Open game expected at Riverside Stadium: Middlesbrough vs Nottingham Forest preview

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Mon 02.March
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Riverside Stadium (34988 seats)

Struggling Middlesbrough will be hoping to pull off an upset when they welcome high-flying Nottingham Forest in the upcoming league round. It’s 22nd vs 4th and the home crowd will have moderate expectations.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Middlesbrough form and stats

Middlesbrough have played 18 Championship games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 6-7-5 (wins-draws-losses). Middlesbrough has three losses from their three previous games and the tension is increasing in the dressing room for both the manager J. Woodgate and the players. We have seen two home losses in a row now for Middlesbrough, who are hoping that the phrase “third time lucky” applies to them.

Times are rough for the home team, having gone 292 minutes without scoring a league goal. L. Wing was the last player to find the net.

Middlesbrough's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 0-1 versus Leeds United (placed 2nd). Heartbreak before that as Middlesbrough lost 0-1 at Barnsley's place.

Aynsley Pears had a busy but productive day in the Leeds United match. Despite making seven saves the loss could not be prevented.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Middlesbrough have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found nine matches with the results: Won two, drawn three and lost four.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Middlesbrough here at Riverside Stadium in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (16 from 18 games). Middlesbrough are not conceding a lot of goals here at Riverside Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 17 from 18 matches.

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Nottingham Forest form and stats

Playing away, Nottingham Forest have won 8 games, drawn 7 and suffered 3 defeats in the Championship this season.

The Nottingham Forest goalkeeper Brice Samba is collecting clean sheets like a laundry worker. It's been 205 league minutes without conceding a goal, and counting.

It's the second away game in a row for Nottingham Forest, but there's smiles all around after the 1-0 victory versus Cardiff City (placed 11th) in the Championship last time out. Ahead of that game was the 0-0 draw at home against Queens Park Rangers.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Nottingham Forest playing away and similar expectations, we found 15 relevant matches. Results were five Nottingham Forest wins, four draws and six defeats.

A new game in only four days for Nottingham Forest, the Championship home match versus Millwall. Busy days.

Nottingham Forest have scored 26 goals on their travels this season, from 18 away games in the league. Nottingham Forest are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 17 times in 18 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Nottingham Forest - Middlesbrough 1-1, played this season. Last ten meetings between the teams: Middlesbrough won three, Nottingham Forest won five and two draws. five games with over 2,5 goals, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Nottingham ForestL. Grabban
L. Grabban
16 goals
MiddlesbroughA. Fletcher
A. Fletcher
7 goals
Nottingham Forest
J. Lolley
7 goals

Middlesbrough missing players

Nottingham Forest missing players

Middlesbrough Nottingham Forest
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
35 18 6 Played P 6 18 35
8 6 0 Won W 3 8 16
13 7 3 Drew D 1 7 11
14 5 3 Lost L 2 3 8
34 16 2 Scored S 9 26 46
45 17 5 Conceded C 7 17 33
94% 94% 83% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 94%
57% 44% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 83% 72% 66%
34% 22% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 44% 40%
29% 17% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 17% 22% 20%
9% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 17% 6% 6%
46% 44% 33% BTTS BTTS 67% 61% 51%
26% 33% 17% Clean Sheets C S 17% 33% 37%
34% 28% 67% Failed to Score F T 17% 11% 17%
 
5.1 5.1 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 4.8 4.4 5.7
5.6 5 3.8 Corners against (avg) C A 6.2 7.4 6.1
1.7 1.4 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 2.1 1.8
4 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
416 232 84 Total Shots T S 75 212 462
115 59 22 Shots on Target S O 21 60 115
30% 27% 9% Goal Efficiency G E 43% 43% 40%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Middlesbrough has the fewest scored goals (34)
  • Middlesbrough has the fewest scored goals in the first half (13)
  • Nottingham Forest has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (14)
  • Nottingham Forest have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Nottingham Forest have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 West Bromwich Albion 36 19 12 5 64 37 18 8 7 3 36 23 18 11 5 2 28 14 27 69
2 Leeds United 36 20 8 8 54 30 17 10 4 3 24 13 19 10 4 5 30 17 24 68
3 Fulham 36 18 9 9 51 37 19 12 2 5 32 21 17 6 7 4 19 16 14 63
4 Nottingham Forest 35 16 11 8 46 33 17 8 4 5 20 16 18 8 7 3 26 17 13 59
5 Brentford 36 16 9 11 59 33 17 9 5 3 31 15 19 7 4 8 28 18 26 57
6 Preston North End 36 16 8 12 49 42 18 11 3 4 34 21 18 5 5 8 15 21 7 56
7 Bristol City 36 15 9 12 50 52 17 7 4 6 24 26 19 8 5 6 26 26 -2 54
8 Blackburn Rovers 36 14 11 11 52 42 19 8 8 3 24 16 17 6 3 8 28 26 10 53
9 Swansea City 36 13 13 10 46 45 18 8 4 6 24 20 18 5 9 4 22 25 1 52
10 Millwall 36 12 15 9 41 40 18 8 7 3 25 18 18 4 8 6 16 22 1 51
11 Cardiff City 36 12 15 9 50 50 18 8 8 2 26 17 18 4 7 7 24 33 0 51
12 Sheffield Wednesday 36 13 9 14 46 44 18 7 5 6 16 21 18 6 4 8 30 23 2 48
13 Derby County 36 12 12 12 46 49 18 9 7 2 25 13 18 3 5 10 21 36 -3 48
14 Queens Park Rangers 36 13 8 15 55 61 19 8 5 6 37 33 17 5 3 9 18 28 -6 47
15 Birmingham City 36 12 11 13 47 54 17 6 5 6 26 26 19 6 6 7 21 28 -7 47
16 Reading 36 12 9 15 43 41 18 7 2 9 23 24 18 5 7 6 20 17 2 45
17 Huddersfield Town 36 11 9 16 45 56 19 7 5 7 24 25 17 4 4 9 21 31 -11 42
18 Hull City 36 11 8 17 48 58 19 6 3 10 27 33 17 5 5 7 21 25 -10 41
19 Wigan Athletic 36 10 10 16 38 50 17 6 5 6 18 22 19 4 5 10 20 28 -12 40
20 Charlton Athletic 36 10 9 17 44 53 18 7 5 6 25 22 18 3 4 11 19 31 -9 39
21 Stoke City 36 11 6 19 44 54 18 7 3 8 24 23 18 4 3 11 20 31 -10 39
22 Middlesbrough 35 8 13 14 34 45 18 6 7 5 16 17 17 2 6 9 18 28 -11 37
23 Barnsley 36 8 10 18 42 60 18 5 7 6 26 31 18 3 3 12 16 29 -18 34
24 Luton Town 36 10 4 22 43 71 18 7 4 7 27 27 18 3 0 15 16 44 -28 34

Middlesbrough:
Nottingham Forest:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.