Home advantage could prove decisive in Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza battle

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Thu 02.Nov
Match begins: 00:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto (58170 seats)

A quick look at the Serie A standings shows that this is top- against mid-table, but that's not all you need to know. Check out our Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza guide!

Insights:
  • Atlético Mineiro have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (9) in Serie A
  • Fortaleza have won significantly less corners away then at home.

Fortaleza have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 2300 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

It's no vacation for neither Atlético nor Fortaleza as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Atlético Mineiro form and stats

When playing at home in the Serie A, Atlético Mineiro have managed 7 wins, 3 draws and suffered 5 defeats from 15 games.

The Atlético Mineiro regulars enjoyed the previous game, watching their team host Fluminense and win 2-0. The forward Paulinho won the honour of being "man of the match" for Atlético with the rating of 8.1/10. Paulinho scored two goals and hit two key passes.

In the game before, an away victory match versus Bragantino with a 2-1 scoreline.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Atlético Mineiro's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played 7 games, won 4 matches, drawn 1 and lost 2.

It should be taken into account that a look at the 13 most recent league fixtures reveals that 10 of them qualified as a both teams not to score result (only one or none of the teams scored).

There will be little rest for Atlético Mineiro after this match as they are travelling to America Mineiro for a Serie A game in only three days.

Atlético Mineiro are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 18 goals in 15 games. From these home matches, Atlético have conceded only 13 goals.

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Fortaleza form and stats

Fortaleza have only collected 14 points from their away games in the Serie A, after 4-2-8 (14 played). Fortaleza seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

The attacking players of Fortaleza have been feeble for some time now, the team not scoring a league goal in the last 202 minutes.

Fortaleza delivered a 1-1 draw playing at home against LDU Quito in their previous match; a Copa Sudamericana duel.

It was a Serie A defeat before that one as the away game against Bahia wasn't a success with a 0-2 loss.

A quick return to home after this game, as Fortaleza are hosting Flamengo in the Serie A only four days away.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 14 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. As opposed to that, Fortaleza have seen the ball go into their own net 16 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The last head-to-head match ended Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro 2-1, earlier this season. Numbers for the preceeding ten meetings between these two squads are: five wins for Atlético Mineiro, two draws and three wins for Fortaleza. Over 2,5 goals: seven times; under 2,5 goals: three games.

Top Goalscorers

Atlético MineiroP. Sampaio Filho
P. Sampaio Filho
13 goals
Atlético MineiroG. Vieira de Souza
G. Vieira de Souza
11 goals
FortalezaJ. Lucero
J. Lucero
7 goals

Atlético Mineiro missing players

Fortaleza missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Atlético Mineiro Fortaleza
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
30 15 5 Played P 4 14 28
14 7 4 Won W 0 4 12
7 3 0 Drew D 1 2 6
9 5 1 Lost L 3 8 10
36 18 7 Scored S 1 10 33
23 13 2 Conceded C 7 16 29
93% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 93% 89%
67% 67% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 57% 64%
30% 33% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 29% 39%
7% 7% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 7% 18%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 7%
40% 47% 20% BTTS BTTS 25% 29% 39%
43% 40% 60% Clean Sheets C S 25% 29% 32%
23% 13% 20% Failed to Score F T 75% 50% 39%
 
5.3 5.3 4 Corners for (avg) C F 3.8 3.9 5
5.5 4 4.4 Corners against (avg) C A 6.2 5.8 5.2
3.2 2.9 2.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.2 3.3 2.7
4 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
13.2 15.1 12.8 Shots (avg) S ( 12.5 12.7 15
4.6 4.9 3.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 4.7 5.5
26% 25% 41% Goal Efficiency G E 5% 15% 22%
 
