Liga BetPlay prediction and preview: Atlético Nacional modest favorites to beat Deportes Tolima

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Sun 15.March
Match begins: 01:15 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (40043 seats)

A key match in Liga BetPlay as both teams are battling for the top positions. With Atlético Nacional in 1st position and Deportes Tolima placed 4th, this promises to be an exciting meeting. Read on to find out more!

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Atlético Nacional form and stats

When playing at home in the Liga BetPlay, Atlético Nacional, who have the most scored goals (18) in Liga BetPlay, have managed 1 win, 2 draws and suffered 1 defeat from 4 games. Atlético Nacional have played two draws in a row on their own stadium.

Atlético Nacional shared the glory with Santa Fe in their last match, an away game that ended all square 2-2. Preceding that game was the home draw versus Independiente Medellín that ended 1-1.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Atlético Nacional's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played eight games, won two matches, drawn four and lost two.

The Atlético Nacional fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 6 goals in 4 league matches. On the other hand, Atlético Nacional have conceded 5 goals.

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Deportes Tolima form and stats

Things could have gone better for Deportes Tolima in their Liga BetPlay away matches, but 5 points from 3 games is all right.

Did you know that the longest clean sheet streak is 1816 minutes? This record is held by Mazaropi when he played in Vasco da Gama. Deportes Tolima goalkeeper Alvaro David Montero Perales is eager to challenge this, with his 270 minutes of keeping balls out from the net.

Deportes Tolima are travelling after their nice 1-0 home win in the Liga BetPlay against Patriotas Boyacá (placed 19th). Ahead of that match was the victory versus Alianza Petrolera at their stadium, the result 1-0.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Deportes Tolima when being an outsider away as they are today, we find two matches with the visitors losing two times, drawing zero and winning zero games.

The visitors have scored 2 goals from 3 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Deportes Tolima's manager H. Torres Oliveros has created a great defensive setup working very nicely in away games with only 1 conceded goal. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's one Atlético Nacional victory, two draws and seven Deportes Tolima wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Atlético Nacional
A. Andrade Torres
4 goals
Atlético Nacional
G. Torres Grueso
4 goals
Atlético Nacional
J. Duque Montoya
4 goals

Atlético Nacional missing players

Deportes Tolima missing players

Atlético Nacional Deportes Tolima
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
8 4 0 Played P 1 3 7
4 1 0 Won W 1 1 3
3 2 0 Drew D 0 2 4
1 1 0 Lost L 0 0 0
18 6 0 Scored S 1 2 8
11 5 0 Conceded C 0 1 3
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 67% 71%
100% 100% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 33% 43%
75% 50% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 0% 29%
50% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 14%
12% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
75% 75% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 33% 29%
25% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 67% 71%
0% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 33% 29%
 
6 6.5 0 Corners for (avg) C F 4 3.7 5.1
4.2 2.8 0 Corners against (avg) C A 5 7.3 5.6
2 2.2 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 5 3.7 3.1
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
61 34 0 Total Shots T S 3 7 30
35 16 0 Shots on Target S O 1 5 18
51% 38% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 100% 40% 44%
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • All of Atlético Nacional's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Atlético Nacional has the most points from losing position (6)
  • Atlético Nacional has the most scored goals (18)
  • Atlético Nacional has the most scored goals in the second half (11)
  • Atlético Nacional has the the best goal difference (+7)
  • Atlético Nacional have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Atlético Nacional have scored more than double the goals of Deportes Tolima.
  • Atlético Nacional have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Atlético Nacional haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Deportes Tolima have not yet lost a game.
  • Deportes Tolima have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Deportes Tolima have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atlético Nacional 8 4 3 1 18 11 4 1 2 1 6 5 4 3 1 0 12 6 7 15
2 Deportivo Pasto 6 4 1 1 9 3 3 2 0 1 6 2 3 2 1 0 3 1 6 13
3 Santa Fe 8 3 4 1 10 5 4 2 2 0 8 4 4 1 2 1 2 1 5 13
4 Deportes Tolima 7 3 4 0 8 3 4 2 2 0 6 2 3 1 2 0 2 1 5 13
5 Alianza Petrolera 8 4 1 3 10 8 4 2 0 2 2 2 4 2 1 1 8 6 2 13
6 Junior 8 3 4 1 8 6 4 3 1 0 6 2 4 0 3 1 2 4 2 13
7 Once Caldas 8 2 6 0 7 4 5 0 5 0 3 3 3 2 1 0 4 1 3 12
8 América de Cali 8 3 3 2 11 9 4 3 1 0 7 2 4 0 2 2 4 7 2 12
9 Deportivo Cali 7 2 5 0 9 6 3 1 2 0 4 3 4 1 3 0 5 3 3 11
10 Deportivo Pereira 8 3 2 3 10 11 3 2 0 1 4 3 5 1 2 2 6 8 -1 11
11 Independiente Medellín 8 3 2 3 10 11 4 3 0 1 7 5 4 0 2 2 3 6 -1 11
12 Rionegro Águilas 8 2 4 2 9 9 4 2 2 0 5 2 4 0 2 2 4 7 0 10
13 Envigado 8 2 3 3 9 9 4 2 1 1 7 3 4 0 2 2 2 6 0 9
14 Atlético Bucaramanga 8 2 3 3 5 12 4 1 2 1 3 3 4 1 1 2 2 9 -7 9
15 La Equidad 7 2 2 3 14 14 3 1 1 1 10 8 4 1 1 2 4 6 0 8
16 Jaguares de Córdoba 7 2 1 4 11 13 3 1 1 1 7 6 4 1 0 3 4 7 -2 7
17 Millonarios 7 1 3 3 7 11 4 1 2 1 5 5 3 0 1 2 2 6 -4 6
18 Boyaca Chico 8 1 2 5 5 11 4 1 1 2 3 6 4 0 1 3 2 5 -6 5
19 Patriotas Boyacá 8 0 4 4 3 9 4 0 3 1 2 4 4 0 1 3 1 5 -6 4
20 Cúcuta Deportivo 7 0 3 4 3 11 4 0 2 2 1 4 3 0 1 2 2 7 -8 3