark
3 goals

Rochdale missing players

Accrington Stanley missing players

Rochdale Accrington Stanley
Total Home Home vs low Statistics Stat Away vs low Away Total
11 5 0 Played P 2 6 11
2 0 0 Won W 1 1 2
4 3 0 Drew D 1 3 5
5 2 0 Lost L 0 2 4
12 3 0 Scored S 2 6 14
20 7 0 Conceded C 1 9 19
82% 80% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
82% 80% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 83% 91%
64% 40% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 17% 45%
27% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 17% 36%
27% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 18%
55% 60% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 73%
27% 20% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 17% 9%
36% 40% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 33% 18%
 
3.4 3.6 0 Corners For (avg) C F 7 6.5 6.5
4.3 3.8 0 Corners Against (avg) C A 7 4.8 4.5
1.7 1 0 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2.5 1.8 2.4
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 1 3 3
Key stats This season:
  • Accrington Stanley haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Rochdale have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored at home.
  • Rochdale have yet to win a game at home.

Rochdale
21-09-19 LO Fleetwood Town 2 - 1 Rochdale
25-09-19 CC Manchester United 1 - 1 Rochdale
28-09-19 LO Rochdale 0 - 3 Wycombe Wanderers
01-10-19 EFL Rochdale 1 - 1 Bolton Wanderers
05-10-19 LO AFC Wimbledon 3 - 2 Rochdale
12-10-19 LO Rochdale 14:00 Accrington Stanley
19-10-19 LO Bolton Wanderers 14:00 Rochdale
22-10-19 LO Rochdale 18:45 Milton Keynes Dons
26-10-19 LO Oxford United 14:00 Rochdale
02-11-19 LO Rochdale 15:00 Bristol Rovers
Accrington Stanley
17-09-19 LO Wycombe Wanderers 1 - 1 Accrington Stanley
21-09-19 LO Accrington Stanley 1 - 1 Blackpool
28-09-19 LO Southend United 0 - 1 Accrington Stanley
05-10-19 LO Accrington Stanley 2 - 2 Oxford United
08-10-19 EFL Oldham Athletic 0 - 3 Accrington Stanley
12-10-19 LO Rochdale 14:00 Accrington Stanley
20-10-19 LO Accrington Stanley 11:00 Ipswich Town
23-10-19 LO Peterborough United 18:45 Accrington Stanley
26-10-19 LO Accrington Stanley 14:00 Gillingham
29-10-19 EFL Accrington Stanley 19:45 Liverpool U21

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ipswich Town 11 8 3 0 21 5 5 3 2 0 10 3 6 5 1 0 11 2 16 27
2 Wycombe Wanderers 12 6 5 1 21 13 7 5 2 0 17 10 5 1 3 1 4 3 8 23
3 Fleetwood Town 11 6 2 3 20 14 6 4 1 1 9 5 5 2 1 2 11 9 6 20
4 Blackpool 12 5 5 2 16 13 5 3 1 1 7 6 7 2 4 1 9 7 3 20
5 Coventry City 11 5 5 1 16 14 6 5 1 0 10 4 5 0 4 1 6 10 2 20
6 Sunderland 11 5 4 2 16 14 5 3 2 0 9 5 6 2 2 2 7 9 2 19
7 Peterborough United 11 5 3 3 26 15 5 3 1 1 15 7 6 2 2 2 11 8 11 18
8 Bristol Rovers 11 5 3 3 14 12 6 3 3 0 10 5 5 2 0 3 4 7 2 18
9 Oxford United 12 4 4 4 24 17 5 3 1 1 12 7 7 1 3 3 12 10 7 16
10 Doncaster Rovers 10 4 4 2 13 10 7 4 1 2 11 8 3 0 3 0 2 2 3 16
11 Lincoln City 12 5 1 6 17 17 6 4 0 2 10 7 6 1 1 4 7 10 0 16
12 Shrewsbury Town 11 4 4 3 10 13 5 2 2 1 5 6 6 2 2 2 5 7 -3 16
13 Rotherham United 10 4 3 3 16 9 5 2 2 1 11 4 5 2 1 2 5 5 7 15
14 Burton Albion 10 4 3 3 14 9 4 1 1 2 2 2 6 3 2 1 12 7 5 15
15 Gillingham 11 3 4 4 17 14 6 3 1 2 13 6 5 0 3 2 4 8 3 13
16 Portsmouth 9 3 3 3 12 11 4 2 2 0 8 5 5 1 1 3 4 6 1 12
17 Milton Keynes Dons 11 4 0 7 12 18 7 3 0 4 5 11 4 1 0 3 7 7 -6 12
18 Accrington Stanley 11 2 5 4 14 19 5 1 2 2 8 10 6 1 3 2 6 9 -5 11
19 Rochdale 11 2 4 5 12 20 5 0 3 2 3 7 6 2 1 3 9 13 -8 10
20 Tranmere Rovers 11 2 3 6 15 21 6 2 2 2 13 9 5 0 1 4 2 12 -6 9
21 AFC Wimbledon 12 1 3 8 14 23 6 1 3 2 7 9 6 0 0 6 7 14 -9 6
22 Southend United 11 1 1 9 12 28 5 0 1 4 4 12 6 1 0 5 8 16 -16 4
23 Bolton Wanderers 10 0 4 6 2 25 5 0 4 1 1 6 5 0 0 5 1 19 -23 -8