Football tips: Stoke City vs Nottingham Forest - predictions and betting guide

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Competition: England Championship
Date: Fri 27.September
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Bet365 Stadium (30089 seats)

Struggling Stoke City will be hoping to pull off an upset when they welcome high-flying Nottingham Forest in the upcoming league round. It’s 23rd vs 6th and the home crowd will have moderate expectations.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

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Stoke City form and stats

Overall Championship stats at home this season for Stoke City are 0-1-3 (wins-draw-losses). Two defeats in a row at home hurts for Stoke City, their manager N. Jones and the supporters. There are certain expectations for improvement.

The home team returns to Bet365 Stadium after sharing the points with Brentford (placed 17th) on their last time out; the Championship game ended 0-0. Preceding that match was a defeat to Bristol City (1-2).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Stoke City have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 13 matches with the results: Won 2 Drawn 7 Lost 4.

Stoke City are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 4 goals in 4 attempts. Stoke City are struggling defensively, conceding on average more than two goals per home game (9 from 4 played).

W W D W W

Nottingham Forest form and stats

The visitors are W2-D2-L0 on the road this term. That's in the Championship. Winning streaks in away matches are not that common, but Nottingham Forest are close to a proper streak after winning their two previous away games.

The supporters enjoyed Nottingham Forest's previous game versus Barnsley (placed 22nd), a Championship 1-0 win played at home. Preceding that game was the away victory against Swansea City with the score of 1-0.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Nottingham Forest playing away and similar expectations, we found six relevant matches. Results were 1 Nottingham Forest win, 1 draw and 4 defeats.

Nottingham Forest have scored 5 goals on their travels this season, from 4 away games in the league. It's not easy to score on Nottingham Forest as they have only conceded 3 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

As for the last three games between these two teams, there's 1 Stoke City victory, 1 draw and 1 Nottingham Forest win. 1 of these game ended with three goals or more, 2 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

L. Grabban
4 goals / 1 assists
S. Clucas
2 goals / 1 assists
L. Lindsay
2 goals

Stoke City missing players

Nottingham Forest missing players

Stoke City Nottingham Forest
Total Home Home vs top Statistics Stat Away vs low Away Total
8 4 3 Played P 0 4 8
0 0 0 Won W 0 2 4
2 1 0 Drew D 0 2 3
6 3 3 Lost L 0 0 1
7 4 2 Scored S 0 5 11
17 9 7 Conceded C 0 3 6
88% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
88% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 75% 75%
88% 100% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 25% 38%
38% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
75% 75% 67% BTTS BTTS 0% 75% 62%
12% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 38%
25% 25% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 0%
 
5.4 6.8 5.7 Corners For (avg) C F 0 2.2 4.2
2.8 4 3.7 Corners Against (avg) C A 0 8.8 7
1.4 1.5 1 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 0 2.8 2.1
1 1 1 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats This season:
  • All of Stoke City's home matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Nottingham Forest have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Nottingham Forest have not yet lost a game away.
  • Nottingham Forest have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Nottingham Forest have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Nottingham Forest haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Stoke City have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Stoke City have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Stoke City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Stoke City have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Stoke City have yet to win a game.
  • Stoke City haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

Stoke City
24-08-19 CH Stoke City 0 - 3 Leeds United
27-08-19 CC Leeds United 2 - 2 Stoke City
31-08-19 CH Birmingham City 2 - 1 Stoke City
14-09-19 CH Stoke City 1 - 2 Bristol City
21-09-19 CH Brentford 0 - 0 Stoke City
24-09-19 CC Crawley Town 18:45 Stoke City
27-09-19 CH Stoke City 19:00 Nottingham Forest
01-10-19 CH Stoke City 19:00 Huddersfield Town
05-10-19 CH Swansea City 14:00 Stoke City
19-10-19 CH Stoke City 14:00 Fulham
Nottingham Forest
24-08-19 CH Fulham 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest
27-08-19 CC Nottingham Forest 3 - 0 Derby County
31-08-19 CH Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Preston North End
14-09-19 CH Swansea City 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest
21-09-19 CH Nottingham Forest 1 - 0 Barnsley
24-09-19 CC Arsenal 18:45 Nottingham Forest
27-09-19 CH Stoke City 19:00 Nottingham Forest
01-10-19 CH Blackburn Rovers 18:45 Nottingham Forest
05-10-19 CH Nottingham Forest 14:00 Brentford
20-10-19 CH Wigan Athletic 13:00 Nottingham Forest

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leeds United 8 5 2 1 13 4 4 1 2 1 3 3 4 4 0 0 10 1 9 17
2 Swansea City 8 5 2 1 12 5 4 3 0 1 8 4 4 2 2 0 4 1 7 17
3 Preston North End 8 5 1 2 14 7 4 4 0 0 10 2 4 1 1 2 4 5 7 16
4 West Bromwich Albion 8 4 4 0 15 10 4 2 2 0 9 6 4 2 2 0 6 4 5 16
5 Queens Park Rangers 8 5 1 2 14 12 4 2 1 1 8 7 4 3 0 1 6 5 2 16
6 Nottingham Forest 8 4 3 1 11 6 4 2 1 1 6 3 4 2 2 0 5 3 5 15
7 Bristol City 8 4 3 1 13 9 4 1 2 1 5 5 4 3 1 0 8 4 4 15
8 Charlton Athletic 8 4 2 2 11 8 4 2 1 1 5 3 4 2 1 1 6 5 3 14
9 Sheffield Wednesday 8 4 1 3 11 7 4 2 1 1 5 3 4 2 0 2 6 4 4 13
10 Blackburn Rovers 8 4 1 3 9 8 4 2 1 1 4 2 4 2 0 2 5 6 1 13
11 Birmingham City 8 4 1 3 7 9 4 2 1 1 5 3 4 2 0 2 2 6 -2 13
12 Fulham 8 3 3 2 12 7 4 2 1 1 8 3 4 1 2 1 4 4 5 12
13 Cardiff City 8 3 3 2 9 10 4 3 1 0 6 3 4 0 2 2 3 7 -1 12
14 Hull City 8 2 3 3 11 11 4 1 1 2 5 7 4 1 2 1 6 4 0 9
15 Middlesbrough 8 2 3 3 8 9 4 2 1 1 3 2 4 0 2 2 5 7 -1 9
16 Millwall 8 2 3 3 6 11 4 2 1 1 4 3 4 0 2 2 2 8 -5 9
17 Brentford 8 2 2 4 5 6 4 1 2 1 4 2 4 1 0 3 1 4 -1 8
18 Derby County 8 1 5 2 8 11 4 0 3 1 3 4 4 1 2 1 5 7 -3 8
19 Wigan Athletic 8 2 2 4 8 13 4 2 1 1 5 4 4 0 1 3 3 9 -5 8
20 Reading 8 2 1 5 9 11 4 1 0 3 5 7 4 1 1 2 4 4 -2 7
21 Luton Town 8 2 1 5 12 16 4 1 1 2 6 9 4 1 0 3 6 7 -4 7
22 Barnsley 8 1 2 5 4 12 4 1 1 2 4 7 4 0 1 3 0 5 -8 5
23 Stoke City 8 0 2 6 7 17 4 0 1 3 4 9 4 0 1 3 3 8 -10 2
24 Huddersfield Town 8 0 1 7 7 17 4 0 0 4 2 8 4 0 1 3 5 9 -10 1

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