Football tips: Derby County vs Swansea City - predictions and betting guide

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Competition: England Championship
Date: Sat 10.August
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Pride Park Stadium (33597 seats)

Game week two of the Championship season and the teams have had a few days to digest the first match. Here's the Derby County - Swansea City preview:

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Derby County form and stats

Happy days for Derby County in their previous game, a Championship match away at Huddersfield Town that ended with a 2-1 victory. Prior to that, an away loss at Aston Villa.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Derby County have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won 8 times, drawn 5 and lost 2.

There will be little rest for Derby County after this match as they are travelling to Scunthorpe United for a Carabao Cup game in only three days.

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Swansea City form and stats

Swansea City are travelling after their nice 2-1 home win in the Championship against Hull City. Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Blackburn Rovers that ended 2-2.

We have checked recent matches where Swansea City have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those nine games were W1-D2-L6.

A new game in only three days for Swansea City, the Carabao Cup home match versus Northampton Town. Busy days.

Let's have a look at how Swansea City performed last season in the Premier League: They landed a 10th position in the league table after playing out 18 victories, 11 draws and 17 defeats. In total they scored 65 and conceded 62 goals in these matches. The numbers for away games only are: Won 6 - drew 5 and lost 12 with 23/34 goals scored/conceded.

Head 2 Head

Derby County-Swansea City H2H statistics last eight meetings regardless of arena: Derby County 2 wins, Swansea City 2 wins, 4 draws. 3 of these eight matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

T. Lawrence
2 goals
M. van der Hoorn
1 goals
Borja Bastón
1 goals

Derby County missing players

Swansea City missing players

Derby County Swansea City
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs top Away Total
1 0 0 Played 0 0 1
1 0 0 Won 0 0 1
0 0 0 Drew 0 0 0
0 0 0 Lost 0 0 0
2 0 0 Scored 0 0 2
1 0 0 Conceded 0 0 1
100% 0% 0% Over 0.5 0% 0% 100%
100% 0% 0% Over 1.5 0% 0% 100%
100% 0% 0% Over 2.5 0% 0% 100%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 0%
100% 0% 0% BTTS 0% 0% 100%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Failed To Score 0% 0% 0%
 
0 0 0 Corners For (avg) 0 0 10
8 0 0 Corners Against (avg) 0 0 4
0 0 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 0 0 2
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Derby County Last season Swansea City
Total Home   Statistic   Away Total
49 24   Played   23 46
21 13   Won   6 18
14 7   Drew   5 11
14 4   Lost   12 17
74 40   Scored   23 65
59 21   Conceded   34 62
92% 88%   Over 0.5   87% 91%
80% 79%   Over 1.5   65% 70%
49% 46%   Over 2.5   57% 59%
27% 25%   Over 3.5   26% 35%
12% 8%   Over 4.5   13% 15%
59% 54%   BTTS   52% 54%
22% 33%   Clean Sheets   22% 28%
27% 25%   Failed To Score   39% 26%
 
5 4.9   Corners For (avg)   4 5
4.9 4.4   Corners Against (avg)   5.8 5.5
2.2 1.6   Yellow Cards (avg)   1.2 1
2 0   Red Cards   1 1
Key stats last season:
  • Swansea City have won significantly less corners away then at home.

Derby County
All Championship Club Friendlies Carabao Cup FA Cup
All Home Away
27-05-19 CH Aston Villa 2 - 1 Derby County
20-07-19 CF Burton Albion 2 - 5 Derby County
25-07-19 CF Derby County 0 - 2 Girona
28-07-19 CF Rangers 1 - 0 Derby County
05-08-19 CH Huddersfield Town 1 - 2 Derby County
10-08-19 CH Derby County 14:00 Swansea City
13-08-19 CC Scunthorpe United 18:45 Derby County
17-08-19 CH Stoke City 14:00 Derby County
20-08-19 CH Derby County 18:45 Bristol City
24-08-19 CH Derby County 11:30 West Bromwich Albion
Swansea City
All Championship Premier League Club Friendlies Carabao Cup FA Cup
All Home Away
13-07-19 CF Crawley Town 2 - 3 Swansea City
20-07-19 CF Exeter City 1 - 3 Swansea City
23-07-19 CF Bristol Rovers 0 - 3 Swansea City
27-07-19 CF Swansea City 2 - 1 Atalanta
03-08-19 CH Swansea City 2 - 1 Hull City
10-08-19 CH Derby County 14:00 Swansea City
13-08-19 CC Swansea City 18:45 Northampton Town
17-08-19 CH Swansea City 14:00 Preston North End
21-08-19 CH Queens Park Rangers 18:45 Swansea City
25-08-19 CH Swansea City 11:00 Birmingham City

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Leeds United 1 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 2 3
2 Sheffield Wednesday 1 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 2 3
3 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
4 Birmingham City 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 3
5 Charlton Athletic 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 3
6 Derby County 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 3
7 Millwall 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
8 Queens Park Rangers 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 3
9 Swansea City 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
10 West Bromwich Albion 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 3
11 Wigan Athletic 1 1 0 0 3 2 1 1 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
12 Luton Town 1 0 1 0 3 3 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
13 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
14 Blackburn Rovers 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0
15 Brentford 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0
16 Cardiff City 1 0 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
17 Fulham 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
18 Huddersfield Town 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0
19 Hull City 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
20 Nottingham Forest 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0
21 Preston North End 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
22 Stoke City 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0
23 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 1 3 1 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 0
24 Reading 1 0 0 1 1 3 1 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 0

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