Torneo Aguila prediction and preview: Boyacá Chicó modest favorites to beat Valledupar

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Competition: Colombia Torneo Aguila
Date: Mon 30.September
Match begins: 01:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio de La Independencia (20630 seats)

3rd position in the Torneo Aguila table for Boyacá Chicó so far, a good performance. The home supporters hope for more joy as 9th-placed Valledupar visits Estadio de La Independencia.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Boyacá Chicó form and stats

5 victories, 0 draws and 0 defeats. That’s what Boyacá Chicó, who have the most scored goals (21) in Torneo Aguila, have to build on here at Estadio de La Independencia in the Torneo Aguila. After failing to beat Llaneros here at Estadio de La Independencia, Boyacá Chicó has put together a very nice winning streak on their own turf with five wins in a row.

The home team returns to Estadio de La Independencia after sharing the points with Orsomarso (placed 16th) on their last time out; the Torneo Aguila game ended 4-4. Ahead of that match, Boyacá Chicó won a home game hosting Real Santander (1-0).

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Boyacá Chicó matches with similar probabilities have ended with 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats (from three games).

Boyacá Chicó are showing their attacking force in their league home games this season, scoring more than 2,5 goals per game on average (14 goals in 5 games). Boyacá Chicó are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio de La Independencia in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 4 from 5 matches.

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Valledupar form and stats

Playing away, Valledupar have won 1 game, drawn 4 and suffered 1 defeat in the Torneo Aguila this season. One point away has become something of a habit for Valledupar who have played out draws in their last three away games.

The manager N. Bernal was unhappy after their last game, a Torneo Aguila match played at their home ground Estadio de La Independencia. Valledupar suffered a 0-2 loss to Llaneros (placed 13th). Preceding that game, the 0-0 draw paying a visit to Fortaleza CEIF.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Valledupar when being an outsider away as they are today, we find six matches with the visitors losing 2 times, drawing 3 and winning 1 game.

The attacking power of Valledupar when travelling is not overwhelming with 5 goals scored from 6 league matches away. Valledupar are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 5 times in 6 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Valledupar - Boyacá Chicó 0-1, played this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last three matches): Boyacá Chicó 2 wins, 1 draw and Valledupar 0 victories. As for goals, 0 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 3 games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

E. Palomino
8 goals
C. Cangá
8 goals
N. Tapia
5 goals

Boyacá Chicó missing players

Valledupar missing players

Boyacá Chicó Valledupar
Total Home Home vs mid Statistics Stat Away vs top Away Total
33 16 3 Played P 4 13 27
16 9 2 Won W 0 3 7
10 5 0 Drew D 2 5 11
7 2 1 Lost L 2 5 9
46 23 5 Scored S 3 10 26
30 9 3 Conceded C 6 15 31
82% 75% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 69% 85%
52% 44% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 62% 70%
45% 31% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 54% 41%
21% 25% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 8% 15%
12% 12% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
33% 31% 67% BTTS BTTS 50% 46% 56%
48% 56% 0% Clean Sheets C S 25% 38% 26%
36% 38% 33% Failed to Score F T 50% 46% 33%
 
5.3 6.1 4.3 Corners For (avg) C F 5.2 3.9 4.2
3.8 3.2 5 Corners Against (avg) C A 5.2 4.8 4.2
3.4 2.9 2.7 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3.5 3.7 3.1
8 3 1 Red Cards R C 2 3 4
Key stats This season:
  • Boyacá Chicó have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Boyacá Chicó have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Valledupar have scored away.
  • Valledupar have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Boyacá Chicó
22-08-19 TA Bogota 0 - 1 Boyacá Chicó
27-08-19 TA Boyacá Chicó 3 - 2 Cortuluá
31-08-19 TA Leones FC 1 - 0 Boyacá Chicó
11-09-19 TA Boyacá Chicó 5 - 2 Real Cartagena
15-09-19 TA Universitario Popayan 2 - 2 Boyacá Chicó
19-09-19 TA Boyacá Chicó 1 - 0 Real Santander
22-09-19 TA Orsomarso 4 - 4 Boyacá Chicó
30-09-19 TA Boyacá Chicó 01:00 Valledupar
05-10-19 TA Tigres 19:00 Boyacá Chicó
12-10-19 TA Boyacá Chicó - Atletico
Valledupar
22-08-19 TA Valledupar 1 - 1 Deportivo Pereira
26-08-19 TA Tigres 1 - 2 Valledupar
01-09-19 TA Atletico 0 - 0 Valledupar
08-09-19 TA Deportes Quindío 0 - 0 Valledupar
14-09-19 TA Valledupar 1 - 0 Barranquilla
18-09-19 TA Fortaleza CEIF 0 - 0 Valledupar
22-09-19 TA Valledupar 0 - 2 Llaneros
30-09-19 TA Boyacá Chicó 01:00 Valledupar
05-10-19 TA Valledupar 20:00 Bogota
12-10-19 TA Cortuluá - Valledupar

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bogotá 13 8 1 4 18 10 6 4 1 1 11 6 7 4 0 3 7 4 8 25
2 Deportes Quindío 12 6 4 2 17 11 7 3 3 1 8 6 5 3 1 1 9 5 6 22
3 Boyacá Chicó 12 6 2 4 21 18 5 5 0 0 14 4 7 1 2 4 7 14 3 20
4 Deportivo Pereira 12 5 5 2 11 8 6 5 1 0 7 1 6 0 4 2 4 7 3 20
5 Real Cartagena 12 6 1 5 15 15 6 4 1 1 10 5 6 2 0 4 5 10 0 19
6 Atlético 13 4 6 3 14 9 8 2 5 1 5 4 5 2 1 2 9 5 5 18
7 Leones FC 13 3 9 1 16 14 6 2 3 1 6 5 7 1 6 0 10 9 2 18
8 Fortaleza CEIF 13 5 3 5 15 13 6 4 2 0 12 3 7 1 1 5 3 10 2 18
9 Valledupar 12 4 6 2 13 11 6 3 2 1 8 6 6 1 4 1 5 5 2 18
10 Tigres 13 4 5 4 13 13 7 3 1 3 8 8 6 1 4 1 5 5 0 17
11 Real Santander 12 5 1 6 10 12 7 4 0 3 8 6 5 1 1 3 2 6 -2 16
12 Cortuluá 12 5 1 6 15 18 5 5 0 0 8 2 7 0 1 6 7 16 -3 16
13 Llaneros 13 5 1 7 10 13 6 3 1 2 7 6 7 2 0 5 3 7 -3 16
14 Boca Juniors de Cali 13 3 2 8 14 22 6 3 1 2 9 8 7 0 1 6 5 14 -8 11
15 Barranquilla 12 2 4 6 8 16 6 2 3 1 7 6 6 0 1 5 1 10 -8 10
16 Orsomarso 13 1 5 7 12 19 7 1 4 2 9 9 6 0 1 5 3 10 -7 8

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