Serie B match prediction: Little separates Brasil de Pelotas and Vitória in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie B
Date: Sat 03.August
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Bento da Silva Freitas (18000 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the league table, with both teams experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic “six-pointer” with the home team placed 15th and the visitors in 19th place.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Brasil de Pelotas and Vitória.

It's quite the trip for Vitória when visiting Brasil de Pelotas as the cities are 3300 kilometers apart.

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Brasil de Pelotas form and stats

Brasil de Pelotas's struggle is real here at Estádio Bento da Silva Freitas with only 6 points collected from 7 games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly 2-0-5. Game days at Estádio Bento da Silva Freitas have recently become somewhat of a nightmare for Brasil de Pelotas as they have lost three home games in a row. It hurts.

The Brasil de Pelotas crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 0-2 to Vila Nova here at Estádio Bento da Silva Freitas in a Serie B match. Before that, Brasil de Pelotas played out a draw 1-1 when visiting Cuiaba.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Brasil de Pelotas have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eleven matches with the results: Won 5 Drawn 2 Lost 4.

The lack of attacking qualities in Brasil de Pelotas means that they have only scored 3 goals in 7 home games, less than half a goal per match. 8 goals have been conceded.

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Vitória form and stats

There's been little loot from Vitória's travels as they have only collected 2 points from 7 away games. Vitória, who have the most conceded goals (25) in Serie B, only have 0 wins to counter their 5 defeats and 2 draws. The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Vitória have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone 15 consecutive matches without winning on the road. The last time three points were secured away was the Jacobina game.

Vitória has to pack their bags again for the second away game in a row. Last time they traveled to Figueirense for a Serie B game that ended a draw (1-1). Prior to that match, a home win 2-1 against Ponte Preta.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found three similar matches played by Vitória in our archives, and the results are: 0 wins for Vitória, 1 draw and 2 defeats.

Vitória are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 7 away goals from 7 games. The Vitória manager Osmar Loss has some worries about the defense as 17 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

Last two meetings between the teams: Brasil de Pelotas won 0, Vitória won 2 and 0 draws. 0 games with over 2,5 goals, 2 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Anselmo Ramon
4 goals
Murilo Rangel
2 goals
Everton Sena
2 goals

Brasil de Pelotas missing players

Vitória missing players

Brasil de Pelotas Vitória
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs low Away Total
13 7 3 Played 1 7 13
4 2 1 Won 0 0 3
2 0 0 Drew 0 2 2
7 5 2 Lost 1 5 8
9 3 2 Scored 2 7 14
14 8 4 Conceded 3 17 25
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
46% 43% 67% Over 1.5 100% 100% 92%
23% 14% 33% Over 2.5 100% 71% 62%
8% 0% 0% Over 3.5 100% 57% 38%
8% 0% 0% Over 4.5 100% 14% 8%
31% 14% 33% BTTS 100% 86% 69%
15% 14% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 8%
62% 71% 67% Failed To Score 0% 14% 23%
 
4.6 5.6 4 Corners For (avg) 6 5.7 5.5
4.6 3.3 3.7 Corners Against (avg) 6 5.1 5.8
2.2 1.9 2 Yellow Cards (avg) 2 2.3 2.5
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • All of Vitória's away matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Brasil de Pelotas have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored at home.
  • Brasil de Pelotas have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Brasil de Pelotas haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Vitória have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Vitória have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Vitória have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Vitória have scored at least twice as many goals away as Brasil de Pelotas have scored home.
  • Vitória have yet to win a game away.
  • Vitória haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Brasil de Pelotas
13-07-19 SB Botafogo SP 2 - 3 Brasil de Pelotas
19-07-19 SB Brasil de Pelotas 0 - 1 Parana
22-07-19 SB Sport Recife 0 - 0 Brasil de Pelotas
27-07-19 SB Cuiaba 1 - 1 Brasil de Pelotas
30-07-19 SB Brasil de Pelotas 0 - 2 Vila Nova
03-08-19 SB Brasil de Pelotas 14:00 Vitória
09-08-19 SB Oeste 00:30 Brasil de Pelotas
17-08-19 SB Coritiba - Brasil de Pelotas
20-08-19 SB Brasil de Pelotas - Sao Bento
23-08-19 SB Atletico GO - Brasil de Pelotas
Vitória
09-07-19 SB Vitória 0 - 1 Cuiaba
20-07-19 SB Vitória 2 - 0 Criciuma
24-07-19 SB Londrina 3 - 1 Vitória
27-07-19 SB Vitória 2 - 1 Ponte Preta
30-07-19 SB Figueirense 1 - 1 Vitória
03-08-19 SB Brasil de Pelotas 14:00 Vitória
10-08-19 SB Vitória 22:00 Parana
17-08-19 SB CRB - Vitória
20-08-19 SB Vitória - America Mineiro
23-08-19 SB Vitória - Operario PR

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Bragantino 14 8 3 3 19 8 7 5 2 0 14 4 7 3 1 3 5 4 11 27
2 Atlético GO 14 7 4 3 19 13 7 4 2 1 13 7 7 3 2 2 6 6 6 25
3 Londrina 14 7 3 4 17 13 7 5 1 1 11 5 7 2 2 3 6 8 4 24
4 Coritiba 14 6 5 3 19 14 7 5 1 1 13 7 7 1 4 2 6 7 5 23
5 Sport Recife 14 5 8 1 18 13 8 3 5 0 10 6 6 2 3 1 8 7 5 23
6 Botafogo SP 14 7 2 5 18 15 7 3 1 3 9 9 7 4 1 2 9 6 3 23
7 Paraná 13 6 4 3 13 13 6 3 2 1 4 2 7 3 2 2 9 11 0 22
8 CRB 13 6 2 5 17 14 7 3 2 2 10 9 6 3 0 3 7 5 3 20
9 Figueirense 13 4 7 2 13 9 7 3 3 1 8 6 6 1 4 1 5 3 4 19
10 Ponte Preta 13 5 4 4 17 14 7 3 3 1 9 6 6 2 1 3 8 8 3 19
11 Oeste 14 3 8 3 14 11 6 3 3 0 7 1 8 0 5 3 7 10 3 17
12 Cuiabá 13 4 5 4 13 14 6 1 3 2 6 8 7 3 2 2 7 6 -1 17
13 Operário PR 13 4 3 6 12 15 7 4 2 1 8 5 6 0 1 5 4 10 -3 15
14 Vila Nova 13 3 5 5 9 12 6 1 3 2 3 4 7 2 2 3 6 8 -3 14
15 Brasil de Pelotas 13 4 2 7 9 14 7 2 0 5 3 8 6 2 2 2 6 6 -5 14
16 Guarani 14 3 4 7 9 14 7 3 1 3 7 7 7 0 3 4 2 7 -5 13
17 Criciúma 13 3 4 6 8 14 6 2 3 1 5 4 7 1 1 5 3 10 -6 13
18 São Bento 13 3 3 7 14 19 7 2 2 3 7 9 6 1 1 4 7 10 -5 12
19 Vitória 13 3 2 8 14 25 6 3 0 3 7 8 7 0 2 5 7 17 -11 11
20 América Mineiro 13 2 4 7 8 16 6 0 2 4 2 9 7 2 2 3 6 7 -8 10