Primera A prediction and preview: Atlético Nacional modest favorites to beat Junior

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Competition: Colombia Primera A
Date: Sun 06.October
Match begins: 21:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (45943 seats)

It's advantage Atlético Nacional so far with their 2nd position in the Primera A table, welcoming Junior who are placed 7th.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Atlético Nacional and Junior.

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Atlético Nacional form and stats

Atlético Nacional, who have the most scored goals (25) in Primera A, have performed here at Estadio Atanasio Girardot this season with 4 wins from 7 Primera A matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 2 games and lost 1.

The home team returns to Estadio Atanasio Girardot after sharing the points with Alianza Petrolera (placed 1st) on their last time out; the Primera A game ended 0-0. Before that game, the 1-0 home victory against Deportes Tolima.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Atlético Nacional have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found four games) they have won 1 time, drawn 1 and lost 2.

The manager J. Osorio will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Patriotas Boyacá in only four days.

Atlético Nacional can score goals in their home matches. After 7 league matches they have found the net 16 times. 8 goals have been conceded.

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Junior form and stats

Junior, who have the most clean sheets (19) in Primera A, have only collected 7 points from their away games in the Primera A, after 1-4-2 (7 played). The awayteam now has four consecutive draws when travelling away from home.

Junior won their last game, 1-0 versus La Equidad played at home. Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Unión Magdalena that ended 1-1.

Junior are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats. From a total of nine matches.

A new game in only three days for Junior, the Primera A home match versus Deportivo Cali. Busy days.

There's been a serious shortage of goals from Junior's away games in the league this season with only 3 goals from 7 matches. It's not easy to score on Junior as they have only conceded 5 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Atlético Nacional - Junior 2-3 entered in the official records. Last ten meetings between the teams: Atlético Nacional won 4, Junior won 2 and 4 draws. 2 games with over 2,5 goals, 8 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

H. Barcos
10 goals / 4 assists
V. Hernández
9 goals / 3 assists
P. Ceppelini
9 goals / 7 assists

Atlético Nacional missing players

Junior missing players

Atlético Nacional Junior
Total Home Home vs mid Statistics Stat Away vs top Away Total
40 20 6 Played P 5 21 42
16 10 3 Won W 2 6 16
14 5 1 Drew D 1 10 19
10 5 2 Lost L 2 5 7
55 34 8 Scored S 4 21 44
41 21 4 Conceded C 5 22 31
82% 90% 83% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 86% 81%
62% 65% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 62% 52%
48% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 29% 24%
30% 40% 17% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 14% 12%
12% 20% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 10% 7%
55% 55% 33% BTTS BTTS 40% 52% 40%
38% 40% 50% Clean Sheets C S 40% 29% 45%
25% 15% 33% Failed to Score F T 40% 33% 33%
 
5.2 6.3 6.5 Corners For (avg) C F 2.4 2.9 4
4.1 3.4 3 Corners Against (avg) C A 5.4 6.1 4.4
2.3 2.2 2.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.5 2.5
7 2 0 Red Cards R C 0 3 8
Key stats This season:
  • Atlético Nacional have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Atlético Nacional have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Junior have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Junior have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Junior have won significantly less corners away then at home.

Atlético Nacional
All Copa Colombia Copa Libertadores Primera A Club Friendlies Copa Sudamericana
All Home Away
11-09-19 CC Deportes Tolima 1 - 1 Atlético Nacional
15-09-19 PA Atlético Nacional 2 - 3 Cúcuta Deportivo
21-09-19 PA Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Atlético Nacional
30-09-19 PA Atlético Nacional 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima
02-10-19 PA Alianza Petrolera 0 - 0 Atlético Nacional
06-10-19 PA Atlético Nacional 21:00 Junior
10-10-19 PA Patriotas Boyacá 23:00 Atlético Nacional
13-10-19 PA Atlético Nacional 22:00 Rionegro Águilas
20-10-19 PA América de Cali - Atlético Nacional
23-10-19 PA Atlético Nacional - Envigado
Junior
All Copa Colombia Copa Libertadores Primera A Copa Sudamericana
All Home Away
13-09-19 CC Junior 2 - 1 Deportivo Cali
16-09-19 PA Atletico Huila 1 - 1 Junior
23-09-19 PA Junior 3 - 0 Jaguares de Cordoba
30-09-19 PA Unión Magdalena 1 - 1 Junior
03-10-19 PA Junior 1 - 0 La Equidad
06-10-19 PA Atlético Nacional 21:00 Junior
10-10-19 PA Junior 01:00 Deportivo Cali
12-10-19 PA Deportivo Pasto 20:15 Junior
20-10-19 PA Junior - Millonarios
23-10-19 PA Alianza Petrolera - Junior

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Alianza Petrolera 14 8 4 2 13 7 7 5 2 0 7 2 7 3 2 2 6 5 6 28
2 Atlético Nacional 14 7 6 1 25 12 7 4 2 1 16 8 7 3 4 0 9 4 13 27
3 Millonarios 14 8 2 4 21 18 7 6 0 1 13 8 7 2 2 3 8 10 3 26
4 Cúcuta Deportivo 14 7 3 4 22 21 7 4 2 1 11 8 7 3 1 3 11 13 1 24
5 Deportivo Cali 14 7 2 5 24 17 7 5 1 1 13 3 7 2 1 4 11 14 7 23
6 América de Cali 14 6 5 3 19 18 7 3 3 1 8 6 7 3 2 2 11 12 1 23
7 Junior 14 6 4 4 10 7 7 5 0 2 7 2 7 1 4 2 3 5 3 22
8 Once Caldas 14 5 5 4 16 13 7 2 3 2 9 8 7 3 2 2 7 5 3 20
9 Santa Fe 14 6 2 6 13 10 7 4 1 2 9 3 7 2 1 4 4 7 3 20
10 Rionegro Águilas 14 5 5 4 20 18 7 4 1 2 11 6 7 1 4 2 9 12 2 20
11 Deportes Tolima 14 5 3 6 16 13 7 3 2 2 11 4 7 2 1 4 5 9 3 18
12 Patriotas Boyacá 14 4 6 4 15 14 7 4 2 1 10 3 7 0 4 3 5 11 1 18
13 Deportivo Pasto 14 4 5 5 17 17 7 4 2 1 11 4 7 0 3 4 6 13 0 17
14 Independiente Medellín 14 5 2 7 22 23 7 3 0 4 13 11 7 2 2 3 9 12 -1 17
15 Envigado 14 4 4 6 19 25 7 2 3 2 13 13 7 2 1 4 6 12 -6 16
16 Atlético Bucaramanga 14 3 5 6 11 14 7 2 2 3 8 7 7 1 3 3 3 7 -3 14
17 La Equidad 14 3 4 7 14 18 7 2 3 2 7 6 7 1 1 5 7 12 -4 13
18 Atlético Huila 14 2 7 5 11 19 7 1 5 1 9 9 7 1 2 4 2 10 -8 13
19 Unión Magdalena 14 2 4 8 10 18 7 2 3 2 8 7 7 0 1 6 2 11 -8 10
20 Jaguares de Córdoba 14 1 6 7 8 24 7 1 5 1 6 8 7 0 1 6 2 16 -16 9

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