Championship preview: Can Luton Town edge out victory against Stoke City?

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 29.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Kenilworth Road Stadium (10226 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the Championship, with both Luton Town and Stoke City experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic "six-pointer" with the home team placed 24th and the visitors in 20th place.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Luton Town form and stats

Luton Town, who have the most conceded goals (70) in Championship, have collected 24 points from their Championship home games so far after 7-3-7. The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Kenilworth Road Stadium.

Luton Town's last game was hosting Brentford (placed 5th) and winning 2-1. Heartbreak before that as Luton Town lost 1-3 at Charlton Athletic's place.

Simon Sluga loved the game against Brentford. With a stunning six saves the goalkeeper played a huge part in the 2-1 victory.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Luton Town have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found five games) they have won four times, drawn one and lost zero.

A decent goal production from Luton Town in their home games so far, with 26 goals from 17 league matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Luton Town defense is not exactly impregnable. 26 goals conceded from 17 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Stoke City form and stats

Stoke City have only collected 14 points from their away games in the Championship, after 4-2-11 (17 played).

Stoke City have succeeded in guarding their own goal lately, led by their goalkeeper Jack Butland. It's been 180 minutes since they last conceded in Championship.

Stoke City are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 0-0 draw at Blackburn Rovers (placed 8th). Prior to that match, a home win 2-0 against Cardiff City.

Jack Butland had red hot gloves after the game against Blackburn Rovers, shaping the outcome of the game with six saves made.

Stoke City are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, one draw and four defeats. From a total of seven matches.

Stoke City find the net regularly in their away games. 19 goals from 17 away fixtures in the league. Stoke City have conceded 30 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Stoke City - Luton Town 3-0 entered in the official records. Last six meetings between the teams: Luton Town won zero, Stoke City won three and three draws. four games with over 2,5 goals, two matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Luton TownJ. Collins
J. Collins
10 goals
Luton Town
H. Cornick
8 goals
Stoke CityS. Clucas
S. Clucas
8 goals

Luton Town missing players

Stoke City missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Luton Town Stoke City
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
35 17 5 Played P 5 17 35
10 7 3 Won W 2 4 11
3 3 1 Drew D 0 2 5
22 7 1 Lost L 3 11 19
42 26 9 Scored S 12 19 43
70 26 9 Conceded C 11 30 53
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 89%
86% 82% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 65% 74%
77% 76% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 59% 57%
29% 18% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 60% 35% 29%
17% 18% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 40% 18% 14%
63% 71% 80% BTTS BTTS 100% 53% 49%
9% 12% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 18% 26%
29% 18% 20% Failed to Score F T 0% 41% 37%
 
5 5.7 6.4 Corners for (avg) C F 4.4 3.7 4.8
6.7 6.8 7.2 Corners against (avg) C A 4.4 4.2 4.2
1.4 1.2 1.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.4 1.6 1.4
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
351 192 69 Total Shots T S 54 175 426
105 59 16 Shots on Target S O 24 57 130
40% 44% 56% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 33% 33%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Luton Town has the fewest clean sheets (3)
  • Luton Town has the fewest matches under the total-line (8)
  • Luton Town has the most conceded goals (70)
  • Luton Town has the most conceded goals in the first half (29)
  • Luton Town has the most conceded goals in the second half (41)
  • Luton Town has the most matches over the total-line (24)
  • Luton Town has the the worst goal difference (-28)
  • Luton Town haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Stoke City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Stoke City have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 West Bromwich Albion 35 19 12 4 64 36 17 8 7 2 36 22 18 11 5 2 28 14 28 69
2 Leeds United 35 19 8 8 50 30 17 10 4 3 24 13 18 9 4 5 26 17 20 65
3 Fulham 35 17 9 9 49 37 18 11 2 5 30 21 17 6 7 4 19 16 12 60
4 Nottingham Forest 35 16 11 8 46 33 17 8 4 5 20 16 18 8 7 3 26 17 13 59
5 Brentford 35 16 8 11 57 31 17 9 5 3 31 15 18 7 3 8 26 16 26 56
6 Preston North End 35 16 8 11 49 40 18 11 3 4 34 21 17 5 5 7 15 19 9 56
7 Bristol City 35 15 8 12 49 51 17 7 4 6 24 26 18 8 4 6 25 25 -2 53
8 Blackburn Rovers 35 14 10 11 50 40 18 8 7 3 22 14 17 6 3 8 28 26 10 52
9 Swansea City 35 13 12 10 44 43 18 8 4 6 24 20 17 5 8 4 20 23 1 51
10 Millwall 35 12 14 9 40 39 17 8 6 3 24 17 18 4 8 6 16 22 1 50
11 Cardiff City 35 12 14 9 48 48 17 8 7 2 24 15 18 4 7 7 24 33 0 50
12 Sheffield Wednesday 35 13 9 13 45 41 17 7 5 5 15 18 18 6 4 8 30 23 4 48
13 Queens Park Rangers 35 13 7 15 53 59 18 8 4 6 35 31 17 5 3 9 18 28 -6 46
14 Birmingham City 35 12 10 13 45 52 17 6 5 6 26 26 18 6 5 7 19 26 -7 46
15 Derby County 35 11 12 12 43 48 18 9 7 2 25 13 17 2 5 10 18 35 -5 45
16 Reading 35 11 9 15 41 41 17 6 2 9 21 24 18 5 7 6 20 17 0 42
17 Hull City 35 11 8 16 48 54 18 6 3 9 27 29 17 5 5 7 21 25 -6 41
18 Charlton Athletic 35 10 9 16 44 49 18 7 5 6 25 22 17 3 4 10 19 27 -5 39
19 Huddersfield Town 35 10 9 16 41 56 18 6 5 7 20 25 17 4 4 9 21 31 -15 39
20 Stoke City 35 11 5 19 43 53 18 7 3 8 24 23 17 4 2 11 19 30 -10 38
21 Middlesbrough 35 8 13 14 34 45 18 6 7 5 16 17 17 2 6 9 18 28 -11 37
22 Wigan Athletic 35 9 10 16 37 50 17 6 5 6 18 22 18 3 5 10 19 28 -13 37
23 Barnsley 35 8 10 17 42 58 18 5 7 6 26 31 17 3 3 11 16 27 -16 34
24 Luton Town 35 10 3 22 42 70 17 7 3 7 26 26 18 3 0 15 16 44 -28 33