12.2 10.3 9.6 Shots against (avg) S A 15.5 15 13.5
3.4 3.2 3.4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6.8 5.7 4.4
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Atlético Mineiro have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Atlético Mineiro have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (9) in Serie A
  • Atlético Mineiro haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Fortaleza have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Botafogo 29 18 5 6 45 19 15 11 2 2 29 8 14 7 3 4 16 11 26 59
2 Palmeiras 30 15 8 7 48 24 15 10 2 3 26 12 15 5 6 4 22 12 24 53
3 Bragantino 29 14 10 5 41 26 15 9 4 2 23 10 14 5 6 3 18 16 15 52
4 Gremio 30 15 5 10 50 45 15 11 2 2 30 14 15 4 3 8 20 31 5 50
5 Flamengo 29 14 8 7 43 34 13 7 4 2 18 9 16 7 4 5 25 25 9 50
6 Atlético Mineiro 30 14 7 9 36 23 15 7 3 5 18 13 15 7 4 4 18 10 13 49
7 Atletico PR 30 13 10 7 45 35 16 9 6 1 29 18 14 4 4 6 16 17 10 49
8 Fluminense 30 13 6 11 42 40 16 11 4 1 28 14 14 2 2 10 14 26 2 45
9 Fortaleza 28 12 6 10 33 29 14 8 4 2 23 13 14 4 2 8 10 16 4 42
10 Cuiaba 30 11 7 12 31 32 15 4 6 5 18 17 15 7 1 7 13 15 -1 40
11 Sao Paulo 30 10 9 11 35 35 15 10 2 3 26 13 15 0 7 8 9 22 0 39
12 Internacional 30 10 8 12 35 38 15 7 3 5 25 19 15 3 5 7 10 19 -3 38
13 Cruzeiro 29 9 10 10 28 24 15 4 5 6 9 11 14 5 5 4 19 13 4 37
14 Corinthians 30 8 13 9 36 37 15 5 9 1 22 15 15 3 4 8 14 22 -1 37
15 Bahia 30 9 7 14 37 42 14 6 4 4 23 15 16 3 3 10 14 27 -5 34
16 Santos 30 9 7 14 34 54 15 6 5 4 25 23 15 3 2 10 9 31 -20 34
17 Goias 30 7 11 12 32 44 15 4 7 4 18 21 15 3 4 8 14 23 -12 32
18 Vasco da Gama 30 8 7 15 30 42 15 6 2 7 17 17 15 2 5 8 13 25 -12 31
19 Coritiba 30 6 5 19 34 64 14 3 3 8 14 22 16 3 2 11 20 42 -30 23
20 America Mineiro 30 4 7 19 36 64 15 4 1 10 17 29 15 0 6 9 19 35 -28 19

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Botafogo 29 18 5 6 45 19 15 11 2 2 29 8 14 7 3 4 16 11 26 59
2 Palmeiras 30 15 8 7 48 24 15 10 2 3 26 12 15 5 6 4 22 12 24 53
3 Bragantino 29 14 10 5 41 26 15 9 4 2 23 10 14 5 6 3 18 16 15 52
4 Gremio 30 15 5 10 50 45 15 11 2 2 30 14 15 4 3 8 20 31 5 50
5 Flamengo 29 14 8 7 43 34 13 7 4 2 18 9 16 7 4 5 25 25 9 50
6 Atlético Mineiro 30 14 7 9 36 23 15 7 3 5 18 13 15 7 4 4 18 10 13 49
7 Atletico PR 30 13 10 7 45 35 16 9 6 1 29 18 14 4 4 6 16 17 10 49
8 Fluminense 30 13 6 11 42 40 16 11 4 1 28 14 14 2 2 10 14 26 2 45
9 Fortaleza 28 12 6 10 33 29 14 8 4 2 23 13 14 4 2 8 10 16 4 42
10 Cuiaba 30 11 7 12 31 32 15 4 6 5 18 17 15 7 1 7 13 15 -1 40
11 Sao Paulo 30 10 9 11 35 35 15 10 2 3 26 13 15 0 7 8 9 22 0 39
12 Internacional 30 10 8 12 35 38 15 7 3 5 25 19 15 3 5 7 10 19 -3 38
13 Cruzeiro 29 9 10 10 28 24 15 4 5 6 9 11 14 5 5 4 19 13 4 37
14 Corinthians 30 8 13 9 36 37 15 5 9 1 22 15 15 3 4 8 14 22 -1 37
15 Bahia 30 9 7 14 37 42 14 6 4 4 23 15 16 3 3 10 14 27 -5 34
16 Santos 30 9 7 14 34 54 15 6 5 4 25 23 15 3 2 10 9 31 -20 34
17 Goias 30 7 11 12 32 44 15 4 7 4 18 21 15 3 4 8 14 23 -12 32
18 Vasco da Gama 30 8 7 15 30 42 15 6 2 7 17 17 15 2 5 8 13 25 -12 31
19 Coritiba 30 6 5 19 34 64 14 3 3 8 14 22 16 3 2 11 20 42 -30 23
20 America Mineiro 30 4 7 19 36 64 15 4 1 10 17 29 15 0 6 9 19 35 -28 19

More from Brazil - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.