League One prediction and preview: Portsmouth modest favorites to beat Burton Albion

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Competition: England League One
Date: Tue 17.September
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Fratton Park (20821 seats)

Portsmouth battle against Burton Albion for glory and sporting success.

It's no vacation for neither Portsmouth nor Burton Albion as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Portsmouth form and stats

Only two League One home games for Portsmouth so far, yet both highs and lows with 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeat. The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Fratton Park.

Portsmouth's previous game was a EFL Trophy match also played at home, ending 3-1 versus Norwich City U21. The home side are looking to build on that result. Before that game, the 1-0 home victory against Crawley Town.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Portsmouth have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won 3 times, drawn 4 and lost 3.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Portsmouth as they are travelling to their away game against Wycombe Wanderers in the League One. That match is four days after this one.

At Fratton Park, Portsmouth has the goal stats of 5-3 (for/against) from 2 league fixtures.

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Burton Albion form and stats

The seven points Burton Albion have gathered from their first three away trips in the League One is impressive and could lead to great things if the form continues.

Burton Albion delivered a 0-0 draw playing at home against Coventry City (placed 1st) in their previous match; a League One game. Preceding that game was the away EFL Trophy victory against Crewe Alexandra with the score of 3-1.

We have checked recent matches where Burton Albion have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those four games were W1-D2-L1.

The schedule is very tough for Burton Albion now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A League One game at Tranmere Rovers is waiting in only four days.

The Burton Albion manager N. Clough has got the team scoring on the road, with 6 away goals in 3 league matches. Burton Albion have conceded 3 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last six meetings between these two teams are: 2 wins for Portsmouth, 3 draws and 1 win for Burton Albion. Over 2,5 goals: 3 times; under 2,5 goals: 3 games.

Top Goalscorers

S. Fraser
3 goals / 2 assists
M. Harness
2 goals / 1 assists
N. Broadhead
2 goals

Portsmouth missing players

Burton Albion missing players

Portsmouth Burton Albion
Total Home Home vs mid Statistics Away vs low Away Total
5 2 0 Played 1 3 7
1 1 0 Won 1 2 3
2 1 0 Drew 0 1 2
2 0 0 Lost 0 0 2
7 5 0 Scored 4 6 8
7 3 0 Conceded 2 3 5
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 100% 67% 71%
80% 100% 0% Over 1.5 100% 67% 43%
40% 50% 0% Over 2.5 100% 67% 29%
20% 50% 0% Over 3.5 100% 33% 14%
20% 50% 0% Over 4.5 100% 33% 14%
60% 50% 0% BTTS 100% 67% 29%
20% 50% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 33% 43%
20% 0% 0% Failed to Score 0% 33% 57%
 
5.6 5 0 Corners For (avg) 7 6.3 7.1
3.2 3.5 0 Corners Against (avg) 4 5.3 6.1
2.2 2 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 2 1.7 1.6
1 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 1
Key stats This season:
  • All of Portsmouth's home matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Burton Albion have not yet lost a game away.
  • Portsmouth have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Portsmouth haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Portsmouth
All EFL Trophy League One Club Friendlies Carabao Cup FA Cup
All Home Away
20-08-19 LO Portsmouth 3 - 3 Coventry City
28-08-19 CC Queens Park Rangers 0 - 2 Portsmouth
31-08-19 LO Blackpool 1 - 1 Portsmouth
03-09-19 EFL Portsmouth 1 - 0 Crawley Town
14-09-19 EFL Portsmouth 3 - 1 Norwich City U21
17-09-19 LO Portsmouth 18:45 Burton Albion
21-09-19 LO Wycombe Wanderers 14:00 Portsmouth
24-09-19 CC Portsmouth 18:45 Southampton
28-09-19 LO Portsmouth 14:00 Bolton Wanderers
05-10-19 LO Doncaster Rovers 14:00 Portsmouth
Burton Albion
All EFL Trophy League One Championship Club Friendlies Carabao Cup FA Cup
All Home Away
24-08-19 LO Shrewsbury Town 0 - 0 Burton Albion
27-08-19 CC Burton Albion 4 - 0 Morecambe
31-08-19 LO Burton Albion 2 - 0 Bristol Rovers
03-09-19 EFL Crewe Alexandra 1 - 3 Burton Albion
14-09-19 LO Burton Albion 0 - 0 Coventry City
17-09-19 LO Portsmouth 18:45 Burton Albion
21-09-19 LO Tranmere Rovers 14:00 Burton Albion
25-09-19 CC Burton Albion 18:45 AFC Bournemouth
01-10-19 EFL Burton Albion 18:45 Everton U21
05-10-19 LO Milton Keynes Dons 14:00 Burton Albion

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Coventry City 8 4 4 0 13 8 4 4 0 0 7 2 4 0 4 0 6 6 5 16
2 Ipswich Town 7 4 3 0 14 4 4 2 2 0 6 2 3 2 1 0 8 2 10 15
3 Wycombe Wanderers 8 4 3 1 13 9 4 4 0 0 12 6 4 0 3 1 1 3 4 15
4 Fleetwood Town 8 4 2 2 15 12 4 3 1 0 7 3 4 1 1 2 8 9 3 14
5 Sunderland 7 4 2 1 12 9 3 2 1 0 6 3 4 2 1 1 6 6 3 14
6 Peterborough United 7 4 1 2 18 6 4 2 1 1 12 5 3 2 0 1 6 1 12 13
7 Lincoln City 8 4 0 4 13 8 4 3 0 1 8 1 4 1 0 3 5 7 5 12
8 Doncaster Rovers 6 3 3 0 9 6 4 3 1 0 8 5 2 0 2 0 1 1 3 12
9 Blackpool 8 3 3 2 12 11 4 2 1 1 5 5 4 1 2 1 7 6 1 12
10 Milton Keynes Dons 7 4 0 3 11 11 4 3 0 1 5 6 3 1 0 2 6 5 0 12
11 Burton Albion 7 3 2 2 8 5 4 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 0 6 3 3 11
12 Bristol Rovers 8 3 2 3 9 10 4 2 2 0 8 4 4 1 0 3 1 6 -1 11
13 Rotherham United 6 3 1 2 11 7 3 1 1 1 7 4 3 2 0 1 4 3 4 10
14 Gillingham 7 2 3 2 13 8 4 2 1 1 10 4 3 0 2 1 3 4 5 9
15 Shrewsbury Town 7 2 3 2 5 7 3 1 2 0 1 0 4 1 1 2 4 7 -2 9
16 Rochdale 7 2 3 2 8 11 3 0 2 1 2 3 4 2 1 1 6 8 -3 9
17 Oxford United 8 2 2 4 13 15 4 2 1 1 9 7 4 0 1 3 4 8 -2 8
18 Portsmouth 5 1 2 2 7 7 2 1 1 0 5 3 3 0 1 2 2 4 0 5
19 Tranmere Rovers 7 1 2 4 10 13 3 1 1 1 9 5 4 0 1 3 1 8 -3 5
20 Accrington Stanley 7 1 2 4 9 15 3 1 0 2 5 7 4 0 2 2 4 8 -6 5
21 AFC Wimbledon 8 0 3 5 7 13 4 0 3 1 3 4 4 0 0 4 4 9 -6 3
22 Southend United 7 0 1 6 7 20 4 0 1 3 4 11 3 0 0 3 3 9 -13 1
23 Bolton Wanderers 6 0 1 5 1 23 2 0 1 1 0 5 4 0 0 4 1 18 -22 -11

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