League One match prediction: Little separates Gillingham and Fleetwood Town in quality

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Sat 14.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: MEMS Priestfield Stadium (11582 seats)

Gillingham will hope to utilise their home advantage to help bridge the gap to today's opponents. The home side are currently 9 points behind Fleetwood Town.

Fleetwood Town could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a League One game only four sleeps ago. That game, against Portsmouth, was also an away game. It's a tiring schedule for Fleetwood Town.

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Gillingham form and stats

9 victories, 3 draws and 5 defeats. That’s what Gillingham have to build on here at MEMS Priestfield Stadium in the League One.

Gillingham drew their last game, 2-2 away at Sunderland (placed 7th). Preceding that match was a defeat to AFC Wimbledon (1-2).

This is expected to be a close game, with Gillingham perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Gillingham as a small favourite), we find ten games. Gillingham has won four of these, drawn three and lost three.

The Gillingham fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 27 goals in 17 league matches. Gillingham's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 17 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Fleetwood Town form and stats

6 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. That’s the product of Fleetwood Town playing as the away team in the League One this season. In general it has been a productive period now for Fleetwood Town as they haven't lost any of their last twelve games.

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Portsmouth (placed 4th) in their previous outing. The League One match ended in a draw 2-2. Preceding that match was the 0-0 draw at home vs Blackpool.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Fleetwood Town playing away and similar expectations, we found 16 relevant matches. Results were five Fleetwood Town wins, three draws and eight defeats.

The travelling fans enjoy Fleetwood Town's attacking play in away games, having scored 26 goals in 17 league matches away. As opposed to that, Fleetwood Town have seen the ball go into their own net 25 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Fleetwood Town - Gillingham 1-1, played this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: four - two - four (Gillingham wins - draws - Fleetwood Town wins). As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Fleetwood TownP. Madden
P. Madden
15 goals
Fleetwood TownC. Evans
C. Evans
10 goals
Fleetwood TownJ. Morris
J. Morris
6 goals

Gillingham missing players

Fleetwood Town missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Gillingham Fleetwood Town
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
35 17 5 Played P 7 17 35
12 9 1 Won W 2 6 16
15 3 2 Drew D 1 5 12
8 5 2 Lost L 4 6 7
42 27 4 Scored S 5 26 51
34 17 7 Conceded C 9 25 38
86% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 86% 94% 89%
63% 76% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 43% 76% 71%
40% 53% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 29% 65% 54%
23% 24% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 29% 41% 26%
6% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 14% 18% 11%
49% 53% 60% BTTS BTTS 29% 65% 63%
37% 35% 20% Clean Sheets C S 43% 24% 29%
29% 12% 20% Failed to Score F T 43% 18% 20%
 
6.4 6.1 7.2 Corners for (avg) C F 4.1 5.4 5.3
4.2 3.7 4.2 Corners against (avg) C A 4.6 5.2 4.6
1.5 1.1 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 2.2 1.9
1 0 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
427 226 59 Total Shots T S 86 208 435
132 75 17 Shots on Target S O 25 70 145
32% 36% 24% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 37% 35%
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Fleetwood Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Gillingham have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Gillingham haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Coventry City 34 18 13 3 48 30 17 11 5 1 22 11 17 7 8 2 26 19 18 67
2 Rotherham United 35 18 8 9 61 38 17 8 5 4 31 16 18 10 3 5 30 22 23 62
3 Oxford United 35 17 9 9 61 37 17 11 3 3 33 13 18 6 6 6 28 24 24 60
4 Portsmouth 35 17 9 9 53 36 18 12 6 0 36 15 17 5 3 9 17 21 17 60
5 Fleetwood Town 35 16 12 7 51 38 18 10 7 1 25 13 17 6 5 6 26 25 13 60
6 Peterborough United 35 17 8 10 68 40 17 12 3 2 41 13 18 5 5 8 27 27 28 59
7 Sunderland 36 16 11 9 48 32 19 10 8 1 35 13 17 6 3 8 13 19 16 59
8 Wycombe Wanderers 34 17 8 9 45 40 18 13 3 2 34 20 16 4 5 7 11 20 5 59
9 Doncaster Rovers 34 15 9 10 51 33 19 10 5 4 30 19 15 5 4 6 21 14 18 54
10 Ipswich Town 36 14 10 12 46 36 17 6 5 6 23 18 19 8 5 6 23 18 10 52
11 Gillingham 35 12 15 8 42 34 17 9 3 5 27 17 18 3 12 3 15 17 8 51
12 Burton Albion 35 12 12 11 50 50 17 6 8 3 19 14 18 6 4 8 31 36 0 48
13 Blackpool 35 11 12 12 44 43 17 9 2 6 27 23 18 2 10 6 17 20 1 45
14 Bristol Rovers 35 12 9 14 38 49 18 7 6 5 23 19 17 5 3 9 15 30 -11 45
15 Lincoln City 35 12 6 17 44 46 17 10 3 4 28 18 18 2 3 13 16 28 -2 42
16 Shrewsbury Town 34 10 11 13 31 42 17 6 5 6 21 24 17 4 6 7 10 18 -11 41
17 Accrington Stanley 35 10 10 15 47 53 17 7 2 8 33 27 18 3 8 7 14 26 -6 40
18 Milton Keynes Dons 35 10 7 18 36 47 18 9 1 8 20 21 17 1 6 10 16 26 -11 37
19 Rochdale 34 10 6 18 39 57 16 5 4 7 19 22 18 5 2 11 20 35 -18 36
20 AFC Wimbledon 35 8 11 16 39 52 18 5 9 4 18 18 17 3 2 12 21 34 -13 35
21 Tranmere Rovers 34 8 8 18 36 60 17 3 6 8 19 26 17 5 2 10 17 34 -24 32
22 Southend United 35 4 7 24 39 85 17 2 4 11 18 42 18 2 3 13 21 43 -46 19
23 Bolton Wanderers 34 5 11 18 27 66 17 4 8 5 17 23 17 1 3 13 10 43 -39 14

