A-League prediction and preview: Melbourne City modest favorites to beat Brisbane Roar

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Competition: Australia A-League
Competition: Sun 01.March
Match begins: 07:30 (UTC)
Venue: AAMI Park (56347 seats)

Melbourne City have performed better than Brisbane Roar so far this season, but every game starts at 0-0. Here's all you need to know about the upcoming game:

There haven't been much time to rest for the hosts, as they played a A-League match only zero days ago. Thankfully the previous game, versus Brisbane Roar, was also a home game here at AAMI Park. The away team is better rested.

It's time to recharge all electronic entertainment devices for Brisbane Roar, who are travelling more than 1600 kilometers to play this game.

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Melbourne City form and stats

Melbourne City are steadily winning A-League games and points here at AAMI Park. 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats is the summary from 9 games. Melbourne City has recorded two wins in a row here at AAMI Park, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

Melbourne City's last game was hosting Brisbane Roar (placed 6th) and winning 1-0. A defeat was the result before that one, 0-1 away at Wellington Phoenix.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Melbourne City's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played seven games, won seven matches, drawn zero and lost zero.

Melbourne City have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at AAMI Park with 16 goals in 9 league matches. 12 goals have been conceded.

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Brisbane Roar form and stats

3-3-4 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Brisbane Roar in their A-League matches away.

Brisbane Roar played 1-1 against Perth Glory in their previous match. Prior to that result Brisbane Roar won their away game at Western United. The scoreline was 1-0.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Brisbane Roar playing away, we found five games. Results were two away wins, zero draws and three home wins.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Brisbane Roar as they have only managed to score 8 times from 10 away games in the league. 12 goals have been conceded by Brisbane Roar in these games.

Head 2 Head

Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar have met before this season: Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar 1-0. Last ten meetings between the teams: Melbourne City won six, Brisbane Roar won three and one draw. five games with over 2,5 goals, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Melbourne CityJ. MacLaren
J. MacLaren
14 goals
Melbourne City
C. Noone
4 goals
Melbourne City
A. Luna Retamar
4 goals

Melbourne City missing players

Brisbane Roar missing players

Melbourne City Brisbane Roar
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
19 10 2 Played P 3 10 18
10 7 2 Won W 0 3 7
3 1 0 Drew D 1 3 5
6 2 0 Lost L 2 4 6
33 17 5 Scored S 2 8 20
27 12 3 Conceded C 7 12 22
89% 90% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 94%
79% 80% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 50% 61%
74% 70% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 30% 33%
42% 30% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 10% 17%
21% 20% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 10% 11%
63% 60% 100% BTTS BTTS 67% 50% 50%
26% 30% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 30% 28%
21% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 30% 28%
 
5.5 5.7 5 Corners for (avg) C F 4 4.4 5
5.1 5 6 Corners against (avg) C A 2.3 4.2 4.5
2.1 1.6 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.7 2.1
3 1 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
294 150 29 Total Shots T S 26 129 238
115 51 14 Shots on Target S O 12 47 82
29% 33% 36% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 17% 24%
Key stats in A-League this season:
  • Brisbane Roar has the fewest matches over the total-line (4)
  • Brisbane Roar has the fewest scored goals in the first half (3)
  • Brisbane Roar has the most matches under the total-line (12)
  • Brisbane Roar has the most points from losing position (12)
  • Melbourne City has the fewest matches under the total-line (4)
  • Melbourne City has the most matches over the total-line (14)
  • Melbourne City have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Brisbane Roar have scored away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sydney 17 14 1 2 37 14 9 8 0 1 19 7 8 6 1 1 18 7 23 43
2 Perth Glory 18 8 6 4 33 19 8 4 2 2 20 12 10 4 4 2 13 7 14 30
3 Melbourne City 18 9 3 6 32 27 9 6 1 2 16 12 9 3 2 4 16 15 5 30
4 Wellington Phoenix 18 9 3 6 27 22 10 7 1 2 16 9 8 2 2 4 11 13 5 30
5 Adelaide United 19 9 0 10 33 34 9 6 0 3 17 11 10 3 0 7 16 23 -1 27
6 Brisbane Roar 18 7 5 6 20 22 8 4 2 2 12 10 10 3 3 4 8 12 -2 26
7 Western Sydney Wanderers 18 7 3 8 24 25 9 3 3 3 13 11 9 4 0 5 11 14 -1 24
8 Western United 18 6 3 9 23 25 10 3 1 6 14 16 8 3 2 3 9 9 -2 21
9 Melbourne Victory 19 5 5 9 23 28 9 3 3 3 11 10 10 2 2 6 12 18 -5 20
10 Newcastle Jets 19 4 6 9 21 37 10 3 4 3 13 15 9 1 2 6 8 22 -16 18
11 Central Coast Mariners 18 4 1 13 17 37 9 3 1 5 9 17 9 1 0 8 8 20 -20 13

Read more about A-League

The A-League is the top level of the Australian football league system. Seasons run from October to May. Ten teams play a regular season of 27 fixtures to create a league table winner and the highest placed teams qualify for a playoff. The league winner is called the “premier” while the playoff winner is the “champion”. There is no set system for relegation, unlike most leagues in the world.