Torneo Aguila preview: Can Fortaleza CEIF edge out victory against Real Santander?

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Competition: Colombia Torneo Aguila
Date: Sat 07.September
Match begins: 19:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Municipal de Cota (4000 seats)

This could be an interesting match as Fortaleza CEIF have their presumed home advantage while Real Santander are ahead 3 points in the Torneo Aguila table.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Fortaleza CEIF form and stats

Perfect Torneo Aguila season at home so far for Fortaleza CEIF, as mentioned below. 3 wins from 3 appearances. It’s been three wins in a row for Fortaleza CEIF here at Estadio Municipal de Cota, hoping to make this one the fourth consecutive victory.

Happy days for Fortaleza CEIF in their previous game, a Torneo Aguila match away at Boca Juniors de Cali (placed 14th) that ended with a 1-0 victory. Ahead of that match, Fortaleza CEIF won a home game hosting Real Cartagena (1-0).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Fortaleza CEIF have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won 2 times, drawn 5 and lost 0.

Fortaleza CEIF are an "over 2,5 goals" team alone here at Estadio Municipal de Cota in their league games, having scored an impressive 8 goals in 3 attempts. Fortaleza CEIF are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio Municipal de Cota in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 2 from 3 matches.

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Real Santander form and stats

Things could have gone better for Real Santander in their Torneo Aguila away matches, but 4 points from 3 games is all right.

Real Santander won their last game, 1-0 versus Barranquilla played at home. Preceding that game, the 0-1 loss visiting Deportes Quindío's place.

We have checked recent matches where Real Santander have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eight games were W1-D3-L4.

The attacking power of Real Santander when travelling is not overwhelming with 2 goals scored from 3 league matches away. Real Santander are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 2 times in 3 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Real Santander - Fortaleza CEIF 2-2 played earlier this season. Head-to-head totals (for the last seven meetings): Fortaleza CEIF won 2 games, 4 matches ended with a draw and Real Santander has 1 win. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 3 / 4

Top Goalscorers

A. Parra
6 goals
A. Córdoba
5 goals
Y. Yepes
4 goals

Fortaleza CEIF missing players

Real Santander missing players

Fortaleza CEIF Real Santander
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
23 11 4 Played 2 11 23
9 7 2 Won 1 2 6
5 2 0 Drew 0 2 8
9 2 2 Lost 1 7 9
30 22 4 Scored 1 4 23
29 11 4 Conceded 2 14 30
91% 91% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
74% 82% 75% Over 1.5 50% 55% 70%
43% 64% 25% Over 2.5 0% 9% 30%
30% 36% 0% Over 3.5 0% 0% 22%
13% 18% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 4%
43% 55% 25% BTTS 0% 18% 43%
30% 36% 50% Clean Sheets 50% 18% 17%
35% 18% 25% Failed To Score 50% 64% 39%
 
4.7 5.1 6.5 Corners For (avg) 5.5 5.5 4
4.1 4.5 3.8 Corners Against (avg) 8.5 4.7 3.5
2.1 2.2 2 Yellow Cards (avg) 2.5 2.9 2.1
1 1 1 Red Cards 1 3 3
Key stats this season:
  • Fortaleza CEIF have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Fortaleza CEIF have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Real Santander have scored away.
  • Real Santander have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Real Santander have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • Real Santander haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Fortaleza CEIF
11-08-19 TA Bogotá 2 - 0 Fortaleza CEIF
15-08-19 TA Fortaleza CEIF 4 - 2 Cortuluá
21-08-19 TA Leones FC 0 - 0 Fortaleza CEIF
25-08-19 TA Fortaleza CEIF 1 - 0 Real Cartagena
03-09-19 TA Boca Juniors de Cali 0 - 1 Fortaleza CEIF
07-09-19 TA Fortaleza CEIF 19:30 Real Santander
14-09-19 TA Orsomarso 20:00 Fortaleza CEIF
18-09-19 TA Fortaleza CEIF 19:30 Valledupar
21-09-19 TA Tigres - Fortaleza CEIF
28-09-19 TA Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético
Real Santander
14-08-19 CC Real Santander 0 - 1 Deportivo Cali
17-08-19 TA Tigres 1 - 1 Real Santander
21-08-19 TA Real Santander 0 - 2 Atlético
28-08-19 TA Deportes Quindío 1 - 0 Real Santander
01-09-19 TA Real Santander 1 - 0 Barranquilla
07-09-19 TA Fortaleza CEIF 19:30 Real Santander
15-09-19 TA Real Santander 20:30 Llaneros
19-09-19 TA Boyacá Chicó 00:30 Real Santander
21-09-19 TA Real Santander - Bogotá
28-09-19 TA Cortuluá - Real Santander

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Deportes Quindío 8 5 2 1 14 6 4 3 1 0 7 1 4 2 1 1 7 5 8 17
2 Real Cartagena 8 5 1 2 11 7 4 3 1 0 8 3 4 2 0 2 3 4 4 16
3 Real Santander 8 5 1 2 10 6 5 4 0 1 8 4 3 1 1 1 2 2 4 16
4 Bogotá 8 5 0 3 9 4 3 2 0 1 4 2 5 3 0 2 5 2 5 15
5 Deportivo Pereira 8 4 2 2 7 6 4 4 0 0 4 0 4 0 2 2 3 6 1 14
6 Valledupar 8 3 4 1 12 9 4 2 2 0 7 4 4 1 2 1 5 5 3 13
7 Fortaleza CEIF 8 4 1 3 9 7 3 3 0 0 8 2 5 1 1 3 1 5 2 13
8 Cortuluá 8 4 1 3 12 12 4 4 0 0 7 2 4 0 1 3 5 10 0 13
9 Boyacá Chicó 8 4 0 4 9 10 3 3 0 0 8 2 5 1 0 4 1 8 -1 12
10 Atlético 8 3 2 3 8 7 5 2 2 1 4 3 3 1 0 2 4 4 1 11
11 Leones FC 8 1 6 1 8 8 4 1 2 1 3 3 4 0 4 0 5 5 0 9
12 Tigres 8 2 3 3 5 6 5 2 1 2 5 4 3 0 2 1 0 2 -1 9
13 Barranquilla 8 2 1 5 7 14 4 2 1 1 6 5 4 0 0 4 1 9 -7 7
14 Boca Juniors de Cali 8 2 0 6 7 13 4 2 0 2 4 4 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 6
15 Llaneros 8 1 1 6 3 10 3 1 1 1 3 3 5 0 0 5 0 7 -7 4
16 Orsomarso 8 0 3 5 5 11 5 0 3 2 3 5 3 0 0 3 2 6 -6 3

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