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Coventry City 34 18 13 3 48 30 17 11 5 1 22 11 17 7 8 2 26 19 18 67
2 Rotherham United 35 18 8 9 61 38 17 8 5 4 31 16 18 10 3 5 30 22 23 62
3 Oxford United 35 17 9 9 61 37 17 11 3 3 33 13 18 6 6 6 28 24 24 60
4 Portsmouth 35 17 9 9 53 36 18 12 6 0 36 15 17 5 3 9 17 21 17 60
5 Fleetwood Town 35 16 12 7 51 38 18 10 7 1 25 13 17 6 5 6 26 25 13 60
6 Peterborough United 35 17 8 10 68 40 17 12 3 2 41 13 18 5 5 8 27 27 28 59
7 Sunderland 36 16 11 9 48 32 19 10 8 1 35 13 17 6 3 8 13 19 16 59
8 Wycombe Wanderers 34 17 8 9 45 40 18 13 3 2 34 20 16 4 5 7 11 20 5 59
9 Doncaster Rovers 34 15 9 10 51 33 19 10 5 4 30 19 15 5 4 6 21 14 18 54
10 Ipswich Town 36 14 10 12 46 36 17 6 5 6 23 18 19 8 5 6 23 18 10 52
11 Gillingham 35 12 15 8 42 34 17 9 3 5 27 17 18 3 12 3 15 17 8 51
12 Burton Albion 35 12 12 11 50 50 17 6 8 3 19 14 18 6 4 8 31 36 0 48
13 Blackpool 35 11 12 12 44 43 17 9 2 6 27 23 18 2 10 6 17 20 1 45
14 Bristol Rovers 35 12 9 14 38 49 18 7 6 5 23 19 17 5 3 9 15 30 -11 45
15 Lincoln City 35 12 6 17 44 46 17 10 3 4 28 18 18 2 3 13 16 28 -2 42
16 Shrewsbury Town 34 10 11 13 31 42 17 6 5 6 21 24 17 4 6 7 10 18 -11 41
17 Accrington Stanley 35 10 10 15 47 53 17 7 2 8 33 27 18 3 8 7 14 26 -6 40
18 Milton Keynes Dons 35 10 7 18 36 47 18 9 1 8 20 21 17 1 6 10 16 26 -11 37
19 Rochdale 34 10 6 18 39 57 16 5 4 7 19 22 18 5 2 11 20 35 -18 36
20 AFC Wimbledon 35 8 11 16 39 52 18 5 9 4 18 18 17 3 2 12 21 34 -13 35
21 Tranmere Rovers 34 8 8 18 36 60 17 3 6 8 19 26 17 5 2 10 17 34 -24 32
22 Southend United 35 4 7 24 39 85 17 2 4 11 18 42 18 2 3 13 21 43 -46 19
23 Bolton Wanderers 34 5 11 18 27 66 17 4 8 5 17 23 17 1 3 13 10 43 -39 14

More from England - League One

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.