Superliga preview: Can AGF edge out victory against Horsens?

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Competition: Denmark Superliga
Date: Mon 19.August
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ceres Park (19433 seats)

It's still early in the Superliga season, but we are learning more and more about the teams. Here is the AGF - Horsens preview!

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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AGF form and stats

0 victories, 0 draws and 1 defeat. That’s what AGF have to build on here at Ceres Park.

The home team returns to Ceres Park after sharing the points with SønderjyskE on their last time out; the Superliga game ended 0-0. A defeat was the result before that one, 1-2 away at Lyngby.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how AGF have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won 3 times, drawn 5 and lost 2.

It's still early days, but we have some goal stats for the AGF at home. 0 on target and 1 scored by the opposition; from 1 match.

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Horsens form and stats

Horsens are on a winning streak after three away games, as mentioned below. A maximum 6 points in the bag from 2 travels. It could be a hat trick of victories away for Horsens, as they have won on their previous two travels.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Superliga home defeat versus Midtjylland with 0-2 on the scoreboard. Prior to that result Horsens won their away game at Brøndby. The scoreline was 2-1.

We have checked recent matches where Horsens have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those ten games were W2-D4-L4.

Horsens has the goal stats of 5-1 (for/against) from 2 business trips at the early stages of this season.

Head 2 Head

Last ten meetings between the teams: AGF won 5, Horsens won 3 and 2 draws. 8 games with over 2,5 goals, 2 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

J. Thorsteinsson
2 goals
N. Brock-Madsen
2 goals
J. Juelsgård
1 goals

AGF missing players

Horsens missing players

AGF Horsens
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs low Away Total
5 1 0 Played 1 2 5
0 0 0 Won 1 2 2
2 0 0 Drew 0 0 0
3 1 0 Lost 0 0 3
3 0 0 Scored 3 5 5
6 1 0 Conceded 0 1 8
80% 100% 0% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
60% 0% 0% Over 1.5 100% 100% 100%
40% 0% 0% Over 2.5 100% 100% 60%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 0%
60% 0% 0% BTTS 0% 50% 20%
20% 0% 0% Clean Sheets 100% 50% 20%
40% 100% 0% Failed To Score 0% 0% 60%
 
4.6 7 0 Corners For (avg) 10 8.5 5.4
4 2 0 Corners Against (avg) 12 10.5 8.6
2 1 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 0 1.5 1.8
1 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • AGF have failed to score a single goal at home.
  • AGF have lost all their home matches so far.
  • AGF have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • AGF have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • All of Horsens's away matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Horsens have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Horsens have won all their away matches so far.
  • Horsens have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • Horsens haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
AGF Last season Horsens
Total Home Home vs no_table Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
36 18 2 Played 6 16 32
14 8 1 Won 3 6 8
12 6 0 Drew 0 2 9
10 4 1 Lost 3 8 15
51 27 4 Scored 8 14 32
43 21 3 Conceded 9 26 55
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 88% 84%
78% 89% 100% Over 1.5 67% 69% 72%
47% 50% 100% Over 2.5 50% 56% 59%
28% 22% 50% Over 3.5 33% 25% 31%
11% 6% 0% Over 4.5 17% 6% 12%
58% 72% 100% BTTS 50% 38% 50%
33% 22% 0% Clean Sheets 17% 25% 25%
17% 6% 0% Failed To Score 33% 50% 41%
 
4.1 4.5 3 Corners For (avg) 6.3 4.8 4.6
5.9 6.4 6.5 Corners Against (avg) 5.3 5.2 4.7
2 2 2.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 2.3 2.6 2.1
5 1 0 Red Cards 0 2 5
Key stats last season:
  • AGF have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • AGF haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

AGF
All Superliga Landspokal Cup Club Friendlies Atlantic Cup
All Home Away
15-07-19 SU Hobro 1 - 1 AGF
19-07-19 SU København 2 - 1 AGF
28-07-19 SU AGF 0 - 1 Midtjylland
05-08-19 SU Lyngby 2 - 1 AGF
12-08-19 SU SønderjyskE 0 - 0 AGF
19-08-19 SU AGF 17:00 Horsens
25-08-19 SU Brøndby 16:00 AGF
01-09-19 SU AGF 10:00 Esbjerg
03-09-19 LC Marstal / Rise 16:00 AGF
15-09-19 SU AGF 10:00 AaB
Horsens
All Superliga Landspokal Cup Club Friendlies
All Home Away
14-07-19 SU Horsens 0 - 3 Nordsjælland
21-07-19 SU Silkeborg 0 - 3 Horsens
27-07-19 SU Horsens 0 - 2 København
04-08-19 SU Brøndby 1 - 2 Horsens
11-08-19 SU Horsens 0 - 2 Midtjylland
19-08-19 SU AGF 17:00 Horsens
26-08-19 SU Horsens 17:00 AaB
01-09-19 SU Horsens 12:00 Lyngby
03-09-19 LC BK Union 16:00 Horsens
13-09-19 SU SønderjyskE 17:00 Horsens

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 København 6 6 0 0 12 4 2 2 0 0 4 1 4 4 0 0 8 3 8 18
2 Midtjylland 6 5 1 0 8 2 4 3 1 0 5 2 2 2 0 0 3 0 6 16
3 Brøndby 5 3 1 1 11 6 3 2 0 1 7 4 2 1 1 0 4 2 5 10
4 Nordsjælland 6 3 1 2 11 7 3 2 1 0 6 2 3 1 0 2 5 5 4 10
5 SønderjyskE 6 2 3 1 10 7 3 1 1 1 3 3 3 1 2 0 7 4 3 9
6 OB 6 3 0 3 10 9 3 2 0 1 7 4 3 1 0 2 3 5 1 9
7 AaB 5 2 1 2 8 5 3 2 1 0 8 2 2 0 0 2 0 3 3 7
8 Hobro 6 1 4 1 8 9 3 0 2 1 3 5 3 1 2 0 5 4 -1 7
9 Horsens 5 2 0 3 5 8 3 0 0 3 0 7 2 2 0 0 5 1 -3 6
10 Lyngby 6 2 0 4 5 11 3 2 0 1 4 4 3 0 0 3 1 7 -6 6
11 Randers 6 1 2 3 8 9 3 1 1 1 5 4 3 0 1 2 3 5 -1 5
12 Esbjerg 6 1 1 4 2 9 3 1 1 1 2 2 3 0 0 3 0 7 -7 4
13 AGF 5 0 2 3 3 6 1 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 2 2 3 5 -3 2
14 Silkeborg 6 0 2 4 8 17 3 0 1 2 5 9 3 0 1 2 3 8 -9 2

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