Serie C prediction and preview: Ferroviário modest favorites to beat Náutico

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Competition: Brazil Serie C
Date: ma 15.juli
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas (20062 seats)

The league table in Serie C tells a story about these teams so far, with Ferroviário leading Náutico by 8 points. Match preview to follow:

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Ferroviário form and stats

Ferroviário, who have the fewest conceded goals (10) in Serie C, have collected 13 points from their home games so far after 4-1-0.

A good away victory last time out for Ferroviário, who won 2-0 against Santa Cruz. Before that, Ferroviário drew at home versus Botafogo PB.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Ferroviário handle that role? We have found two games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W2-D0-L0.

A decent goal production from Ferroviário in their home games so far, with 9 goals from 5 matches. Ferroviário are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, averaging less than one per game. The total is 3 from 5 matches.

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Náutico form and stats

2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. That’s the product of Náutico playing as the away team this season. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Náutico have lost on their last two travels.

Náutico play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 0-2 to Imperatriz. Prior to that match, a home win 2-1 against Botafogo PB.

Náutico are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. From a total of six matches.

The attacking power of Náutico when travelling is not overwhelming with 4 goals scored in 6 matches. 6 goals have been conceded by Náutico in these games.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Náutico - Ferroviário 0-1 earlier this season. Last one meeting between the teams: Ferroviário won 1, Náutico won 0 and 0 draws. 0 games with over 2,5 goals, 1 match with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Edson Caríus
7 goals
Caxito
4 goals
Thiago
4 goals

Ferroviário missing players

Náutico missing players

Ferroviário Náutico
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs top Away Total
11 5 2 Played 2 6 11
7 4 2 Won 1 2 4
2 1 0 Drew 1 1 3
2 0 0 Lost 0 3 4
18 9 4 Scored 3 4 13
10 3 2 Conceded 1 6 13
91% 80% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
64% 60% 50% Over 1.5 100% 67% 73%
45% 60% 50% Over 2.5 0% 0% 27%
27% 20% 50% Over 3.5 0% 0% 18%
18% 20% 50% Over 4.5 0% 0% 9%
45% 40% 50% BTTS 50% 17% 45%
45% 60% 50% Clean Sheets 50% 33% 18%
18% 20% 0% Failed To Score 0% 50% 36%
 
4.3 5.2 5 Corners For (avg) 5.5 4.5 5.3
4.9 3 2.5 Corners Against (avg) 7 5.2 5.1
2.6 2.8 2 Yellow Cards (avg) 3.5 3 2.9
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 1 1
Key stats this season:
  • Ferroviário have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Ferroviário have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Ferroviário have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Ferroviário have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Náutico have scored away.
  • Ferroviário have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Náutico haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Ferroviário
10-06-19 SC Ferroviário 3 - 2 Treze
15-06-19 SC Ferroviário 2 - 1 Imperatriz
23-06-19 SC Confianca 1 - 0 Ferroviário
30-06-19 SC Ferroviário 0 - 0 Botafogo PB
05-07-19 SC Santa Cruz 0 - 2 Ferroviário
15-07-19 SC Ferroviário 23:00 Náutico
20-07-19 SC Globo 20:00 Ferroviário
25-07-19 SC Ferroviário 23:00 Sampaio Corrêa
05-08-19 SC Ferroviário 23:00 ABC
11-08-19 SC Treze 19:00 Ferroviário
Náutico
10-06-19 SC Sampaio Corrêa 0 - 2 Náutico
22-06-19 SC Santa Cruz 1 - 0 Náutico
29-06-19 SC Náutico 1 - 1 ABC
03-07-19 SC Náutico 2 - 1 Botafogo PB
08-07-19 SC Imperatriz 2 - 0 Náutico
15-07-19 SC Ferroviário 23:00 Náutico
21-07-19 SC Náutico 21:00 Treze
26-07-19 SC Náutico 23:00 Confianca
05-08-19 SC Globo 23:00 Náutico
12-08-19 SC Náutico 23:00 Sampaio Corrêa

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Ferroviário 11 7 2 2 18 10 5 4 1 0 9 3 6 3 1 2 9 7 8 23
2 Confiança 12 6 3 3 15 12 6 4 1 1 8 4 6 2 2 2 7 8 3 21
3 Sampaio Corrêa 12 6 3 3 16 15 6 3 2 1 8 5 6 3 1 2 8 10 1 21
4 Imperatriz 12 5 3 4 20 15 6 3 2 1 9 3 6 2 1 3 11 12 5 18
5 Botafogo PB 12 4 5 3 17 16 6 3 2 1 12 8 6 1 3 2 5 8 1 17
6 Santa Cruz 12 4 5 3 17 19 7 3 3 1 12 10 5 1 2 2 5 9 -2 17
7 Náutico 11 4 3 4 13 13 5 2 2 1 9 7 6 2 1 3 4 6 0 15
8 Globo 12 2 4 6 14 19 5 2 2 1 9 6 7 0 2 5 5 13 -5 10
9 ABC 12 2 3 7 13 18 7 2 1 4 11 13 5 0 2 3 2 5 -5 9
10 Treze 12 2 3 7 16 22 6 2 1 3 7 6 6 0 2 4 9 16 -6 9