Luton Town:
Stoke City:
Championship:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 West Bromwich Albion 35 19 12 4 64 36 17 8 7 2 36 22 18 11 5 2 28 14 28 69
2 Leeds United 35 19 8 8 50 30 17 10 4 3 24 13 18 9 4 5 26 17 20 65
3 Fulham 35 17 9 9 49 37 18 11 2 5 30 21 17 6 7 4 19 16 12 60
4 Nottingham Forest 35 16 11 8 46 33 17 8 4 5 20 16 18 8 7 3 26 17 13 59
5 Brentford 35 16 8 11 57 31 17 9 5 3 31 15 18 7 3 8 26 16 26 56
6 Preston North End 35 16 8 11 49 40 18 11 3 4 34 21 17 5 5 7 15 19 9 56
7 Bristol City 35 15 8 12 49 51 17 7 4 6 24 26 18 8 4 6 25 25 -2 53
8 Blackburn Rovers 35 14 10 11 50 40 18 8 7 3 22 14 17 6 3 8 28 26 10 52
9 Swansea City 35 13 12 10 44 43 18 8 4 6 24 20 17 5 8 4 20 23 1 51
10 Millwall 35 12 14 9 40 39 17 8 6 3 24 17 18 4 8 6 16 22 1 50
11 Cardiff City 35 12 14 9 48 48 17 8 7 2 24 15 18 4 7 7 24 33 0 50
12 Sheffield Wednesday 35 13 9 13 45 41 17 7 5 5 15 18 18 6 4 8 30 23 4 48
13 Queens Park Rangers 35 13 7 15 53 59 18 8 4 6 35 31 17 5 3 9 18 28 -6 46
14 Birmingham City 35 12 10 13 45 52 17 6 5 6 26 26 18 6 5 7 19 26 -7 46
15 Derby County 35 11 12 12 43 48 18 9 7 2 25 13 17 2 5 10 18 35 -5 45
16 Reading 35 11 9 15 41 41 17 6 2 9 21 24 18 5 7 6 20 17 0 42
17 Hull City 35 11 8 16 48 54 18 6 3 9 27 29 17 5 5 7 21 25 -6 41
18 Charlton Athletic 35 10 9 16 44 49 18 7 5 6 25 22 17 3 4 10 19 27 -5 39
19 Huddersfield Town 35 10 9 16 41 56 18 6 5 7 20 25 17 4 4 9 21 31 -15 39
20 Stoke City 35 11 5 19 43 53 18 7 3 8 24 23 17 4 2 11 19 30 -10 38
21 Middlesbrough 35 8 13 14 34 45 18 6 7 5 16 17 17 2 6 9 18 28 -11 37
22 Wigan Athletic 35 9 10 16 37 50 17 6 5 6 18 22 18 3 5 10 19 28 -13 37
23 Barnsley 35 8 10 17 42 58 18 5 7 6 26 31 17 3 3 11 16 27 -16 34
24 Luton Town 35 10 3 22 42 70 17 7 3 7 26 26 18 3 0 15 16 44 -28 33

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The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.